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                    <text>Role of SME in the Albania Economy Development

RizhanaMancellari
Epoka University
Albania
rmancellari@epoka.edu.al
Abstract: This paper aims to discuss the role of small and medium sized enterprises in the
economic development of Albania in the last decade, increasing the employment rate and
reduce the poverty of our society. More specifically the impact of increased number of SME
on the GDP growth will be carefully analyzed and interpreted, and the analysis of this paper
will take into consideration the effects of SME-s in terms of innovation and economic
growth.In the last years Small and medium sized enterprises have played a crucial role in the
economic development of Albania. SME-s is the main source of increased employment,
innovation and productivity growth. Consequently, in this context an important element where
the Albanian economy relies upon for development is due to the increased number of SME.

The aim of the research is to investigate and examine the impact of SME-s to the economic
growth of Albania by influencing changes in the economic indicators such as: GDP,
employment rate, export-import activities, entrepreneurial skills etc. This will be a research
paper which consists on the demonstrating of the relationship between number of SME-s
operating in the Albanian business environment including here their number in total &amp;
turnover and their impact to the GDP of economy. The impact of small-medium sized
enterprises in economic development of Albania is relatively high. There is lots of SME-s
which are operating in the urban areas as well as rural areas. They are burgeon of changes,
central to local private sector development.Albanian government has supported the
promotion of SME development because it gives rise to entrepreneurship which is the heart of
economic development. Entrepreneurship is the key point for development not only in Albania
but everywhere in the world. Also statistical data about the number of SME-s operating in
Albania and their respective turnover will be included.
Keywords: SMEs, Economic Growth, Employment, GDP, Albania.

90

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                <text>MANCELLARI, Rizhana</text>
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                <text>This paper aims to discuss the role of small and medium sized enterprises in the economic development of Albania in the last decade, increasing the employment rate and reduce the poverty of our society. More specifically the impact of increased number of SME on the GDP growth will be carefully analyzed and interpreted, and the analysis of this paper will take into consideration the effects of SME-s in terms of innovation and economic growth.In the last years Small and medium sized enterprises have played a crucial role in the economic development of Albania. SME-s is the main source of increased employment, innovation and productivity growth. Consequently, in this context an important element where the Albanian economy relies upon for development is due to the increased number of SME.     The aim of the research is to investigate and examine the impact of SME-s to the economic growth of Albania by influencing changes in the economic indicators such as: GDP, employment rate, export-import activities, entrepreneurial skills etc. This will be a research paper which consists on the demonstrating of the relationship between number of SME-s operating in the Albanian business environment including here their number in total &amp; turnover and their impact to the GDP of economy. The impact of small-medium sized enterprises in economic development of Albania is relatively high. There is lots of SME-s which are operating in the urban areas as well as rural areas. They are burgeon of changes, central to local private sector development.Albanian government has supported the promotion of SME development because it gives rise to entrepreneurship which is the heart of economic development. Entrepreneurship is the key point for development not only in Albania but everywhere in the world. Also statistical data about the number of SME-s operating in Albania and their respective turnover will be included.   Keywords: SMEs, Economic Growth, Employment, GDP, Albania.</text>
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                <text>ISSN 2303-4564     </text>
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                    <text>The Abandonment of the Poverty-Debt Circle by Dint of the Fiscal policy:
the Modest B&amp;H Experience
ZehraMahmutović
International Burch University
Bosnia and Herzegovina
zehra_mahmutovic@outlook.com
Ugur Ergun
International Burch University
Bosnia and Herzegovina
ugur.ergun@ibu.edu.ba

Abstract: The recent crisis that was taking the stage in the 2008/2009 pioneered in developed
countries (US and UK) after the failure and merging of numerous financial institutions,
bailout of banks, and downturns in stock markets, but soon occupied most countries around
the globe. As the consequence of the aforementioned experience many developing countries
were caught into a cycle of poverty and debt which impairs a long-term, stable and sustained
economic growth.
The story of developing nation’s wide indebtedness starts with the advice of the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank to borrow the necessary capital to achieve the
economic recovery. So they were forced to borrow heavily in order to survive. There is
generally ‘lack of agreement’ about the effects fiscal policy may have during crisis and thus
the recent economic crisis stimulated various policy responses globally. But literature agrees
that fiscal policy growth support is significantly hampered by the high initial levels of public
debt.Bosnia and Herzegovina, a SEE developing country, are not an exception from this
plague.
It was floating for long without any BH institution in the ‘driving seat’ since the local fiscal
coordination was in the hands of international community. In 2008, just prior to the Great
recession but as the response to the missing fiscal responsibility International organizations
advised the Fiscal Council of Bosnia and Herzegovina establishment. But the current
situation in Bosnia and Herzegovina is quite away from this idea of sustainability and
continuous economic development.In line with aforementioned statements, the objective of
this study is to evaluate the existing fiscal policy in the developing Bosnia and Herzegovina in
lights of existing relevant literature and to define modes that will perhaps brighten the crucial
macroeconomic indicators.
Keywords: Fiscal policy, debt, IMF, World Bank, unemployment, Central Bank, stand-by
arrangement, developing.
26

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                <text>MAHMUTOVIC, Zehra
ERGÜN, Uğur </text>
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                <text>The recent crisis that was taking the stage in the 2008/2009 pioneered in developed countries (US and UK) after the failure and merging of numerous financial institutions, bailout of banks, and downturns in stock markets, but soon occupied most countries around the globe. As the consequence of the aforementioned experience many developing countries were caught into a cycle of poverty and debt which impairs a long-term, stable and sustained economic growth.     The story of developing nation’s wide indebtedness starts with the advice of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank to borrow the necessary capital to achieve the economic recovery. So they were forced to borrow heavily in order to survive. There is generally ‘lack of agreement’ about the effects fiscal policy may have during crisis and thus the recent economic crisis stimulated various policy responses globally. But literature agrees that fiscal policy growth support is significantly hampered by the high initial levels of public debt.Bosnia and Herzegovina, a SEE developing country, are not an exception from this plague.     It was floating for long without any BH institution in the ‘driving seat’ since the local fiscal coordination was in the hands of international community. In 2008, just prior to the Great recession but as the response to the missing fiscal responsibility International organizations advised the Fiscal Council of Bosnia and Herzegovina establishment. But the current situation in Bosnia and Herzegovina is quite away from this idea of sustainability and continuous economic development.In line with aforementioned statements, the objective of this study is to evaluate the existing fiscal policy in the developing Bosnia and Herzegovina in lights of existing relevant literature and to define modes that will perhaps brighten the crucial macroeconomic indicators.    Keywords: Fiscal policy, debt, IMF, World Bank, unemployment, Central Bank, stand-by arrangement, developing.</text>
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                    <text>The Exchange Rate in Albania and its Connection with Import-Export
Alba Cani
Epoka University
Albania
acani10@epoka.edu.al
Abstract: Recently, trade agreements among different countries are becoming more and more
important. Exchange rate and its volatility are important elements taken into consideration
when these trade agreement and exchanges are done. The history of Albania has had crucial
developments in different periods. These changes and developments have had an impact not
only in policy making process but also in the way how economic policies are compiled.
Among the most important economic actions undertaken in the transition period is the
adoption of flexible exchange rate. This paper is an attempt to explain the relationship that
exists through the exchange rate and import-export as this is one of the traditional methods
for long-term analysis taken into consideration in studying this connection. The aim of this
research paper is to analyze the way how these variables are connected to each-other and to
explain which factors have influenced in the volatility of exchange rate in these years in
Albania. This study examines the effect of exchange rate volatility in imports and exports by
using multiple regression analysis with exchange rate as dependent variable and trade
balance, remittances, government spending as independent variables. Thus, an empirical
method is used in order to prove whether there is a relationship between the exchange rate
and its variables and import-export. Moreover, a detailed analysis of exchange rate volatility
on trade balance connection is included. All the data are taken by Bank of Albania, Instat and
World Bank and all the values of variables are in million Albanian Leke. The analysis is
based on respective values of above mentioned variables for the period from 1996-2010 for
Leke-Dollar exchange rate and from 1999-2010 for Leke-Euro exchange rate. The findings of
this study conclude with the result that exchange rate volatility does not have significant
impact on import because some of the products that Albania imports are basic products
regarding the inelastic demand of these products. On the other hand, exchange rate volatility
affects exports as exports are directly related with exchange rate volatility.
Keywords:Exchange Rate, Volatility, Import, Export, Regression Analysis, Trade Balance,
Government Spending.

86

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                <text>The Role of Macroeconomic Variables on the Yield Curve Model: Case of Albania</text>
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                <text>LAÇI, Besjana
RYSKULOV, Urmat</text>
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                <text>Albania is a country which has passed through a difficult transition period and surely this period has lead to some inevitable effects on the Albanian economy. The high inflation and the rapid decline of the economy contributed to the crisis which happened in 1997. After 1998 the economic progress and the inflation reduction were enabled by the fiscal and monetary policy strengthening. Much progress is made and this is seen in the continuous increase of gross domestic product growth rate.    This research paper will analyze the relationship between term structure of interest rate and the two key variables which are inflation rate and GDP growth rate. The challenging correlation of these variables has been discussed by many economists. Some of the authors could introduce their yield curve model without the intervention of macroeconomic variables, while some others considered macroeconomic factors such as inflation rate and GDP growth rate in explaining the model.    The focus of this paper is how the two key variables affected the interest rate. From the regression analysis, it is found that the macroeconomic variables explain about 16.3 % of the variation in the interest rate which is not a high percentage. These variables are not statistically significant and they can be drop out of the regression line.    Keywords: interest rate, inflation rate, GDP growth rate, level, slope, curvature.</text>
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                    <text>What Are the Measures for the Best Fiscal Policy in Albania?
BesjanaLaçi
Epoka University
Albania
blaci10@epoka.edu.al
EglantinaHysa
Epoka University
Albania
ehysa@epoka.edu.al
Abstract: Albania is a country in transition and after the communism period it has been in a
difficult path for overcoming many social, political and economic difficulties. This paper
emphasizes the importance of fiscal policy such as government spending and tax collection to
foster and promote economic growth and to reduce the poverty. This research paper will be
focused on the effectiveness of fiscal policy and the taxation system of this developing country.
Albania is currently using a flat tax system where this tax is 20% for consumption and 10%
for income.
The aim of this paper is to examine the relationship between fiscal policy and economic
growth which is measured by GDP per capita. Through the regression analysis, it will be
defined which policy, government spending or tax collection, has a better and stronger effect
on the economy.
The main points of this study are related to the analysis of what are the effects of government
activities on the economic growth? What is the fiscal policy in Albania during the last
decade? Is the tax system effective and profitable? Can Albania be a potential place for
investment and doing business?
Keywords: Government spending, tax system, economic growth, investment, business.

87

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                <text>LAÇI, Besjana
HYSA, Eglantina</text>
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                <text>Albania is a country in transition and after the communism period it has been in a difficult path for overcoming many social, political and economic difficulties. This paper emphasizes the importance of fiscal policy such as government spending and tax collection to foster and promote economic growth and to reduce the poverty. This research paper will be focused on the effectiveness of fiscal policy and the taxation system of this developing country. Albania is currently using a flat tax system where this tax is 20% for consumption and 10% for income.    The aim of this paper is to examine the relationship between fiscal policy and economic growth which is measured by GDP per capita. Through the regression analysis, it will be defined which policy, government spending or tax collection, has a better and stronger effect on the economy.     The main points of this study are related to the analysis of what are the effects of government activities on the economic growth? What is the fiscal policy in Albania during the last decade? Is the tax system effective and profitable? Can Albania be a potential place for investment and doing business?    Keywords: Government spending, tax system, economic growth, investment, business.</text>
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                    <text>Restructuring Turkey as a New Semi-periphery in the Age of Globalization
MuhammedKürşadÖzekin
University of Sussex
United Kingdom
kursad_ozekin@hotmail.com
AyçaÖzekin
Balıkesir University
Turkey
aycaaysun@balikesir.edu.tr
Abstract: Associated with a number of structural shifts in global economic system, function
and characteristic of the semi-periphery has considerably changed in the last several
decades. However, having inherently been lodged with the ontological and the
epistemological limitedness of world system theory, the conventional theorization of semiperiphery tends to be dismissive of the notion of globalization, and fails to analyze new
functions and characteristics of semi-peripheral countries under neo-liberal globalization.
Taking globalization seriously, this study aims to bring the term back to IPE literature with
an up-to-date and analytically valid conceptualization of semi-peripheriality under neoliberal globalization. In order to do this, it will first provide a comprehensive critique of the
ontological and the epistemological deficiencies commonly associated with the previous
accounts. Particularly, structuralist, cyclical systemic, state-bounded and holistic bias in
world system theory will be critically explored in order to inform the reader about the
underlying theoretical limitedness in understanding new dynamics of global economy. Mainly
drawing on neo-Gramscian approach and theory of global capitalism, this study wills later
present a neo-Gramscian-inspired articulation of new semi-periphery through giving special
references to transnational’s phenomenon and the role of transnational-oriented economic
and social forces within and above states. In so doing the matter of semi-periphery will be
reconceptualised in the light of a number of changes associated with the rise of neo-liberal
globalization since the beginning of the 1970`s. Building on this perspective, the study will
lastly place the matter into an empirical context by taking Turkey as a case study of exportoriented new semi-periphery. Particularly, the transnationalization of Turkish economy and
state structure will be analyzed as a manifestation of new semi-peripheriality under dynamics
of neo-liberal globalization. In this context, a special emphasis will be placed on the
transformative and agential role of transnational capitalist classes, international financial
institutions and transnational-oriented economic and social forces within and above states.
Keywords: Semi-periphery, globalization, neo-Gramscian theory, transnationalization, global
capitalism, Turkey, social forces.

48

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ÖZEKIN, Ayça</text>
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                <text>Associated with a number of structural shifts in global economic system, function and characteristic of the semi-periphery has considerably changed in the last several decades. However, having inherently been lodged with the ontological and the epistemological limitedness of world system theory, the conventional theorization of semi-periphery tends to be dismissive of the notion of globalization, and fails to analyze new functions and characteristics of semi-peripheral countries under neo-liberal globalization. Taking globalization seriously, this study aims to bring the term back to IPE literature with an up-to-date and analytically valid conceptualization of semi-peripheriality under neo-liberal globalization. In order to do this, it will first provide a comprehensive critique of the ontological and the epistemological deficiencies commonly associated with the previous accounts. Particularly, structuralist, cyclical systemic, state-bounded and holistic bias in world system theory will be critically explored in order to inform the reader about the underlying theoretical limitedness in understanding new dynamics of global economy. Mainly drawing on neo-Gramscian approach and theory of global capitalism, this study wills later present a neo-Gramscian-inspired articulation of new semi-periphery through giving special references to transnational’s phenomenon and the role of transnational-oriented economic and social forces within and above states. In so doing the matter of semi-periphery will be reconceptualised in the light of a number of changes associated with the rise of neo-liberal globalization since the beginning of the 1970`s. Building on this perspective, the study will lastly place the matter into an empirical context by taking Turkey as a case study of export-oriented new semi-periphery. Particularly, the transnationalization of Turkish economy and state structure will be analyzed as a manifestation of new semi-peripheriality under dynamics of neo-liberal globalization. In this context, a special emphasis will be placed on the transformative and agential role of transnational capitalist classes, international financial institutions and transnational-oriented economic and social forces within and above states.  Keywords: Semi-periphery, globalization, neo-Gramscian theory, transnationalization, global capitalism, Turkey, social forces.  </text>
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                    <text>The Characteristics of New Albanian Nationalism and its Impact on
Albania’s Relation with Neighbors
KritonKuci
Mediterranean University of Albania,
Albania
kritonkuci@umsh.edu.al

Abstract: The Balkan region has experienced in the past a lot of tragedies caused by
nationalism. Beginning with the Greek revolution, in the first part of the 19th century and
onward all Balkan countries have experienced the rising of nationalism in the framework of
the nation building process. Albania did too. However in the last decade a new wave of
nationalism is rising in Albania. “New Albanian Nationalism” is different from the
traditional Albanian nationalism (mainly in form not in content). From 2008 until today,
there have been three major developments which have influenced decisively the increasing of
the “New Albanian nationalism”. First was the declaration of independence of Kosovo. The
solution of the Kosovo issue has always been one of the pillars of the traditional Albanian
nationalism. Secondly, signing of an agreement between Greece and Albania on the
delimitation of the continental shelf and the exclusive economic zone. The agreement was
signed in 2009, was challenged by the opposition and public opinion in Albania continues to
have great publicity and be part of the political dialogue and the Greek-Albanian relations.
Thirdly, there was the official count of the population, the CENSUS which took place in 2011.
A process that was strongly contested and was the impetus for establishing the Red and Black
Alliance was known firstly as a social movement (a radical nationalist one) and then as a
political party with extreme nationalist character.
This paper consists of a theoretical overview and critical analysis of the rising of nationalism
in Albania from 2008 till today. The first part of the paper will focus on the comparison
between traditional and new Albanian nationalism, on the content and the basic thesis of the
“NewAlbaniannationalism” (Anti-Hellenism, Anti-Serb, Pan Albanism common positions
on"nationalissues"inAlbania, Kosovo and FYROM), and on the political parties,
organizations supporting Albanian nationalism. The second part will deal with the impact
that the rising of the Albanian nationalism will have on Albania’s relations with its neighbors.
Keywords: New Albanian nationalism, Pan Albanism, Balkans, Red and Black Alliance,
radical movement, extremism.

27

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                <text>The Balkan region has experienced in the past a lot of tragedies caused by nationalism. Beginning with the Greek revolution, in the first part of the 19th century and onward all Balkan countries have experienced the rising of nationalism in the framework of the nation building process. Albania did too. However in the last decade a new wave of nationalism is rising in Albania. “New Albanian Nationalism” is different from the traditional Albanian nationalism (mainly in form not in content). From 2008 until today, there have been three major developments which have influenced decisively the increasing of the “New Albanian nationalism”. First was the declaration of independence of Kosovo. The solution of the Kosovo issue has always been one of the pillars of the traditional Albanian nationalism. Secondly, signing of an agreement between Greece and Albania on the delimitation of the continental shelf and the exclusive economic zone. The agreement was signed in 2009, was challenged by the opposition and public opinion in Albania continues to have great publicity and be part of the political dialogue and the Greek-Albanian relations.  Thirdly, there was the official count of the population, the CENSUS which took place in 2011. A process that was strongly contested and was the impetus for establishing the Red and Black Alliance was known firstly as a social movement (a radical nationalist one) and then as a political party with extreme nationalist character.    This paper consists of a theoretical overview and critical analysis of the rising of nationalism in Albania from 2008 till today. The first part of the paper will focus on the comparison between traditional and new Albanian nationalism, on the content and the basic thesis of the “NewAlbaniannationalism” (Anti-Hellenism, Anti-Serb, Pan Albanism common positions on"nationalissues"inAlbania, Kosovo and FYROM), and on the political parties, organizations supporting Albanian nationalism. The second part will deal with the impact that the rising of the Albanian nationalism will have on Albania’s relations with its neighbors.   Keywords: New Albanian nationalism, Pan Albanism, Balkans, Red and Black Alliance, radical movement, extremism.</text>
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                    <text>The Role of Institutions in Transition Economics: a Deeper Look on the
Relationship between Privatization and Economic Growth in Bosnia and
Herzegovina
SuadKrcić
International Burch University
Bosnia and Herzegovina
suad.krcic@gmail.com
ErkanIlguen
International Burch University
Bosnia and Herzegovina
erkan.ilgun@ibu.edu.ba
Abstract: The field of Institutional Economics is about the theoretical and empirical findings
that have a major role in today’s understanding of institutions. The relationship between the
institutions and Economic growth is confirmed by the literature. This paper begins with the
principles and explanations of the theoretical aspects of old and new institutional economics,
and its role in transition economics like in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Descriptive statistic is
analyzed according to the sets of variables. The author expects a positive relationship
between Institutions and Economic Growth.
Keywords: institutional economic, economic growth, new economy, new institutions,
privatization, transition economics, Bosnia and Herzegovina.

78

�</text>
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                <text>The Role of Institutions in Transition Economics: a Deeper Look on the Relationship between Privatization and Economic Growth in Bosnia and Herzegovina</text>
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                <text>KRCIĆ, Suad
ILGÜN, Erkan</text>
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                <text>The field of Institutional Economics is about the theoretical and empirical findings that have a major role in today’s understanding of institutions. The relationship between the institutions and Economic growth is confirmed by the literature. This paper begins with the principles and explanations of the theoretical aspects of old and new institutional economics, and its role in transition economics like in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Descriptive statistic is analyzed according to the sets of variables. The author expects a positive relationship between Institutions and Economic Growth.    Keywords: institutional economic, economic growth, new economy, new institutions, privatization, transition economics, Bosnia and Herzegovina.</text>
              </elementText>
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                    <text>Financial Markets Development and Macroeconomic Stability in SubSahara Africa: Issues and Policy Options
UyiKizitoEhigiamusoe
National Institute for Legislative Studies
Nigeria
ehiuyikizexcel@yahoo.com

Abstract: The paper examines the link between financial markets development and
macroeconomic stability in Sub-Sahara Africa. The major objective of the paper is to examine
the impact of financial markets development on economic growth using secondary data
covering the period 1980-2012. It also examines the relationship between financial markets
indicators (such as the ratios of broad money supply to GDP, private sector credit to GDP,
total bank credit to GDP and market capitalization to GDP) and macroeconomic variables
(such as the growth rates of inflation, employment, and poverty and real interest rate) in the
region. The paper adopts both analytical and econometric techniques such as ordinary least
squares method, granger causality analysis, Johansson’s co-integration techniques and
vector error correction model to investigate the relationship. Evidence from the study reveals
that a long-run relationship exists between financial markets indicators and macroeconomic
variables. It was also discovered that financial markets indicators have positive and
significant impact on economic growth in countries with largely developed financial markets,
while financial markets indicators have insignificant impact on economic growth in countries
with minimally developed financial markets. It was also revealed that causality runs from
financial markets indicators to macroeconomic variables (inflation, employment, poverty and
real interest rates).
The ratios of domestic private sector credit and bank credit were found to have negative
impact on economic growth but changes in these variables cause changes in inflation,
employment and poverty rates. Furthermore, the ratio of market capitalization also has
significant impact on economic growth. If policymakers want to promote economic growth
and stabilize macroeconomic variables, they have to focus attention on long-run policies that
will accelerate the development of the financial markets through innovations and effective
supervision. Also, the governments should take it as a policy options to create the enabling
environment for the growth and development of financial markets with a view to use them to
achieve macroeconomic stability in Sub-Sahara Africa.

Keywords: Financial Markets Development, Macroeconomic Stability, Economic Growth,
Inflation Rate, Real Interest Rate, Poverty Rate, Employment Rate

57

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                <text>The paper examines the link between financial markets development and macroeconomic stability in Sub-Sahara Africa. The major objective of the paper is to examine the impact of financial markets development on economic growth using secondary data covering the period 1980-2012. It also examines the relationship between financial markets indicators (such as the ratios of broad money supply to GDP, private sector credit to GDP, total bank credit to GDP and market capitalization to GDP) and macroeconomic variables (such as the growth rates of inflation, employment, and poverty and real interest rate) in the region. The paper adopts both analytical and econometric techniques such as ordinary least squares method, granger causality analysis, Johansson’s co-integration techniques and vector error correction model to investigate the relationship. Evidence from the study reveals that a long-run relationship exists between financial markets indicators and macroeconomic variables. It was also discovered that financial markets indicators have positive and significant impact on economic growth in countries with largely developed financial markets, while financial markets indicators have insignificant impact on economic growth in countries with minimally developed financial markets. It was also revealed that causality runs from financial markets indicators to macroeconomic variables (inflation, employment, poverty and real interest rates).     The ratios of domestic private sector credit and bank credit were found to have negative impact on economic growth but changes in these variables cause changes in inflation, employment and poverty rates. Furthermore, the ratio of market capitalization also has significant impact on economic growth. If policymakers want to promote economic growth and stabilize macroeconomic variables, they have to focus attention on long-run policies that will accelerate the development of the financial markets through innovations and effective supervision. Also, the governments should take it as a policy options to create the enabling environment for the growth and development of financial markets with a view to use them to achieve macroeconomic stability in Sub-Sahara Africa.      Keywords: Financial Markets Development, Macroeconomic Stability, Economic Growth, Inflation Rate, Real Interest Rate, Poverty Rate, Employment Rate</text>
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                    <text>The Impact of Public and Private Tourism Investments on Tourism
Performance and GDP: The Case of Balkan Countries
Kemal Kantarci
Akdeniz University
Turkey
kantarci@akdeniz.edu.tr
Mustafa Unver
Gumushane University
Turkey
mustunver@yahoo.com
KazimDevelioglu
Akdeniz University
Turkey
kdevelioglu@akdeniz.edu.tr
Abstract: Tourism is one of the most promising industries in the world and is expected to
contribute to economic development of countries. The sector also has positive role in
balancing national economies in terms of current account deficit and external debts. In this
sense, the impact of tourism industry can be measured directly and indirectly in national
economies. Because of the increasing importance of tourism industry for national economies,
in this study, we will investigate the relationship between investments in tourism industry and
tourism performance and contribution to gross domestic product (GDP) in Balkan countries.
More specifically, we would like to unravel, first, the impact of our independent variables,
which are, “government individual tourism and travel (T&amp;T) spending” and “capital
investment”, on dependent variables, which are “tourist arrivals”, “tourism receipts”,
“leisure T&amp;T spending”, and “business T&amp;T spending”. Additionally, we used
aforementioned dependent variables as independent variables and investigated impact of
them on Balkan countries’ T&amp;T direct contribution to GDP and T&amp;T total contribution to
DP. Variables and model of the study are presented below.
In this study, we used World Travel and Tourism Council’s economic data for the years 19992011 to test our model for Balkan countries. In order to test our model, we used correlation
analysis instead of using multiple regression analysis because of the limited number of years
for each Balkan country. Results of our analysis revealed that for almost all Balkan countries,
public and private investments in tourism industry have a positive impact on tourist arrivals
and tourism spending, which is made by tourists. Another main finding of this study is that
tourism spending has a positive relationship with T&amp;T direct and total contribution to GDP
in Balkan countries.
Keywords: Balkan Countries, Tourism Performance, Gross Domestic Product, Government
and Private Investments

31

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UNVER, Mustafa
DEVELIOGLU, Kazim</text>
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                <text>Tourism is one of the most promising industries in the world and is expected to contribute to economic development of countries. The sector also has positive role in balancing national economies in terms of current account deficit and external debts. In this sense, the impact of tourism industry can be measured directly and indirectly in national economies. Because of the increasing importance of tourism industry for national economies, in this study, we will investigate the relationship between investments in tourism industry and tourism performance and contribution to gross domestic product (GDP) in Balkan countries. More specifically, we would like to unravel, first, the impact of our independent variables, which are, “government individual tourism and travel (T&amp;T) spending” and “capital investment”, on dependent variables, which are “tourist arrivals”, “tourism receipts”, “leisure T&amp;T spending”, and “business T&amp;T spending”. Additionally, we used aforementioned dependent variables as independent variables and investigated impact of them on Balkan countries’ T&amp;T direct contribution to GDP and T&amp;T total contribution to DP. Variables and model of the study are presented below.    In this study, we used World Travel and Tourism Council’s economic data for the years 1999-2011 to test our model for Balkan countries. In order to test our model, we used correlation analysis instead of using multiple regression analysis because of the limited number of years for each Balkan country. Results of our analysis revealed that for almost all Balkan countries, public and private investments in tourism industry have a positive impact on tourist arrivals and tourism spending, which is made by tourists. Another main finding of this study is that tourism spending has a positive relationship with T&amp;T direct and total contribution to GDP in Balkan countries.    Keywords: Balkan Countries, Tourism Performance, Gross Domestic Product, Government and Private Investments</text>
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                    <text>Historical Process of the Human Development Performance of Turkey
OrhanKandemir
Kastamonu University
Turkey
okandemir@kastamonu.edu.tr
Abstract: Human development indices of the world’s countries are published through the
UNDP. We observe that Turkey's human development index has risen during the history like
other countries of the world when these indices are examined. However, the most realistic
way to determine whether such rise is sufficient or not is to compare foregoing with that of
the other countries. In this study, we shall evaluate primarily human development indices of
Turkey and the main determinants of human development (income, education, health)
performance between the years of 1980 and 2012 comparing same with the averages of the
world and OECD countries. Subsequently, comparisons will be made within the framework of
the "inequality-adjusted human development index" data indicating whether or not the human
development has a fair distribution among different segments of the society. This is because
development of policies that will ensure the evenly distribution of this development in the
society is also as important as the rapid rise in human development in a country.
Keywords: Human development, inequality-adjusted human development index, human
development performance.

83

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                <text>Human development indices of the world’s countries are published through the UNDP. We observe that Turkey's human development index has risen during the history like other countries of the world when these indices are examined. However, the most realistic way to determine whether such rise is sufficient or not is to compare foregoing with that of the other countries. In this study, we shall evaluate primarily human development indices of Turkey and the main determinants of human development (income, education, health) performance between the years of 1980 and 2012 comparing same with the averages of the world and OECD countries. Subsequently, comparisons will be made within the framework of the "inequality-adjusted human development index" data indicating whether or not the human development has a fair distribution among different segments of the society. This is because development of policies that will ensure the evenly distribution of this development in the society is also as important as the rapid rise in human development in a country.    Keywords: Human development, inequality-adjusted human development index, human development performance.</text>
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