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                    <text>Female worker in European Union Labor Law and Turkish Labor Law

KübraÖz
Cumhuriyet University
Turkey
kubra.oz@hotmail.com

Abstract: The European Union social policy includes issues like increasing employment rate,
ensuring free movement of labor, improving working conditions and living conditions,
providing temporary assistance for unemployed, and freedom of social security and
organization within the general lines. Besides all these applications, other European Union
social policies can be considered as treating men and women equally, preventing
discrimination and social exclusion. Even though the European Union policy developed
policies just for workers and unemployed initially, today this policy has become a policy
which covers everyone who is economically weak.
The first policy which is related to treating women and men equally takes place in Treaty of
Rome and according to the provision no. 119. Some arrangements were made which is about
balancing the charges for men and women. And this first step taken for equity of wages paved
the way for regulations in order to be equal between men and women in the other areas like
social security and social welfare. Also European Union Community is established for the
purpose of economically this caused many regulations for women. And in this context, up to
present EU, there are many legislative work and action programs in order to protect women
workers, ensure equal treatment for women and men, and provide equal opportunities for
women, increase women employment rate, improve family life and working life. Along these
studies, the new approach which is adopted by EU within the framework of equality of women
and men is about exposing equality of women and men under the main plan and policies.
When we examine Turkish law system, the principle of equal treatment for everyone is
guaranteed by the constitution. In true sense, the first embodiment in Turkish work life for
women who gained worker status with the industrial revolution took place in Public Health
Law in 1930. Although there is no special law for women in our country, there are some
provisions to prevent discrimination between men and women. At the same time, in the
process of harmonization of Turkish legislation with union acquits, the arrangements for
women workers have taken place in Turkish labor legislation. In this paper, the arrangements
towards women workers in the context of both European Union labor law and Turkish labor
law will be discussed.
Keywords:female labor, working life, European Union labor law.

14

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                <text>The European Union social policy includes issues like increasing employment rate, ensuring free movement of labor, improving working conditions and living conditions, providing temporary assistance for unemployed, and freedom of social security and organization within the general lines. Besides all these applications, other European Union social policies can be considered as treating men and women equally, preventing discrimination and social exclusion. Even though the European Union policy developed policies just for workers and unemployed initially, today this policy has become a policy which covers everyone who is economically weak.  The first policy which is related to treating women and men equally takes place in Treaty of Rome and according to the provision no. 119. Some arrangements were made which is about balancing the charges for men and women. And this first step taken for equity of wages paved the way for regulations in order to be equal between men and women in the other areas like social security and social welfare. Also European Union Community is established for the purpose of economically this caused many regulations for women. And in this context, up to present EU, there are many legislative work and action programs in order to protect women workers, ensure equal treatment for women and men, and provide equal opportunities for women, increase women employment rate, improve family life and working life. Along these studies, the new approach which is adopted by EU within the framework of equality of women and men is about exposing equality of women and men under the main plan and policies.  When we examine Turkish law system, the principle of equal treatment for everyone is guaranteed by the constitution. In true sense, the first embodiment in Turkish work life for women who gained worker status with the industrial revolution took place in Public Health Law in 1930. Although there is no special law for women in our country, there are some provisions to prevent discrimination between men and women. At the same time, in the process of harmonization of Turkish legislation with union acquits, the arrangements for women workers have taken place in Turkish labor legislation. In this paper, the arrangements towards women workers in the context of both European Union labor law and Turkish labor law will be discussed.  Keywords:female labor, working life, European Union labor law.</text>
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                    <text>The Feldstein–Horioka Puzzle among EU Members: A Panel Approach
İbrahim Örnek
University of KahramanmarasSütcü Imam
Turkey
iornek@hotmail.com
SelenUtlu
University of Gaziantep
Turkey
selenu@gmail.com

Abstract: The degree of integration to the international capital markets is a crucial issue for
the economic policy implementations in developing countries. A major determinant of the
degree of international capital mobility is the saving-investment association.
One of the biggest problems of developing countries is the insufficiency of savings. This gap is
financed by foreign capital in today’s global economies. It is generally believed that, the
correlation between national savings and domestic investments becomes weak when there is
high capital mobility between countries. The degree of capital mobility through the domestic
saving-investment interaction is firstly analyzed by Feldstein and Horioka (1980). The
purpose of this paper is to investigate the level of capital mobility in European Union
members in a period of 1980-2012, with using the Feldstein–Horiokamethod.
Feldstein and Horioka (1980) regressed the investment ratio against a constant and the
saving ratio in a cross section of 16 industrialized countries, which are OECD members, over
the period 1960-1974 and found that the coefficient on saving was in the range of 0.85-0.95.
The basic conclusion of Feldstein and Horioka’s analysis is that an increase in domestic
saving has a substantial effect on the level of domestic investment. However, with perfect
world capital mobility, there is little or no relation between the domestic investment in a
country and the amount of savings generated in that country. This result is known in the
literature as the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle. Feldstein and Horioka (1980) argued that the
relationship between domestic investment and domestic saving rates is related with the
international capital mobility and thus caused the rise of a puzzle in the economic literature.
Keywords: Feldstein–Horioka puzzle, Saving-investment, Capital mobility, European Union,
Panel

15

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                <text>The degree of integration to the international capital markets is a crucial issue for the economic policy implementations in developing countries. A major determinant of the degree of international capital mobility is the saving-investment association.   One of the biggest problems of developing countries is the insufficiency of savings. This gap is financed by foreign capital in today’s global economies. It is generally believed that, the correlation between national savings and domestic investments becomes weak when there is high capital mobility between countries. The degree of capital mobility through the domestic saving-investment interaction is firstly analyzed by Feldstein and Horioka (1980). The purpose of this paper is to investigate the level of capital mobility in European Union members in a period of 1980-2012, with using the Feldstein–Horiokamethod.    Feldstein and Horioka (1980) regressed the investment ratio against a constant and the saving ratio in a cross section of 16 industrialized countries, which are OECD members, over the period 1960-1974 and found that the coefficient on saving was in the range of 0.85-0.95.   The basic conclusion of Feldstein and Horioka’s analysis is that an increase in domestic saving has a substantial effect on the level of domestic investment. However, with perfect world capital mobility, there is little or no relation between the domestic investment in a country and the amount of savings generated in that country. This result is known in the literature as the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle. Feldstein and Horioka (1980) argued that the relationship between domestic investment and domestic saving rates is related with the international capital mobility and thus caused the rise of a puzzle in the economic literature.    Keywords: Feldstein–Horioka puzzle, Saving-investment, Capital mobility, European Union, Panel</text>
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                    <text>The Feldstein–Horioka Puzzle across EU Members: A Panel Approach
İbrahim Örnek
University of KahramanmarasSütcü Imam
Turkey
iornek@hotmail.com
SelenUtlu
University of Gaziantep
Turkey
selenu@gmail.com
Abstract: The degree of integration to the international capital markets is a crucial issue for
the economic policy implementations in developing countries. A major determinant of the
degree of international capital mobility is the saving-investment association.
One of the biggest problems of developing countries is the insufficiency of savings for
financing their investments that is crucial for economic growth. This gap is financed by
foreign capital in today’s global economies. It is generally believed that, the correlation
between national savings and domestic investments becomes weak when there is high capital
mobility between countries. The degree of capital mobility through the domestic savinginvestment interaction is first analyzed by Feldstein and Horioka (1980).

Feldstein and Horioka (1980) used regression in the investment ratio against a constant and
the saving ratio in a cross section of 16 industrialized countries, which are OECD members,
over the period 1960-1974 and found that the coefficient on saving was in the range of 0.850.95. They interpreted this finding as indicating that 85-95 % of national savings was invested
in the country of origin, which implied a rejection of perfect capital mobility.
The basic conclusion of Feldstein and Horioka’s analysis is that an increase in domestic
saving has a substantial effect on the level of domestic investment. However, with perfect
world capital mobility, there is little or no relation between the domestic investment in a
country and the amount of savings generated in that country. This result was known in the
literature as the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle. Feldstein and Horioka (1980) argued that the
relationship between domestic investment and domestic saving rates is related with the
international capital mobility and thus caused the rise of a puzzle in the economic literature.

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the level of capital mobility in European Union
members using the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle proposed by Feldstein and Horioka (1980) in
order to investigate relations between saving and investment flows.
Keywords: Feldstein–Horioka puzzle, Saving-investment, Capital mobility, European Union,
Panel

49

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                <text>The degree of integration to the international capital markets is a crucial issue for the economic policy implementations in developing countries. A major determinant of the degree of international capital mobility is the saving-investment association.   One of the biggest problems of developing countries is the insufficiency of savings for financing their investments that is crucial for economic growth. This gap is financed by foreign capital in today’s global economies. It is generally believed that, the correlation between national savings and domestic investments becomes weak when there is high capital mobility between countries. The degree of capital mobility through the domestic saving-investment interaction is first analyzed by Feldstein and Horioka (1980).    Feldstein and Horioka (1980) used regression in the investment ratio against a constant and the saving ratio in a cross section of 16 industrialized countries, which are OECD members, over the period 1960-1974 and found that the coefficient on saving was in the range of 0.85-0.95. They interpreted this finding as indicating that 85-95 % of national savings was invested in the country of origin, which implied a rejection of perfect capital mobility.   The basic conclusion of Feldstein and Horioka’s analysis is that an increase in domestic saving has a substantial effect on the level of domestic investment. However, with perfect world capital mobility, there is little or no relation between the domestic investment in a country and the amount of savings generated in that country. This result was known in the literature as the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle. Feldstein and Horioka (1980) argued that the relationship between domestic investment and domestic saving rates is related with the international capital mobility and thus caused the rise of a puzzle in the economic literature.    The purpose of this paper is to investigate the level of capital mobility in European Union members using the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle proposed by Feldstein and Horioka (1980) in order to investigate relations between saving and investment flows.  Keywords: Feldstein–Horioka puzzle, Saving-investment, Capital mobility, European Union, Panel</text>
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                    <text>Human Security in Bosnia, Kosovo and Albania
BekirÇinar
Epoka University
Albania
bcinar@epoka.edu.al

Abstract: It is clear that human security is one of the main concerns of every individual. This
paper is investigating human security issues in Bosnia, Albania and Kosovo in order to assess
possible threat to humans. Theoretically, paper is investigating ‘the idea of human security’
with focus on material and metaphysical sources that identifying the real foundation of
‘vulnerability or resilience in a population’.
Methodology of this paper is quantitative methods and quasi-experimental design is used. In
order to assess the human security secondary sources and available primary sources are used
for collecting the required data. The main question of this paper is whether these countries
have any concern of security and human security studies at their educational institutions
which is vital for future of human being in these countries.
The paper suggests that that there is a complex situation that could be best described by a
multi-cultural and multi- ethnic variation of human security.
Keywords: Human Security, Bosnia, Albanian, Threat

18

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                <text>It is clear that human security is one of the main concerns of every individual. This paper is investigating human security issues in Bosnia, Albania and Kosovo in order to assess possible threat to humans. Theoretically, paper is investigating ‘the idea of human security’ with focus on material and metaphysical sources that identifying the real foundation of ‘vulnerability or resilience in a population’.  Methodology of this paper is quantitative methods and quasi-experimental design is used. In order to assess the human security secondary sources and available primary sources are used for collecting the required data. The main question of this paper is whether these countries have any concern of security and human security studies at their educational institutions which is vital for future of human being in these countries.  The paper suggests that that there is a complex situation that could be best described by a multi-cultural and multi- ethnic variation of human security.    Keywords: Human Security, Bosnia, Albanian, Threat</text>
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                    <text>Are Islamic Banks More Effective than Conventional Banks for Turkey’s
Development?
GönülÇifçi
Adiyaman University
Turkey
cifcigonul@gmail.com
SaadettinPaksoy
Kilis 7 Aralik University
Turkey
spaksoy@kilis.edu.tr

Abstract: Islamic banks are so popular nowadays, while many people had preferred to stay
far in the past. Even to World’s first and foremost conventional banks have new departments
related to Islamic banking. Essentially, Islamic banking is similar to conventional banking in
many areas but all rules about transactions, services but interest is pivot of conventional
banking. That is why some Muslims had hesitation to make investments in banking systems. In
that perspective, Islamic banking fulfilled many people’s investment desire.
Are Islamic banks more effective than conventional banks for development with Islamic
bank’s remarkable performance and ability to generate high volume in Islam countries like
Indonesia and Malaysia? Or that success is just a coincidence? We will seek that questions’
answer by examining Islamic and conventional banks in Turkey.
Key Words: Islamic Banking, Conventional Banking, Turkey, Development.

62

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                <text>Islamic banks are so popular nowadays, while many people had preferred to stay far in the past. Even to World’s first and foremost conventional banks have new departments related to Islamic banking. Essentially, Islamic banking is similar to conventional banking in many areas but all rules about transactions, services but interest is pivot of conventional banking. That is why some Muslims had hesitation to make investments in banking systems. In that perspective, Islamic banking fulfilled many people’s investment desire.    Are Islamic banks more effective than conventional banks for development with Islamic bank’s remarkable performance and ability to generate high volume in Islam countries like Indonesia and Malaysia? Or that success is just a coincidence? We will seek that questions’ answer by examining Islamic and conventional banks in Turkey.    Key Words: Islamic Banking, Conventional Banking, Turkey, Development.</text>
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                    <text>Harnessing Private Sector Growth for Inclusive Development

Mohamed Zulkhibri
Islamic Development Bank
Saudi Arabia
khibri1974@yahoo.com

Abstract: The study examines the role of private sector for inclusive development based on
descriptive qualitative analysis using secondary data and various key economic indicators for
private sector with respect to inclusive development, among others are poverty, inclusive
growth, investment, job creations, education, and infrastructure. By simple definition, private
sector constitutes a broader term covering all private actors engaged in economic activity,
from the small market seller and farmer to large domestic and foreign corporations. The
private sector consists of more than formal businesses or corporation, even though many
discussions have tempted to concentrate on the role of multinational corporations (MNCs) or
large corporations.
The study argues that private firms can play a vital role in enhancing inclusive growth
prospects as investors, employers and creators of new and upgraded productive potential.
Private sector activity matters for growth as well as its quality, sustainability and
inclusiveness. In most countries, the private sector is the major component of national income
and the major employer and creator of jobs. The pace of job growth and the quality of
employment in the private sector are thus central to development. A vibrant private sector
also contributes to higher wages. The financial sector is seen as playing a crucial role in
economic growth by mobilizing savings, facilitating payments and trade of goods and services
and promoting efficient allocation of resources.
The qualitative analysis suggests that private firms can play a vital role in enhancing
inclusive growth prospects given their ability to create new and higher value productive
capacity. The capability of firms to launch new export products and raise product quality
generates higher profitability and productive potential with spill over benefits to other firms
and industries. However, private sector activity per se does not automatically result in
equality of opportunity across individuals and firms. It has been very thoughtful to many of
countries towards „Inclusive Business Models‟. This includes facilitating these various actors
to come together in public-private collaboration to build “inclusive markets” and sectorspecific strategies.
Keywords: private sector; inclusive development; poverty reduction

55

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                <text>The study examines the role of private sector for inclusive development based on descriptive qualitative analysis using secondary data and various key economic indicators for private sector with respect to inclusive development, among others are poverty, inclusive growth, investment, job creations, education, and infrastructure. By simple definition, private sector constitutes a broader term covering all private actors engaged in economic activity, from the small market seller and farmer to large domestic and foreign corporations. The private sector consists of more than formal businesses or corporation, even though many discussions have tempted to concentrate on the role of multinational corporations (MNCs) or large corporations.  The study argues that private firms can play a vital role in enhancing inclusive growth prospects as investors, employers and creators of new and upgraded productive potential. Private sector activity matters for growth as well as its quality, sustainability and inclusiveness. In most countries, the private sector is the major component of national income and the major employer and creator of jobs. The pace of job growth and the quality of employment in the private sector are thus central to development. A vibrant private sector also contributes to higher wages. The financial sector is seen as playing a crucial role in economic growth by mobilizing savings, facilitating payments and trade of goods and services and promoting efficient allocation of resources.  The qualitative analysis suggests that private firms can play a vital role in enhancing inclusive growth prospects given their ability to create new and higher value productive capacity. The capability of firms to launch new export products and raise product quality generates higher profitability and productive potential with spill over benefits to other firms and industries. However, private sector activity per se does not automatically result in equality of opportunity across individuals and firms. It has been very thoughtful to many of countries towards ‘Inclusive Business Models’. This includes facilitating these various actors to come together in public-private collaboration to build “inclusive markets” and sector-specific strategies.  Keywords: private sector; inclusive development; poverty reduction</text>
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                    <text>Crisis of the European Union and its Effects on the EU Enlargement Policy:
Case of Western Balkans
HaticeYazgan
CankiriKaratekin University
Turkey
yazganhatice@hotmail.com

Abstract: European Union (EU) Enlargement is identified as a successful tool for the EU in
order to enhance economic and security benefits as well as to Europeanize the prospective
members. Despite its achievements until now, enlargement have also some negative
repercussions since the enlargement process gives rise to exceeding burden to the EU budget,
institutions and some key policies in the short term. Current economic crisis of the EU, along
with its political and social impacts add another dimension to the challenges of enlargement.
Today Western Balkan countries, Turkey and Iceland are the countries involved in the future
enlargements. Main aim of this paper is to analyse the impact of the EU crisis on the
enlargement of the EU in general and on Western Balkans in particular. Although the EU
enlargement process continues officially, current economic crisis has negatively affected the
process. On the one hand, the EU with an ongoing crisis lost some attractiveness for the
candidates and on the other hand, its absorption/integration capacity has decreased in the
sense that a new enlargement wave with burdensome candidates would not be feasible for the
EU. Besides, the crisis deepened the North-South divide in the EU and thus Western Balkan
countries will be mostly among the Southern part in terms of economic and social
development. Bearing in mind the negative perception of the European public opinion
towards EU enlargement which deepened with the crisis, EU needs more legitimacy in order
to justify the Western Balkans Enlargement. Last but not the least, growing EU demand from
the candidates as a result of the evolving enlargement conditionality through the years is the
other factor affecting the future of enlargement. Main argument of this paper is; although the
economic and political crises of the EU do not present favourable conditions for both sides,
the EU already has the justification for Western Balkans’ Enlargement due to its geographic
location “in” Europe and the EU’s ineffective position to prevent the violence during the
wars of 1990s which will be reverted to an active position with enlargement.
Keywords: Conditionality, Crisis, European Union Enlargement, Western Balkans

11

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                <text>YAZGAN, Hatice</text>
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                <text>European Union (EU) Enlargement is identified as a successful tool for the EU in order to enhance economic and security benefits as well as to Europeanize the prospective members. Despite its achievements until now, enlargement have also some negative repercussions since the enlargement process gives rise to exceeding burden to the EU budget, institutions and some key policies in the short term. Current economic crisis of the EU, along with its political and social impacts add another dimension to the challenges of enlargement. Today Western Balkan countries, Turkey and Iceland are the countries involved in the future enlargements. Main aim of this paper is to analyse the impact of the EU crisis on the enlargement of the EU in general and on Western Balkans in particular. Although the EU enlargement process continues officially, current economic crisis has negatively affected the process. On the one hand, the EU with an ongoing crisis lost some attractiveness for the candidates and on the other hand, its absorption/integration capacity has decreased in the sense that a new enlargement wave with burdensome candidates would not be feasible for the EU. Besides, the crisis deepened the North-South divide in the EU and thus Western Balkan countries will be mostly among the Southern part in terms of economic and social development. Bearing in mind the negative perception of the European public opinion towards EU enlargement which deepened with the crisis, EU needs more legitimacy in order to justify the Western Balkans Enlargement. Last but not the least, growing EU demand from the candidates as a result of the evolving enlargement conditionality through the years is the other factor affecting the future of enlargement. Main argument of this paper is; although the economic and political crises of the EU do not present favourable conditions for both sides, the EU already has the justification for Western Balkans’ Enlargement due to its geographic location “in” Europe and the EU’s ineffective position to prevent the violence during the wars of 1990s which will be reverted to an active position with enlargement.  Keywords: Conditionality, Crisis, European Union Enlargement, Western Balkans </text>
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                    <text>The Determinants of Tourist Arrivals at NUTSIII Level in Turkey
BurcuTürkcan
Ege University
Turkey
burcu.turkcan@ege.edu.tr

Abstract:Tourism is one of the key sectors in the regional economic growth and development.
Especially countries, which have coastal areas, historical places and famous cultural events like Olympics, Carnivals, Film Festivals etc.- experience high tourism turnovers and hence
some other macroeconomic benefits. Particularly, the typical kinds of these macroeconomic
benefits that governments can expect from tourism include; earning foreign currency and
making a positive contribution to the balance of payments; developing the services sector and
contributing to the gross domestic product; attracting inward investment and income
multiplier effects; and employment creation. Consequently, tourism has a key importance in
both national and regional economies. By taking into account these macroeconomic impacts
of tourism sector, the main aims of this study are to analyze the determinants of tourist
arrivals at NUTSIII level in Turkey and to make policy recommendations for regional
authorities in order to enhance tourism sector in their regions.
In this respect, in the first section of this study, the role and importance of tourism sector in
regional economic growth and development are explained and some key statistics about the
issue are given. In the second section, a spatial panel data analysis is conducted for the
period of 2000 - 2010 and the empirical results are interpreted. Lastly, in the third section,
by following the empirical results, some policy recommendations for the regional
administrations are made. This study makes some contributions to the related literature
because of the fact that, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first study examining the
determinants of tourist arrivals at NUTSIII level in Turkey by using spatial econometric
methods.
Keywords: Tourism, regional economics, spatial econometrics, Turkey

60

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                <text>The Determinants of Tourist Arrivals at NUTSIII Level in Turkey</text>
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                <text>Tourism is one of the key sectors in the regional economic growth and development. Especially countries, which have coastal areas, historical places and famous cultural events -like Olympics, Carnivals, Film Festivals etc.- experience high tourism turnovers and hence some other macroeconomic benefits. Particularly, the typical kinds of these macroeconomic benefits that governments can expect from tourism include; earning foreign currency and making a positive contribution to the balance of payments; developing the services sector and contributing to the gross domestic product; attracting inward investment and income multiplier effects; and employment creation. Consequently, tourism has a key importance in both national and regional economies. By taking into account these macroeconomic impacts of tourism sector, the main aims of this study are to analyze the determinants of tourist arrivals at NUTSIII level in Turkey and to make policy recommendations for regional authorities in order to enhance tourism sector in their regions.    In this respect, in the first section of this study, the role and importance of tourism sector in regional economic growth and development are explained and some key statistics about the issue are given. In the second section, a spatial panel data analysis is conducted for the period of 2000 - 2010 and the empirical results are interpreted.  Lastly, in the third section, by following the empirical results, some policy recommendations for the regional administrations are made. This study makes some contributions to the related literature because of the fact that, to the best of our knowledge, this is the first study examining the determinants of tourist arrivals at NUTSIII level in Turkey by using spatial econometric methods.    Keywords: Tourism, regional economics, spatial econometrics, Turkey</text>
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                    <text>A View to the Short and Long Run Dynamic Relationship between Crude
Oil and the Major Asset Classes
Ibrahim Turhan
Borsa Istanbul
Turkey
ErkHacihasanoglu
Borsa Istanbul
Turkey
erk.hacihasanoglu@borsaistanbul.com
AhmetSensoy
Borsa Istanbul
Turkey
KevserOzturk
Borsa Istanbul
Turkey

Abstract: Using DCC-MIDAS model, we analyze the time-varying correlations between crude
oil and the major asset classes by taking into account both long and short term components.
Next, the structural changes in the long term correlation components are determined by a
novel methodology of penalized contrast functions, and the robustness of the results is
checked with Markov switching regressions. We reveal that there is a strong positive
(negative) secular trend toward higher correlation magnitudes across crude oil and gold
(dollar index) over our sample time period. On the other hand, the increase toward higher
positive correlation levels between crude oil-stock market and crude oil-bond market occur in
a near-instantaneous fashion after the 2008 global financial crisis. In particular, the
structural changes in the long term correlations are observed around April-May 2009.
Following Fed's tapering signals in 2013, we observe a significant rise in crude oil-dollar
index correlation for both short and long run components. Such a situation might indicate the
reversion of the relationship between these two markets to pre-crisis status.
Keywords: DCC-MIDAS; crude oil; interest rate; exchange rate; stock market; gold.

92

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HACIHASANOGLU, Erk
SENSOY, Ahmet
OZTURK, Kevser</text>
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                <text>Using DCC-MIDAS model, we analyze the time-varying correlations between crude oil and the major asset classes by taking into account both long and short term components. Next, the structural changes in the long term correlation components are determined by a novel methodology of penalized contrast functions, and the robustness of the results is checked with Markov switching regressions. We reveal that there is a strong positive (negative) secular trend toward higher correlation magnitudes across crude oil and gold (dollar index) over our sample time period. On the other hand, the increase toward higher positive correlation levels between crude oil-stock market and crude oil-bond market occur in a near-instantaneous fashion after the 2008 global financial crisis. In particular, the structural changes in the long term correlations are observed around April-May 2009. Following Fed's tapering signals in 2013, we observe a significant rise in crude oil-dollar index correlation for both short and long run components. Such a situation might indicate the reversion of the relationship between these two markets to pre-crisis status.    Keywords: DCC-MIDAS; crude oil; interest rate; exchange rate; stock market; gold.</text>
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                    <text>The Driving Forces behind Albania’s Growth
GüngörTuran
Epoka University
Albania
gturan@epoka.edu.al
ÇeljetaSherifi
Epoka University
Albania
celjetasherifi@gmail.com

Abstract: This paper examines the determinants of the Albanian economic growth that
occurred from 2002-2012. We have explored, first, the time series properties of the growth
rates of gross domestic product and labor productivity with an extended battery of unit-root
tests. Then, in a multivariate setting, we use the VAR model methodology to provide evidence
that physical and human capital accumulation, R&amp;D expenditure, openness and
competitiveness are the main drivers of output, labor productivity and total factor
productivity growth in the long run.

Keywords: growth, Solow model, VAR methodology, Albania.

56

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SHERIFI, Çeljeta</text>
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                <text>This paper examines the determinants of the Albanian economic growth that occurred from 2002-2012. We have explored, first, the time series properties of the growth rates of gross domestic product and labor productivity with an extended battery of unit-root tests. Then, in a multivariate setting, we use the VAR model methodology to provide evidence that physical and human capital accumulation, R&amp;D expenditure, openness and competitiveness are the main drivers of output, labor productivity and total factor productivity growth in the long run.    Keywords: growth, Solow model, VAR methodology, Albania.  </text>
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