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                    <text>Journal of Economic and Social Studies

Agricultural Productivity and Poverty Alleviation:
What Role for Technological Innovation
Abdelhafidh Dhrifi
Faculty of Economic Sciences and Management, Department of
Economics,
University of Sousse-Tunisia
Sousse-Tunisia
Abdelhafidh.dhrifi@gmail.com
Abstract: The role of agriculture in
economic development remains much
debated. This paper takes an empirical
perspective
and
focuses
on
the
relationships
between
agriculture
productivity and poverty reduction. The
contribution of agriculture sector to
poverty is shown to depend on its own
growth performance, its indirect impact
on growth in other sectors, the extent to
which poor people participate in the
sector, and the size of the sector in the
overall economy. Bringing together these
different effects and taking into
consideration the role played by
technological innovation, we use an
aggregate annual panel data, on a
sample
composed
of
32SubSaharanAfrica (SSA) countries, from
1990-2011 to estimate a simultaneous
equation model that capture the
interrelationship between agriculture
productivity, technological innovation
and poverty. Findings show first that
agricultural productivity contributes
significantly to economic growth and
poverty in SSA. Second, technological
innovation appears to have a positive
and significant impact on poverty
Introduction
through its direct and indirect impact
through agriculture productivity and
growth.

Keywords: Agriculture
Productivity, Economic
Growth, Technological
Innovation, Poverty,
Simultaneous Equation
Model, SSA.
JEL Classification:
N51, Q10, Q16.
Article History
Submitted: 11 May 2013
Resubmitted: 01 October
2013
Accepted: 22 October
2013

139

�Abdelhafidh Dhrifi

Around the world, agriculture is and will continue to be a major building
block in the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).
Recent statistics show that agricultural production needs to increase by 70
percent by 2050 in order to feed the world (World Bank, 2007). However,
hunger and malnutrition persist in many countries, often because of
slowly agricultural productivity (AP)i. The expected increases in
agricultural demand, associated with population growth hand increase per
capita incomes, will require continued increase in agricultural growth.
History shows that different rates of poverty reduction over the past 40
years have been closely related to differences in agricultural performance
particularly the rate of growth of agricultural growth. In simple terms, this
means that these are the countries that have managed to increase their
agricultural productivity that have managed to reduce their poverty rates
(Abare, 2001). According to that, agriculture remains the economic heart
of most developing and developed countries.
The productive potential of agriculture is varied and depends on the
natural resource endowment, geographical location, links with the rest of
the economy and social dimensions of the population. Some authors
expected that, success strategies from pro-poor growth in agriculture
passed through improved agricultural productivity and technological
innovation (Bravo-Ortega and Lederman, 2005). These efforts should
focus on the improving conditions for greater access to technological
innovation because it is pointed that technological change in agriculture is
essential for reducing poverty, fostering development, and stimulating
economic growth especially in developing countries. Thereby, the
agricultural development model, in many developing countries, is based
primarily on technical aspects. The objective of this model is not only
physically increase the productivity of agricultural land, but also to
increase participation of small and medium farmers in the production. In
this context, it tries to provide farmers' technological package "designed as
the main instrument to increase agricultural production and to reduce
poverty.
Further, if empirical efforts showing the relationships among agricultural
growth and economic growth have grown considerably over the last few
years, this paper differs and focuses on agricultural sector development
and poverty reduction. More specifically, the objectives of this paper are to
identify the various channels through which agricultural productivity
influence poverty reduction and to investigate the role played by
technological innovation in determining agricultural performance. The
paper utilizes aggregate annual panel data, on a sample composed of
32Sub-SaharanAfrica (SSA) countries, from 1990-2011 to estimate a
simultaneous equation model that capture the interrelationship between
140

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Studies

�Agricultural Productivity and Poverty Alleviation: What Role for Technological
Innovation

agriculture productivity, technological innovation and poverty. In section
2, we present an overview of the literature on the relation connecting
agriculture productivity and poverty. Section three discusses empirical
model and describes the variables. Model appraisal and validation are
handled in section four. The paper concludes in section five.
Literature Review
In recent years, agriculture became an important part of the livelihoods of
many poor people, and it is frequently argued that agricultural
productivity is a fundamental pre-requisite for poverty reduction (Byerle
et al., (2005) Johnston and Mellor (1961)) account explicitly for
agriculture as an active sector in the economy. In addition to labor and
food supply, agriculture plays an active role in economic growth through
important production and consumption linkages (DFID, 2005). On the
consumption side, a higher productivity in agriculture can increase the
income of the population, thereby creating demand for domestically
produced industrial output. Such linkage effects can increase employment
opportunities, thereby indirectly generating an increase of income.
Moreover, agricultural goods can be exported to earn foreign exchange in
order to import capital goods. Agriculture contributes to both income
growth and poverty reduction in both developed and developing countries
by generating employment and providing food at reasonable prices. It
provides food, income and jobs and hence can be an engine of growth in
agriculture-based countries and an effective tool to reduce poverty. It can
thus facilitate development by allowing a sustained transfer of resources
from agriculture to the rest of the economy, including through the supply
of capital to other sectors.
The most direct contribution of agricultural growth is through generating
higher incomes for farmers. Two conditions affect the influence of this on
poverty. First, there is the degree to which the poor are engaged in
farming. The second condition is the extent to which output growth raises
incomes. In particular, if land is scarce, increased returns to agriculture
may be reflected in higher land rents. In cases where the poor till land
belonging to others, the capitalization of benefits into higher rents could
seriously undermine the contribution to poverty reduction.
Economic literature offers four transmission mechanisms critically link
changes in agricultural performance, more especially productivity
increases, to progress in reducing poverty: the direct and relatively
immediate impact of improved agricultural performance on incomes;
impact of cheaper food for poor; agriculture’s contribution to growth and
the generation of economic opportunity in the non-farm sector; and
141

�Abdelhafidh Dhrifi

agriculture’s fundamental role in stimulating and sustaining economic
transition, as countries shift away from being primarily agricultural
towards a broader base of manufacturing and services (Allen, 1994).
Empirical studies support the view that agricultural growth promotes
poverty reduction (see the review by Thirtle et al., 2001; Hanmer and
Nashchold, 2000; Irz et al, 2001; Kanwar, 2000; Matsuyama, 1992;
Ravallion and Datt, 1999; Stern, 1996; Timmer, 2003; Wichmann, 1997).
For example, Matsuyama (1992) shows that improving agricultural
productivity has probably been the single most important factor in
determining the speed and extent of poverty reduction during the past 40
years. Much of this evidence is derived from the Green Revolution in Asia.
Examples from Africa are noticeably fewer. In the same context, Warr
(2001) provided evidence that growth in agriculture in a number of South
East Asian countries significantly reduced poverty, but this was not
matched by growth in manufacturing. Gallup et al. (1997) showed that
every 1% growth in per capita agricultural Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
led to 1.61% growth in the incomes of the poorest 20% of the population
much greater than the impact of similar increases in the manufacturing or
service sectors. This result is confirmed by Stern (1996) which found a
similar and significant relationship between growth in the agricultural and
non-agricultural sectors during 1965–1980 for a large number of
developing countries.
In terms of the role of agricultural growth in reducing poverty, Thirtle et
al. (2001) concluded from cross-country regression analysis that, on
average, every 1% increase in labor productivity in agriculture reduced the
number of people living on less than a dollar a day by between 0.6 and
1.2%. In the same vein of studies, De Janvry and Sadoulet (2000) estimate
that in Asia, a 10% increase in total factor productivity in agriculture
would raise the incomes of small-scale farmers by 5%. At the same, Hazell
and Haddad (2001) estimated that a 1% addition to the agricultural
growth rate in India stimulated a 0.5% addition to the growth rate of
industrial output, and a 0.7% addition to the growth rate of national
income.
Numerous other studies reveal similar results, but emphasize the
important qualification that the degree to which agricultural growth
reduces poverty is usually conditional upon the initial distribution of
assets (in particular land) and the initial level of inequality (Bourgignon
and Morrison, 1998; Timmer, 2003; De Janvry and Saddoulet, 2000;
Andersson-Djurfeldt, 2013). Lipton and Longhurst (1989) and Hazell and
Ramasamy (1991) provide similar evidence.
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�Agricultural Productivity and Poverty Alleviation: What Role for Technological
Innovation

Finally, economic literature offers three major opportunities that can
transform the agriculture of a country into a force for economic growth
and thereby can reduce poverty: advances in science and technology; the
creation of regional markets; and the emergence of a new crop of
entrepreneurial leaders dedicated to the continent's economic
improvement. The following paragraph focuses on the role of
technological innovation in determining the relationships between
agriculture productivity and poverty reduction.
Technological Innovation and Agricultural Performance
Having reviewed the role that agriculture can play in economic growth
and poverty, we now look at the role that can play technological
innovation in agriculture productivity and by consequence, in reducing
poverty. Agricultural science, technology, and innovation are vital to
promoting development and poverty reduction (Binswanger and
Townsend, 2000). To this end, many studies on agricultural research,
extension, and education have highlighted the importance of technological
innovation and policies in these areas (De Janvry and Sadoulet, 2000).
Thereby, technological innovation can benefit the poor in many different
ways: First, it can help poverty alleviation directly by raising the incomes
of poor farmers who adopt the resulting technological innovation. Second,
technological change can help reduce poverty indirectly through the
effects which adoption, by both poor and non-poor farmers, can have on
the real income of others largely through lower food prices for consumers
and increased employment and wage effects in agriculture and other
sectors of economic activity through production, consumption, and
savings linkages with agriculture.
Technological innovation is considered now as an integral part of the
reform package needed to stimulate agricultural growth and poverty
(Lopez and Valdez, 2000). More than by just spurring economic growth,
technology can do much to reduce poverty and environmental damage. It
can increase the supply of food and reduce morbidity and mortality,
particularly in developing country. It can also increase the supply of water
and, it can lower the costs and increase the supply of energy to the poor.
The reason for the choice of technologies innovations, as a determinant
factor of agricultural productivity is linked to the fact that growth and
performance in agriculture and food sectors is central to any strategy of
reducing poverty and increasing economic growth and poverty (Datt and
Ravallion, 1998).
In this context, Warr (2001) used a computable general equilibrium (CGE)
model, loosely styled on the case of the Philippines, to show how, in a
small open economy, technical improvements in farming are likely to
143

�Abdelhafidh Dhrifi

benefit labour, especially if the technical change is labour-using or landsaving. However, Hazell and Haddad, (2001) show that when output
increase is due to technical innovation, benefits to the poor who farm, and
for whom farming provides the majority of their income, may be limited
for several reasons: adoption by the poor can be limited by a lack of access
to inputs and to the knowledge necessary to use the technology. When
technology and policies are biased against smallholders, agricultural
growth can even have perverse effects on poverty (Datt and Ravallion,
1998).
In SSA countries, national and international agricultural research
investments have generated a range of improved technologies, especially
of modern varieties of the major food crops. A number of Consultative
Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) centers, have
partnered with national programs and led major technology development
efforts aimed at raising the yields of major food crops or averting yield
losses that threatened the livelihoods of millions of Africans (BravoOrtega and Lederman, 2005).
Finally, access to technological innovation is essential if we are to make
agriculture the main driver of pro-poor growth. It can make agriculture
more responsive, dynamic, and competitive. Households and businesses
are highly dependent on both access to technological innovation for their
agricultural production and labor to produce surpluses (Wichmann, 1997).
Empirical Model
Descriptions

Specification,

Sample

and

Variables

Model Specification and Descriptions of Variables
Recall that the principal objective of this study is to estimate the role of
agricultural growth in reducing poverty rates. The key feature of this study
centre’s on the way in which agricultural growth affects poverty directly
and indirectly via economic growth taking into account the role that can
play technological innovation in this relationship, which has been largely
ignored by the previous estimates. To accomplish this, we specify a
simultaneous equations model that consists of a series of three equations
describing the behavior of poverty and economic growth facing a change
in agricultural growth in the presence of an improvement in technological
innovation. In particular, the model consists of a poverty equation, growth
equation and agriculture productivity equation.
The first endogenous variable in the model is poverty, which is measured
as the household final consumption expenditure per capita to GDP over
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�Agricultural Productivity and Poverty Alleviation: What Role for Technological
Innovation

the period 1990-2011. We introduce in the poverty equation a set of
control variables that are commonly used as factoring explaining poverty.
We introduce the income inequality to capture the kind of distribution of
income, GDP per capita growth to capture the economic development, the
number of telephone mainlines per 1000 people as indicator to measure
the quality of infrastructure and population growth.
The second endogenous variable in the model is agricultural. We explain
this variable by a set of variables that determine agricultural growth:
Agricultural irrigated land (% of total agricultural land), employees in
agriculture (% of employment) and an indicator measuring the level of
technological innovation measured by agricultural machinery (tractors per
100 sq km of arable land).
The third endogenous variable in the model is economic growth, which is
measured as the average of growth rate of real Gross Domestic Product
(GDP) per capita over the same period. The growth equation specification
follows the commonly accepted form in the cross-country growth
literature (Barro, 1991), and includes a group of economic variables that
have been identified by empirical growth literature as robust determinants
of economic growth, (Levine and Renelt, 1992). In addition to
technological innovation, the growth equation includes other variables.
The first variable is the average years of secondary schooling in the total
population to capture the level of human capital, it is expected to have a
positive impact on economic growth. The equation also include rate of
inflation (it is introduced in to the model to capture the impact of
macroeconomic stabilization on poverty), trade openness to capture the
degree of international openness on economic growth.
The complete model used in this paper to estimate the impact of
agricultural growth on poverty is based on the model of Alen and
Coulibaly (2009) and it has the following formula:

POVit   0  1it AGit   2GDPGit   3TIit   4 INQit   5 POPit   6TELit  1it

1

GDPGit   0   1 AGit   2TIit   3 INFit   4TRADEit   5 SCHit   6 FDit  2it

 2

AGit   0  1it GDPGit   2TI it  3 AILit   4 EAit  3it (3)
3

Where:
POV: design poverty index which is measured by the household final
consumption expenditure to GDP as a proxy of poverty (Odhiambo, 2009,
2010).
145

�Abdelhafidh Dhrifi

AP: the agricultural productivity measured by agriculture, value added (%
of GDP).
TI: represent the technological innovation indicator measured by
agricultural machinery (tractors per 100 sq km of arable land).
GDPG: the growth of GDP per capita.
INQ: represent the income inequality measured by Theil Indexii.
POP: represent the growth population. It is expected to have a negative
effect on poverty reduction.
TRADE: defined as the sum of exports and imports as a share of GDP. It
is introduced into the model to capture the degree of international
openness. In this context, Matsuyama (1992) suggests that the relation
between agricultural growth and overall poverty depends on the openness
of a country to international trade and that agricultural growth goes hand
in hand with the with the increase in household income.
FD: is an indicator of financial development measured by domestic credit
to private sector to GDP.
INF: The rate of inflation, it is introduced into the model to capture the
impact of macroeconomic stabilization on poverty. Inflation is afact or
worsening poverty because it has a negative impact on the real value of
assets and the purchasing power of household incomes. It is measured by
inflation consumer prices available in World Bank.
AIL: Agricultural irrigated land. It is expected to have a positive effect on
agricultural growth.
EA: is employee’s agriculture.
SCH: is the log of the average years of secondary schooling in the total
population which measures human capital.
TEL: is an indicator measuring the level of infrastructure. It is measured
by the average of the number of telephone mainlines per 1000 people.
How can Agricultural Growth Affect Poverty Reduction?
Poverty equation shows that a change in AP by one unit causes poverty to
change by an amount equal to 1 . Furthermore, poverty equation shows
that a change in economic growth index by one unit causes poverty to
change by an amount equal to  2 . However, agricultural growth equation
shows that a change in AP by one unit can also induce a change in the
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�Agricultural Productivity and Poverty Alleviation: What Role for Technological
Innovation

economic growth index by an amount equal to  1 which means that the
effect of change in AP by one unit is not limited to its direct influence on
poverty, but also includes the indirect impact via economic growth
channel. Thus, the total impact of AP on poverty equals the sum of direct
impact and indirect impact.
This effect can be calculated by finding the derivative of growth with
respect to AP, which is equal to:

Poverty
Growth
  
    *
1 2 AP
1 2 1
AP

 4

(4)

By the same, the total effect of technological innovation on poverty can be
calculated by finding the derivative of poverty with respect to
technological innovation, which is equal to:

Poverty
AP 
 Growth  
   
    3  1
     *  2   3  1 * 2
3
2
TI
TI  
TI  3 1


 5

Estimating the above complete system of equations and finding γ1, γ2,δ1, δ2 ,
δ3 and
allows us to test whether and how agricultural growth and
technological innovation affects poverty reduction.
Sample and Data Sources
Annual time series data, which covers the period 1990-2011, is utilized in
this study. The data used in the study are obtained from the web site of the
World Bank. The sample size and the period of our study are limited by
the availability of data.
Our sample is conducted for 32 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa in which
the agricultural sector contributes at least 10 percent of the gross domestic
product (GDP) and where the majority of the poor depends upon
agriculture for their livelihood. Although the choice of countriesiii is
governed by the availability of data, the included countries broadly cover
the whole of SSA.
Estimation Method
In a simultaneous equation model, like the one developed in the previous
section, a dependent variable in one equation can be an explanatory
variable in other equations in the model. For example, in equation (3), AP
147

�Abdelhafidh Dhrifi

is the dependent variable, which is determined by economic growth and
other variables, but at the same time AP enters the growth equation (2), as
an explanatory variable. As a result, some of the explanatory variables in
simultaneous equation models are endogenous and, therefore, are
correlated with the disturbance terms in all the structural equations of the
model. As a consequence, using Ordinary Least Square, OLS, to estimate
the structural equations will result in inconsistent estimates for the model
parameters. A consistent estimation for the model parameters requires
using an estimation method that can deal with the endogeneity problem.
But before considering the method of the estimation, the identifiability of
the model has to be checked because estimation methods that can be used
in the context of simultaneous equation models are functions of
identification criteria for estimating the model and the endogeneity
problem. In our case, the model presented is over identified. On the other
hand, our model is characterized by the presence of an endogeneity
problem of order two, by definition, why the estimate by the method of
least squares would be triple registered (For details on the method used, it
is recommended to refer to the work of Bourbonnais, 2002). This
estimation method is based on the principle of application of the method
of least squares in three stages.
The Agriculture Sector in Sub-Saharan Africa
Although SSA countries are heterogeneous population, today remains
predominantly rural (65%), assets are primarily in agriculture (60%) and
rural agricultural households (95%) even though they are most often
pluriactive. The rest of the working population is engaged in nonagricultural informal activities (25-30%), mainly urban, and in the formal
sector industries and services (5 to10% maximum). Agricultural sector
constitute the main economic mainstay of the region, and will remain so
for the next fifteen years. This durable weight of agriculture is due to
several factors: the lack of effective industrialization despite rapid
urbanization, low prospects of development of other sectors in a highly
competitive international context, a generalized pressure on labor markets
makes it difficult to immigrate to developed countries.
In this regard, the situation in SSA is particularly: if its demographic
transition is committed and marked by a high mobility of the population
(with urbanization rate which reach 40%, the urban population was
multiplied by 12 since 1960), its economic structure has changed little: low
diversification; a significant weight of agricultural activities in GDP,
foreign trade and especially employment. Urbanization has developed
without industrialization, unlike other parts of the world.
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�Agricultural Productivity and Poverty Alleviation: What Role for Technological
Innovation

Hence, if the potential of agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa is the engine of
global growth for the majority of countries in the region and is essential
for poverty reduction and food security, unexploited potential of this can
significantly compromised the role that agriculture can play in reducing
poverty (World Bank, 2007).
Results and Interpretations
Recall that the main aim of this paper is to test whether AP can affect
poverty by positively influencing economic growth, and to evaluate the
significance of any such effect taking into consideration the role of
technological innovation. Thus, the parameters of interest in Table 1are:
(1) The coefficient that describes the effect of AP on poverty, δ1 (2) The
coefficient that describes the effect of economic growth on poverty, δ2. (3)
The coefficient that describes the effect of AP on economic growth and
(4) the coefficients that describes the effect of Technological innovation
respectively on poverty, economic growth and agricultural growth δ3 , ,
and .
Table 1. Simultaneous equation estimation of poverty, growth and
agricultural productivity (3SLS)
Variables
AP
GDPG
TI
INQ
POP
TEL
INF
TRADE

Poverty
0.098
(2.62)**
0.252
(2.25)**
0.316
(4.19)**
0,213
(1,94)**
0.608
(0.88)
0.321
(1.77)*
-----

GDP Growth
0.904
(2.56)**
--0.025
(3.77)**
-------0.03
(-0.52)
0.307
(2.69)**

Agr. Growth
--0.019
(5.63)***
-0.507
(-2.15)**
----------149

�Abdelhafidh Dhrifi

SCH

-0.022
--(2.45)**
-FD
-0.016
-(4.89)***
-AIL
--0.451
--(2.04)**
EA
--0.73
--(1.75)*
constante
0.213
-0.041
0.022
(5.24)**
(-2.48)**
(2.76)**
Observations
704
704
704
2
R
0,431
0,383
0,294
Notes: * significant at 10% ** Significant at 5%; *** Significant at 1%.
Table 1 report the estimation results of the simultaneous equation model
using the 3SLS method for the period 1990-2011:
The first column presents the estimation results of the poverty equation.
In this equation, all the explanatory variables have the expected sign and
are statistically significant, expect population growth which has the right
sign but is not significant. The results demonstrate that per capita income
growth has a significant poverty-reducing effect where a 1% increase in
per capita incomes reduces poverty by 0.25%. In particular, the equation
shows that the coefficient of agricultural growth, which most interests us
in this estimate, it appears to be significantly positive showing the positive
effects that can play agriculture on the processes of poverty reduction. A
1% change in agricultural productivity raises household final consumption
expenditure by about 0.09%, confirming the important role of agriculture
sector in SSA in reducing poverty rate. This result is consistent with many
empirical studies on SSA (Tiffen, 2003; Diao et al. 2005, 2007 and Arega
and Ousmane, 2009) that shows a significant role played by agriculture in
SSA accelerating economic growth and, by consequently, reducing the
poverty rate. Concerning the effect of inequality on the incidence of
poverty, results shows that the coefficient of inequality measured by the
Theil index is significantly negative, confirming its robustness. As an
increase of this index by 1 percentage point leads to a decrease in
household consumption expenditure by 0.21 point, which aggravates the
poverty rate. This result seems to reinforce those obtained by various
studies on the relationship between increasing inequality and poverty
(Arega and Ousmane, 2009). This suggests that the most effective method
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�Agricultural Productivity and Poverty Alleviation: What Role for Technological
Innovation

to reduce the poverty rate is certainly reducing inequalities by means of a
better redistribution of wealth.
As regards the impact of technological innovation on poverty rate, the
equation shows that the variable has positive and statistically significant
direct impacts on poverty. An increase of technological innovation by 1%
leads to decrease in poverty rate by 0.31 %. Finally, infrastructural quality,
as captured by telephone line per 1000 people, play significant role in
poverty alleviation. This result is consistent with the study of Parker et al.,
(2008) which showed that people must access to infrastructure services,
such as mains water, safe sanitation, mains power supplies, maintained
roads and telephones. This allows us to say that it is necessary to invest
considerably in infrastructure because, as account given the low
population density in SSA countries, the infrastructure that connects
farmers to markets is costly and investment in road infrastructures,
institutions and the public sector are essential.
The second column in Table 1 presents the estimation results of the
economic growth equation. We notice that all the explanatory variables
have the expected sign and are statistically significant. Moreover, the
results show that technological innovation, as captured by the agricultural
machinery, tractors per 100 sq. km of arable land, play a significant role in
determining economic growth and thereby in reducing poverty. The
coefficient on agricultural growth is positive and statistically significant as
expected. A 1% change in agricultural productivity raises GDP per capita
by about 0.9%, confirming the heavy reliance of SSA economies on
agricultural productivity. In this context, the World Development Report
2008 (World Bank, 2007) notes that GDP growth originating in
agriculture is about four times more effective in raising incomes of
extremely poor people than GDP growth originating outside the sector.
The results show also that a higher level of human capital is associated
with a faster economic growth rate.
The third column in Table 1 shows the estimation result of the Agricultural
Growth equation. As expected, the results indicate that AP is affected
positively and significantly by economic growth. A 1 % change in per
capita income growth raises agriculture productivity by about 0.02. As
regards, agricultural machinery has a significant impact on agriculture
productivity. Employee’s agriculture plays a significant role in agriculture
performance. Consistent with the fact that labor is a critical constraint in
Sub-Saharan African agriculture, it has the largest productivity elasticity
of 0.73, implying that a 1% change in employee’s agriculture raises
agriculture productivity by about 0.73%. The results show that
agricultural irrigated land has a positive and significant impact on
151

�Abdelhafidh Dhrifi

agriculture growth and consequently on poverty eradication. Probably due
to the dominance of rain fed, rather than irrigated, agriculture in SSA,
irrigation has turned out to have insignificant effect on agricultural
productivity.
Determining the Total Effects of Agriculture and Technological
Innovation on Poverty Alleviation
Table 2 and 3 summarizes the results regarding the impact of AP and
technological innovation on poverty: As reported in the Table 2, the
results show the direct impact of AP on economic growth where an
increase in AP by one point leads to a decrease in poverty by 0.098 point.
Concerning the indirect impact of AP on poverty, it can be computed by
the product of the coefficient of economic growth in the poverty equation
and the coefficient of AP in the growth equation (δ2*γ1 = 0.015). Thus, the
combined effects suggest that the total impact of AP on poverty is equal to
the sum of the direct and indirect effect which is equal to 0.325 which
indicates that an increase in AP by one point leads to decrease in the rate
of poverty by 0.325 point.
Table 3 shows that, the elasticity presented, represent the percentage
change in poverty associated with a 1% change in technological
innovation. The elasticity of poverty with respect to technological
innovation is 0.18, implying that a 1% increase in technological innovation
decreases poverty by 0.18%. Moreover, an improved of technological
innovation by one point leads a decrease in poverty rate by 0.184 point
divided between a direct effect of 0.116 point and a indirect effect via
stimulating agriculture performance and economic growth by 0.068 point.
Table 2. The impact of agriculture on poverty
the direct impact of
agriculture on poverty

The
coefficient
The
estimated
coefficient

152

the indirect impact of
agriculture on poverty

(δ2 *γ1)
0.098

0.252*0.904=0.227

The total
impact on
poverty

+ (δ2 *γ1)
0.325

Journal of Economic and Social
Studies

�Agricultural Productivity and Poverty Alleviation: What Role for Technological
Innovation

Table 3. The impact of technological innovation on poverty

the direct impact of
technological
innovation on poverty
The
coefficient
The
estimated
coefficient

the indirect impact of
technological innovation
on poverty
via
via
economic
agriculture
growth

 * 2

 3   * 2

0.002

0.066

1

0.116

1

0.068

The total
impact on
poverty

   *  2   3   * 2
3

1

1

0.184

Overall, the results presented above make it very clear that AP has a
significant impact on poverty beyond its direct and indirect impact; an
impact that works via improving the economic growth. The results also
show that the indirect impact is of considerable volume and is comparable
to the direct or traditional impact. More importantly, the results indicate
that the indirect impact of AP on poverty is far greater than, or more than
the double that of the direct impact of AP on poverty. By the same, the
results presented shows that technological innovations play an important
role in determining the relationships between agricultural performance
and poverty and that through its direct and indirect impact via economic
growth and agriculture productivity.
Finally, we notice that the empirical results presented above are based on
a sample of 32 countries, which is quite small number. The reason for
using this small sample is the lack of data for some variables of some
countries. As a consequence, the results might be sensitive to the sample
choice. Moreover, the results might be sensitive to model specification and
the choice of the controlling variables. Thus, in following research, the
robustness of the results can be tested: by using a larger country sample,
and second, by controlling for more poverty determinants.
Conclusion
This paper set out to tackle two very specific research questions
concerning (1) the importance and magnitude of agricultural productivity
on poverty alleviation (2) the relationship between technological
innovation, agriculture productivity and poverty. Using an aggregate
153

�Abdelhafidh Dhrifi

annual panel data, on a sample composed of 32 Sub-Saharan Africa
countries, from 1990-2011 to estimate a simultaneous equation model that
capture the interrelationship between agriculture productivity,
technological innovation and poverty, our findings indicate that
agricultural growth contributes significantly to poverty alleviation in SSA.
The results suggest that agricultural growth would lead to a 32% decrease
in poverty: this effect is divided on a direct impact of 0.98% and an
indirect impact via economic growth equal to 0.22%.
As regards the effects of technological innovation on poverty, results
demonstrate that 1 % change in technological innovation leads to a
decrease in poverty rate by 0.18 %. This implies that SSA countries
accelerating growth agriculture is fundamental to reduce poverty and
allow countries to achieve economic transformation. This passes through
the ability of agriculture to generate employment, to stimulate the
economy through linkages, and to reduce the real cost of food accounts. It
also requires that the Government must intervene to invest in new
technology in order to allow farmers to benefit from the fruits of
technological innovation and that, by improving agricultural productivity
and consequently reducing the poverty rate.
Hence, the positive prospects for SSA agriculture will not take shape
without a concerted and determined political action, especially if
agricultural growth must be sustainable and result in a significant
reduction in poverty. Many problems must be overcome, including the
growing technological gap, the slow development of markets for inputs
and outputs and services associated markets, the slow progress of regional
integration, lack of governance and institutional weakness in some
countries, conflict, HIV-AIDS and other diseases. Linking small farmers to
markets and help them adapt to new conditions and become more
productive, increase rural employment opportunities, reduce risk and
vulnerability, especially climate extremes and fluctuations prices and
improve access to resources and skills will be among the measures to be
taken to ensure that agricultural and rural growth goes hand in hand with
poverty reduction.
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iAgricultural

productivity is defined as agricultural value added per hectare of
agricultural land where: (i) value added in agriculture measures the output of the
agricultural sector less the value of intermediate inputs; (ii) agriculture comprises
157

�Abdelhafidh Dhrifi

value added from forestry, hunting, and fishing as well as cultivation of crops and
livestock; and (iii) agricultural land is measured as the sum of arable land,
permanent cropland, and permanent pasture (World Bank, 2007).
iiThis indicator is calculated by the University of Texas. It is available on the
http://utip.gov.utexas.edu site.
iiiThe list of countries are : Benin, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Central
African Republic, Cote d’Ivoire, Djibouti, Ethiopie, Gambie, Ghana, Kenya,
Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Niger, Nigeria,
Rwanda, Senegal, South Africa, Swaziland, Tanzanie, Togo, Uganda, Zambie and
Zimbabwe.

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Studies

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                <text>The role of agriculture in economic development remains much debated. This paper takes an empirical perspective and focuses on the relationships between agriculture productivity and poverty reduction. The contribution of agriculture sector to poverty is shown to depend on its own growth performance, its indirect impact on growth in other sectors, the extent to which poor people participate in the sector, and the size of the sector in the overall economy. Bringing together these different effects and taking into consideration the role played by technological innovation, we use an aggregate annual panel data, on a sample composed of 32Sub-SaharanAfrica (SSA) countries, from 1990-2011 to estimate a simultaneous equation model that capture the interrelationship between agriculture productivity, technological innovation and poverty. Findings show first that agricultural productivity contributes significantly to economic growth and poverty in SSA. Second, technological innovation appears to have a positive and significant impact on poverty through its direct and indirect impact through agriculture productivity and growth.</text>
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                    <text>Journal of Economic and Social Studies

Conflict and the Freedom of the Press
Jayoti Das
The Love School of Business
Elon University
Elon, NC 27244
dastina@elon.edu
Cassandra E. DiRienzo
The Love School of Business
Elon University
Elon, NC 27244
cdirienzo@elon.edu
Abstract: Using data from 146
countries, this study empirically tests the
relationship between conflict and press
freedom. Holding all else constant, the
results indicate that the relationship
between conflict and press freedom is
best described as nonlinear such that the
greatest conflict is observed at an
intermediate level of press freedom. It is
theorized that while past research has
found that greater press freedom serves
to reduce conflict, governments with a
tightly controlled press can also observe
lower levels of conflict as these
government can use their control to
censored information, images, and
messaging to minimize conflict and
unrest.

Keywords: Conflict, Press
Freedom, Nonlinear, CrossCountry
JEL Classification: O57,
F50
Article History
Submitted: 15 December
2012
Resubmitted: 17 December
2012
Resubmitted: 2 July 2013
Accepted: 24 July 2013

91

�Jayoti Das, Cassandra E. DiRienzo

Introduction
Conflict borne from ideological, economic, political, or religious
differences and disagreements has plagued societies for as long as records
have been kept. Today, those with access to the internet, television, radio,
or newspapers, can seek regular updates from a variety of news media
regarding the status of local, national, and/or international conflicts as it
is unfolding. The updates provided by news media can portray a sense of
continued suffering and loss, or perhaps offer hope that a resolution and
ceasefire is near. As Puddephatt (2006) discusses, attitudes and opinions
toward a particular conflict, as well as its likely outcome, can be strongly
influenced by the news media. In other words, the approach and
perspectives a news media outlet takes in sharing and disseminating
information on a conflict can shape public opinion and, in extreme cases,
influence the outcome.
History offers several examples of news media influencing public opinion
and inciting violent conflict as well as pleading for conflict resolution. As
Puddephatt (2006) describes, media sources served as agents for extreme
nationalism during the wars in the Balkans that continually fueled
tensions, resulting in the collapse of former Yugoslavia. Further,
Puddephatt (2006) notes the role of some Rwandan media sources in
directly inciting genocide as well as offering other examples such as the
Soviet Union and the Nazis who used their control over the media to
create weaker societies that they could more easily manipulate. Recently,
according to the, the Radio and Television Supreme Council (RTÜK), the
Turkish government radio and television regulating body, fined a number
of Turkish news channels for "harming the physical, moral and mental
development of children and young people" by broadcasting coverage of
the Gezi Parki Uprisings in Taksim Square, Istanbul, Turkey (Hürriyet
Daily News, June 12, 2013). Sixty-two Turkish journalists were later
imprisoned for ignoring government warnings to cease broadcasting and
publishing information regarding the uprisings.
Alternatively, several international media outlets have recently called
upon the global community to act to resolve the conflict in Syria. Over the
past several decades, international media has become increasingly
involved in exposing the conflicts and suffering in several Sub-Saharan
countries and have continually pressed for international aid and support.
Given the power of media to influence public opinion by either fueling
tensions or calling for resolution and peace, the question arises as to how
this power is affected by press freedom. In other words, what is the
relationship between freedom of the press and conflict?
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�Conflict and the Freedom of the Press

Pal (2011) finds empirical evidence that unregulated media can reduce
different forms of socio-political instability, suggesting that a free media
can serve to promote peace. Pal (2011) theorizes that unregulated
national media has a greater ability to share news on an international
stage and this international exposure can lead to external pressure on
governments to act in the best interest of their citizens, which includes
resolving conflicts. Fish and Kroenig (2006) offer evidence that conflict is
negatively associated with more democratic nations; considering that
greater freedom of the press is generally found in more democratic
nations, this study offers further evidence that greater press freedom is
associated with a more peaceful nation. Nonetheless, it should be noted
that in some countries where media is highly regulated, such as China,
Singapore, Qatar, North Korea, and United Arab Emirates, there is also
relatively low levels of conflict. While past research has generally found
that greater press freedom is associated with a more peaceful state, one
can also point to several examples of countries with highly regulated press
freedom that experience relatively low levels of conflict. It is suggested
here that while a free media can serve to reduce conflict by calling on the
international community and external forces to resolve conflicts, a
government that controls the media can also manage the message and
control public opinion in an effort to minimize or even prevent uprisings.
The primary objective of this study is to test the hypothesis that the
relationship between press freedom and conflict is not linear; rather it
takes an inverted U-shape such that the least conflict is observed when
press freedom is both highly unregulated and regulated, but peaks at some
intermediate level of freedom. It is theorized that while greater press
freedom can lead to less conflict as the media is free to expose the sources
of the conflict and call upon domestic and international leaders to resolve
issues, a government that regulates the media also controls the
information that is disseminated and the messaging, which can prevent
conflict from initiating. Thus, it is when the press freedom is at some
intermediate level and the media cannot fully reach out to external
sources, nor can the government fully control the message, that nations
observe the greatest conflict. This hypothesis is tested using a crosscountry data set of 146 countries, while controlling for other factors
known to affect conflict.
Conflict and Media Freedom
Puddephatt (2006) states that role the media takes in a given conflict
depends on a multitude of complex factors, including the degree of
independence the media has relative to those in power. In regards to an
93

�Jayoti Das, Cassandra E. DiRienzo

unregulated press, the benefits of a free media are widely recognized. As
Norris and Zinnbauer (2002) discuss, societies with widespread access to
an independent free press tend to also enjoy governments with greater
administrative efficiency, improved social and economic conditions, and
less corruption. Bhathangar (2000) also notes that with greater access to
unrestricted information such as the Internet there is also greater
transparency and accountability throughout all facets of the government.
It is widely accepted that nations with a free, unregulated media tend to be
more economically and politically stable, enjoy greater efficiency and
transparency, and experience lower levels of corruption (Ades and Di
Tella, 1999; Treisman, 2000; and Wei, 2000). Further, as Pal (2011)
finds, through its ability to share news on an international stage, an
unregulated media has the ability to expose corruption and sources of
contentious issues, putting pressure on governments to act in the best
interest of their citizens, which includes working to prevent conflicts from
occurring as well as resolving conflicts that do arise. Thus, an additional
benefit of a free media is that is serves to reduce conflict.
Nevertheless, it cannot be overlooked that some countries with highly
regulated media also experience low levels of conflict. As noted above,
countries such as China, Singapore, Qatar, North Korea, and United Arab
Emirates, among others, have comparatively restricted media, but also
enjoy relatively fewer uprisings and conflict. It is argued here that
governments with control over the media can regulate the messages and
images to mask potential sources of contention, thereby reducing the need
or desire for uprisings. Further, through the use of propaganda, a
regulated press can be used to promote national identity and image to
dissuade internal uprisings against the government. In other words, if the
government has control of the images, messages, and actual content of the
news shared with its citizens, it has the ability to minimize uprisings and
other sources of conflict.
Given the theoretical arguments presented for both highly unregulated
and regulated media to be able to reduce conflict, it is hypothesized that,
after accounting for the other factors known to affect conflict, the greatest
conflict will be observed at some intermediate level of press freedom. At
this intermediate level, the media is not fully able to expose, nor
disseminate information on potential sources of contention, nor fully
exercise its ability to call on external sources for assistance. Further,
without tighter controls, the government is not able to regulate all
messaging and imaging. In other words, in regards to minimizing
conflict, the benefits of an unregulated media as well as a highly regulated
media cannot be observed. Thus, it is hypothesized that:
94

Journal of Economic and Social
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�Conflict and the Freedom of the Press

H1: Controlling for other factors known to affect conflict, press freedom
has an inverted U-shape relationship with conflict such that countries
with an intermediate level of press freedom experience the greatest levels
of conflict.
Data Measures and a Preliminary Analysis
Conflict
Conflict is a broad term that can be used to describe a wide range of
disagreement and contention that may or may not include violent acts. In
this study we use the 2012 Peace and Conflict Instability Ledger data
(PCI), published by the Center for International Development and Conflict
Management in the 2012 Peace and Conflict report created by Hewitt et al.
(2012), to define and measure conflict at the country level. The PCI data
is based on an analysis of the drivers of internal war and regime collapse
and provides the estimated risk of a country experiencing major bouts of
political instability or armed conflict in the three year period from 2010 to
2012. As discussed in the 2012 Peace and Conflict report, the risk
estimates are obtained from a forecasting statistical model that uses the
most current data for several variables that have been identified as
strongly correlating with the onset of political instability and armed
conflict. To define political instability within each country, Hewitt et al.
(2012) considers events such as revolutionary wars, ethnic wars, adverse
regime changes, and genocides over the period 1955 to 2006. Hewitt et al.
(2012) state that while this set of events is notably heterogeneous, the
onset of any one of these events has been identified as being a precursor to
a period of time in which the government’s ability to deliver critical
services and exercise meaningful authority is hampered.
To identify the underlying factors that lead to wars, adverse regime
changes, and genocides and create the PCI data, Hewitt et al. (2012) used
approximately 60 years of data over the period 1955 to 2006 and
performed a series of empirical studies. The results of these analyses
indicated that instability can emerge from a combination of five factors;
institutional consistency, economic openness, infant mortality rates,
militarization, and neighborhood security. Institutional consistency
captures the degree to which political institutions are mixed in regards to
democratic and autocratic features and, all else equal, countries with a
greater mix are more likely to experience political instability. Economic
openness considers the extent to which a country is integrated into the
global economy and countries that are more economically open and
95

�Jayoti Das, Cassandra E. DiRienzo

globally connected have been found to experience less instability. Infant
mortality rates serve as a measure of a country’s overall level of economic
development, social welfare, and its ability to deliver critical services to its
citizens. As noted in Hewitt et al. (2012), there is significant research to
suggest a strong relationship between a high infant mortality rate and the
likelihood of future instability. Further, militarization, or access to
weapons stock and military skill and training, is also accounted for as
Hewitt et al. (2012) state that instability is most likely in countries where
the opportunities for armed conflict are the greatest.
Finally,
neighborhood security is included as Hewitt et al. (2012) note that the
likelihood of political instability within a country increases when a
neighboring country is currently experiencing instability. Thus, the PCI
data is based on these five factors as indicators of future conflict, which is
defined as internal war and regime collapse, or political instability.
The PCI data is available for 163 countries and provides a risk score for
each country. The risk score represents the relative risk, compared to the
average member of the OECD, of experiencing instability over the next
three years. From the 2012 dataset, the countries with the highest PCI
data, or greatest risk of instability, are Afghanistan, the Democratic
Republic of Congo, Burundi, Guinea-Bissau, and Djibouti with risk scores
of 36.4, 29.8, 24.5, 23.9, and 23.5, respectively. On the other end of the
spectrum, the countries with the smallest PCI values, or least risk, are
Austria, Denmark, Finland, Ireland, Netherlands, Norway, Slovenia, and
Sweden, which all have risk scores of 0.2. Indonesia, Sri Lanka, and Niger
have risk scores that are near the average of the PCI data with values of
5.2, 5.2, and 5.3, respectively.
Press Freedom
The 2009 Freedom of the Press (FP) index published by Freedom House
is used to measure the media and press freedoms that are afforded by a
country. A free and unregulated press represents an unrestricted and
uncensored flow of information through all forms of press and news
media. According to Freedom House (2009), a free press plays an
important role in supporting a healthy democracy and stable government,
all of which serves to minimize conflict. The FP index is used in this study
rather than other measures of quality of government or personal
freedoms, as the focus of this analysis is on press freedom, or the degree to
which the news media is unrestricted to disseminate information. Past
research such as Brunetti and Weder (2003), Chowdhury (2004), and
Serra (2006) have also used the FP index to proxy press freedom and
freedom of information.
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Published annually, the FP index is based on a set of 23 survey questions
completed by overseas correspondents, international visitors, reports
from human rights and press freedom organizations, governments and
multilateral bodies, as well as experts in geographic and geopolitical areas,
domestic and international news media, among others (Freedom House,
2009). According to Freedom House 2009, the survey questions are
designed to assess the legal, political, and economic environments in
which the media operates and considers issues such as the legal and
constitutional guarantees of press freedom, penalties for libel, penal
codes, editorial independence of the media, intimidation and threats to
journalists, the existence of competitive pressures leading to biased press
reports and investigations, among many others factors deemed to affect
the freedom of the press. Each country receives an FP value, which
represents the overall quality of the legal, political, and economic
environment in which the media operates, and the index ranges from 0,
most free, to 100, least free. From the 2009 FP data, Finland, Norway,
Sweden, and Belgium were recognized as having the greatest levels of
press freedom with FP values of 10, 11, 11, and 12, respectively, while
Eritrea, Libya, Myanmar, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, and North Korea
were ranked as least free with FP values of 94, 94, 94, 94, 96, and 97,
respectively.
Preliminary Analysis
In order to explore the possible non-linear relationship between conflict
and freedom of the press, a scatter plot with a fitted polynomial line
between the two indices is shown in Figure 1. As shown in Table 1, the
coefficients in the fitted polynomial model are statistically significant at
99% confidence and the model has an Adjusted R2 value of 0.164. A linear
model was also estimated and, while the coefficient on FP is statistically
significant, the Adjusted R2 value was notably lower at 0.073. These
results offer some preliminary evidence that a non-linear, U-shaped
relationship between conflict and press freedom may exist. However,
before this relationship can be tested and more thoroughly explored, the
other factors known to affect conflict need to be accounted for and the
following section describes the control variables employed.

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Figure 1. Conflict and Freedom of the Press
40
35

Conflict (PCI)

30
25
20
15
10
5
0
0

20

40

60

80

100

Freedom of the Press (FP)

Table 1. Conflict and Freedom of the Press Estimated Linear and
Polynomial Models
Coefficient Estimate Std Err
Intercept
FP

FP
FP2

p-value

1.43

1.156

1.24

0.2175

0.08**

0.020

3.71

0.0003

t Stat

p-value

Coefficient Estimate Std Err
Intercept

t Stat

-6.25**

2.1000

-2.978

0.0033

0.450**

0.0900

5.037

&lt;0.0001

-0.004**

0.0008

-4.291

&lt;0.0001

Adj.
R2
0.073
Adj.
R2
0.164

*p&lt;0.05; **p&lt;0.01

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Control Variables and Descriptive Statistics
Democracy
While the PCI data does consider the degree to which a country’s political
institutions are mixed in terms of democratic and autocratic features, the
data does not include the overall level of democracy within a country,
which is commonly controlled for in conflict studies. Specifically, in a
cross-sectional analysis of 140 conflict-stricken and non-conflict stricken
developing countries, Kim (2006) finds that nondemocratic political
systems with little to no political freedoms were less capable of managing
and resolving events of crisis and conflict. In a panel data analysis of 179
countries over the period 1968 to 2003, Bloomberg and Hess (2005) also
find that the level of violent terrorist activities generated within a country
is negatively related to the degree of democracy. In a comprehensive
study exploring the robustness of previous findings on the determinants of
terrorism, Gassebner and Luechinger (2011) find that a strong and
impartial judicial system and respect of physical integrity rights, which are
common characteristics of a more democratic society, are associated with
lower levels of terrorism. Further, in a study exploring the determinants
of socio-political instability, Pal (2011) uses a panel data from 98 countries
over the period 1994 to 2005 and controls for the level of democracy.
Given these findings and the general consensus within the literature that
greater democracy is generally associated with less conflict and violence
and greater stability, democracy is controlled for in this analysis.
The 2010 Economist Intelligence Unit’s (EIU)Index of Democracy is used
to proxy the level of democracy within a country and has been used in
many studies, such as Sung (2004) and Kaufmann et al. (2009), to
approximate country democracy. The EIU is a broad measure of
democracy and is based on five categories; electoral process and
pluralism, civil liberties, the functioning of the government, political
participation, and political culture. On each of these five categories,
countries are scored on a scale of zero to ten and the EIU index is the unweighted average of the five scores. Thus, the EIU data ranges from zero
to ten and countries with scores closer to ten represent the highest levels
of democracy.
Diversity
Ethnic and linguistic diversity has also been linked to various measures of
conflict, violence, and unrest as past research has generally found that
greater ethnic and linguistic diversity measures tend to be associated with
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greater conflict and civil disturbance. Specifically, Kim (2006) finds that
more ethnically homogeneous countries were less likely to experience
internal conflict and Buhaug et al. (2008) find that politicized ethnicity is
a major determinant of internal conflict. In a cross-country study
exploring the determinants of terrorism, Abadie (2005) finds that greater
levels of linguistic diversity increased the likelihood that a country will
experience terrorist attack.
The 1985 Ethnolinguistic Fragmentation (ELF) Index, originally
developed by Taylor and Hudson (1972), is used to measure country
ethnic and linguistic diversity. The index measures the probability that
two randomly selected individuals from a particular country will belong to
different ethno-linguistic groups. Thus, the index ranges from zero to one
such that countries with values close to zero are very homogeneous in
regard to ethnic and linguistic diversity. While other measures of diversity
are available, the ELF index has been used in many studies, such as
Easterly and Levine (1997), Mauro (1995), La Porta et al. (1999), and
Alesina et al. (2003), which have explored the impact of diversity on a
variety of country factors.
Education
The level of education has also been found to significantly affect conflict
and violence associated with terrorism. In regard to terrorism, Azam and
Thelen (2008) use a panel data set of 176 countries from 1990 to 2004
and find that terrorist attacks are negatively related to the level of
education. Further, in a cross-country study over the period 1997 to 2004,
Bravo and Dias (2006) conclude that terrorism is more likely to occur in
countries with lower levels of education, which coincides with Krueger
and Laitin's (2008) findings that education levels are linked, albeit
weakly, to terrorism. Further, in his study exploring the determinants of
socio-political instability, Pal (2011) also controls for the level of
education.
The 2009 Education Index (EDI), one of the three sub-indices that makeup the Human Development Index that is published by the International
Human Development Program, is used to measure the average level of
education in a country. The EDI is based on the mean years of schooling of
adults and the expected number of years of schooling for children. The
data is normalized and is scaled on a zero to one range such that values
closest to one represent countries with the greatest education attainment.
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Geographical Characteristics
Country geographic characteristics such as the geographical size of the
country, its average elevation, and the proportion of the country in a
tropical climate have also been identified as significant conditions that can
contribute to the likelihood of civil unrest, violence, terrorism, and other
forms of conflict. When countries are more difficult to traverse; for
example, they have large tropical forests or mountainous terrains, these
regions can provide terrorist and other rebel groups with secluded areas to
operate and train. Further, geographically large countries tend to have
more dispersed populations, which can lead less societal cohesiveness and
unity. Considering that conflict will be more predominate in less unified
societies, by extension, larger geographical countries can then be more
likely to experience conflict. Further, previous empirical research
supports these relationships. In a cross-country study using data over the
period 1960 to 1999, Collier and Hoeffler (2004) find that the risk of civil
war is higher in more mountainous countries and countries with more
unequally distributed populations. Further, Abadie (2005), Buhaug et al.
(2008) and Fearon and Laitin (2003) also find that rough terrain is a
significant determinant of internal and external country conflict. Finally,
Pal (2011) also controls for geographical characteristics in his analysis
exploring the determinants of socio-political instability.
The geographical characteristics of country land area, average elevation,
and the percentage of the tropical area are controlled for in this analysis.
These data are provided by the World Bank and country area (Area)
represents the size of country measured in square kilometers (in millions),
elevation (Elev) represents the average elevation of the county above sea
level in meters, and tropical area (Trop) measures the proportion of the
country land area that experiences tropical weather.
Economic Development
The level of economic development is commonly controlled for in studies
exploring conflict, terrorism, or other forms of violence and civil unrest as
Tures (2003) states that developed countries are less likely to experience
conflict as they have achieved a level of wealth to satisfy their domestic
population. In regards to civil wars and unrest, Collier and Hoeffler
(2004) and Fearon and Laitin (2003) find that less economically
developed countries are more likely to experience civil war and unrest.
Further, in an analysis exploring the relationship between democracy and
civil war and violence, Gleditsch and Ruggeri (2010) control for the level
of economic development as does Pal (2011).
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The level of economic development is measured by the natural log of 2009
GDP per capita (LnGDPPC), which is available through the World Bank.
Descriptive Statistics
The data described above is available for 146 countries and this sample is
used explore the relationship between conflict and press freedom, as
measured by the PCI and FP data, respectively, as well as test H1. Table 2
provides a summary of the data used as well as the descriptive statistics.
The most recent 2012 PCI data is used and, given that the effect of the
control variables cannot be expected to occur immediately, the control
variables are lagged by approximately two years with the one exception of
the 1985 ELF data. The 1985 data is the most recent data available for
ELF; however, this data is still considered accurate as ethno-linguistic
diversity is relatively constant through time. Further, through a series of
preliminary analyses, the relationship between the PCI data and the other
variables is best described as linear in the log of PCI. Thus, the descriptive
statistics reflect the natural log of the PCI data, LnPCI.

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Table 2. Variable Summary and Descriptive Statistics
Variable

Proxy (Name, Year
Reported)

Mean

St.
Deviation

N

Conflict

Peace and Conflict
Instability (LnPCI, 2012)

0.89

1.40

163

Press
Freedom

Freedom of the Press (FP,
2009)

51.48

23.56

162

Democracy

Economist Intelligence Unit
(EIU, 2010)

5.38

2.21

161

Diversity

Ethno-linguistic
Fragmentation Index (ELF,
1985)

0.47

0.27

161

Education

Education Index (EDI,
2009)

0.63

0.21

158

Land Area

World Bank (Area, NA)

829,760

2,062,539

154

Avg.
Elevation

World Bank (Elev, NA)

629.38

565.03

154

Tropical
Area

World Bank (Trop, NA)

0.47

0.48

154

GDP per Capita, World Bank
(LnGDPPC, 2009)

7.67

1.56

157

Economic
Development

A Pearson correlation matrix of all of the variables used in the analysis is
presented in Table 3. Considering that greater LnPCI values are
associated with higher levels of conflict, the correlations have the expected
signs. Specifically, LnPCI is negatively and significantly correlated with
EIU, EDI, and LnGDPPC. The negative and significant correlation values
indicate that, on average, less conflict stricken countries tend to be more
democratic and have higher levels of education and economic
development. The LnPCI is also positively and significantly correlated
with FP, ELF, Elev, and Trop. These correlations suggest that, on average,
less conflict stricken countries tend to have greater press freedoms, are
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more ethno-linguistically homogeneous, and have higher average
elevations and a greater proportion of land area that experience tropical
weather. While conflict as proxied by LnPCI is significantly correlated
with the geographical characteristics of average elevation and tropical
weather, it is not significantly correlated with country land area.
Table 3.Correlation Matrix
LnPCI

FP

EIU

LnPCI
FP
EIU
ELF

1
0.43**
-0.49**
0.45**

1
-0.89**
0.10

1
-0.22**

EDI

-0.76**

-0.48**

0.63**

Area
Elev

-0.02
0.32**

0.04
0.21**

0.05
-0.17*

1
0.43**
0.05
0.09

Trop

0.56**

0.26**

-0.30**

0.47**

LnGDPPC

-0.84**

-0.51**

0.61**

0.45**

*p

ELF

EDI

Area

Elev

Trop

LnGDPPC

1
0.11
-0.12
0.65**
0.81**

1
0.04

1

-0.09

-0.12

1

0.13

0.26**

0.55**

1

&lt;0.05; **p&lt;0.01

Regression Analysis
To explore the relationship between conflict and press freedom, the
following preliminary regression model (Model 1) using FP and the
control variables is first estimated:
LnPCI  o  1FP   2 EIU  3 ELF   4 EDI  5 Area  6 Elev  7Trop  8 LnGDPPC   (1)

As shown in Table 4, the Adjusted R2 of 0.7572 and significant F test
statistical offer statistical support for this preliminary model. All of the
coefficients on the control variables are significant and have the expected
signs with the exception of the coefficients on EIU and Area.
Interestingly, the coefficient on FP is not significant, indicating that when
country democracy, ethno-linguistic diversity, education, economic
development, and geographical characteristics are accounted for, a linear
relationship between press freedom and conflict is not statistically
significant.

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Table 4. Regression Results Model 1 Dependent LnPCI
Coefficient
Std Err
t Stat
Estimate
Intercept
4.266**
0.76
5.58
FP
0.004
0.006
0.80
EIU
0.096
0.070
1.38
ELF
0.526*
0.265
1.98
EDI
-1.683**
0.583
-2.89
Area
0.00000005 0.00000003
1.80
Elev
0.00032**
0.00011
2.84
Trop
0.378**
0.180
2.10
**
LnGDPPC
-0.490
0.069
-7.07
Adj. R2 = 0.7572
F stat = 57.33***p &lt;0.05; **p&lt;0.01

p-value
&lt;0.0001
0.4247
0.1710
0.0494
0.0045
0.0746
0.0052
0.0038
&lt;0.0001

To test the hypothesis that the relationship between conflict and press
freedom is nonlinear such that the relationship between LnPCI and FP has
an inverted U-shape, Model 2 is estimated, which includes the squared FP
term:
LnPCI   o  1 FP   2 FP 2   3 EIU   4 ELF   5 EDI   6 Area   7 Elev   8Trop   9 LnGDPPC  

(2)

As shown in Table 5, the Adjusted R2 increases to 0.8019. Further, a
partial F test indicates that the addition of the squared FP term offers
statistically significant explanatory power to the model. The coefficients
on the control variables are significant and have the expected sign with the
one exception of EIU, which remains insignificant. Perhaps the most
interesting result from Model 2 is that the coefficient on FP is positive and
significant and the coefficient on FP2 is negative and significant. These
results suggest that, after controlling for democracy, ethno-linguistic
diversity, education, economic development, and country geographical
characteristics, there is a nonlinear relationship between conflict and
press freedom. The nonlinear relationship indicates that, after controlling
for other factors known to affect conflict and instability, conflict is
minimized when the press is highly free and tightly controlled, but peaks
at an intermediate level of press freedom, which supports H1. Previous
research suggests that an unrestricted press is able to expose issues that
could potentially result in conflict and call upon the global community to
resolve conflict. It is theorized here that a highly restricted press allows
government official to regulate all messaging and imaging, which can be
managed such that conflict is minimized. Thus, it is at an intermediate
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�Jayoti Das, Cassandra E. DiRienzo

level of press freedom, when the media is not able to disseminate fully
unrestricted information and the government is not able to fully control
all messaging and imaging, that the greatest levels of conflict and
instability are observed. Using the estimated results, LnPCI is maximized
when FP is approximately equal to 54.6, which is found by solving for the
first order condition and using the estimated results from Model 2.
Table 5. Regression Results Model 2 Dependent LnPCI
Coefficient
Std Err
t Stat
Estimate
Intercept
2.330**
0.771
3.02
FP
0.072**
0.013
5.52
FP2
-0.00066**
0.00012
-5.65
EIU
0.040
0.064
0.63
ELF
0.492*
0.240
2.06
EDI
-1.346*
0.530
-2.54
Area
0.000000057* 0.000000026
2.23
Elev
0.00027*
0.0001
2.59
Trop
0.330*
0.163
2.03
LnGDPPC
-0.394**
0.065
-6.09
2
Adj. R = 0.8019
F stat = 66.23***p &lt;0.05; **p&lt;0.01

p-value
0.0030
&lt;0.0001
&lt;0.0001
0.5327
0.0418
0.0122
0.0274
0.0105
0.0445
&lt;0.0001

To further explore the nonlinear relationship, the estimated PCI values are
calculated using the estimated regression results from Model 2 and
evaluating all of the independent variables at their means with the
exception of FP. Figure 2 illustrates the estimated values of PCI against
the FP values that range from zero, completely free press, to 100,
completely restricted press.

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Figure 2. Estimated PCI values and FP
4

Estimated PCI

3.5
3
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
0

20

40

60

80

100

As noted above, conflict is estimated to peak when FP is approximately
54.6 when all other control variables are held at their mean values.
Examples of countries with FP values close to 54.6 are Bangladesh,
Republic of Congo, Kenya, Senegal, Turkey, and Uganda, which all have
an FP value of 54 and PCI values of 12, 2.7, 11.5, 8, 6.1, and 10.7,
respectively. With the exception of the Republic of Congo, each of these
countries has an above average PCI value. It is important to note;
however, that a country with an FP value close to 54.6 will not necessarily
also have a high PCI value as the other control variables, diversity,
education, economic development, and geographical characteristics also
play an important role in determining the level of conflict and instability a
country faces. Keeping this caveat in mind, Guinea Bissau, Nigeria, and
Sierra Leone are examples of countries that have an intermediate level of
press freedom with FP values of 52, 53, and 57, respectively, but high PCI
values of 20.7, 17.8, and 23.9, respectively. Further, Finland, Norway,
Sweden, Belgium, Denmark, and Switzerland are examples of countries
with some of the highest levels of press freedom (10, 11, 11, 12, 13, and 13,
respectively) that also have some of the lowest levels of conflict with PCI
values of 0.2, 0.2, 0.2, 0.7., 0.2, and 0.3, respectively. On the other end of
the spectrum, Belarus, Libya, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan represent
the countries in the data set with the most restricted press with FP values
of 93, 94, 94, and 96, respectively that also have relatively lower levels of
conflict with PCI values of 0.6, 0.9, 1.1, and 1.3.
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Summary and Discussion
Using data from 146 countries, this study empirically tested the
relationship between conflict and press freedom, as proxied by the PCI
and FP data, respectively. After controlling for other factors known to
affect conflict within a country, the results indicate that the relationship
between conflict and press freedom is best described as nonlinear.
Holding all else constant, the estimated equations suggest that conflict is
minimized at both the unrestricted and restricted ends of the press
freedom spectrum and reaches a maximum at an intermediate level of
press freedom. If the control variables are held at their mean values,
conflict is estimated to peak when FP is approximately 54.6. Past research
has argued that greater press freedom allows the media to freely
disseminate information and expose corruption or other issues that may
incite conflict; thereby creating a disincentive for officials or other parties
to partake in such activities, which minimizes the potential for conflict.
Further, past research has argued that a free press is able to call upon the
global community to assist when conflicts do arise and this external
pressure can encourage government officials to address and resolve
contentious issues before conflict and unrest occurs. Nonetheless, it is
theorized here that a highly restricted press could also serve to reduce
conflict as a government can use its control over the media to send
censored information, images, and messaging that prevents conflict and
unrest. The censored media could be used to bolster national pride and
create positive public opinions; all of which could serve to reduce conflict.
This study offers empirical support for this hypothesis.
Nonetheless, it is not suggested here that media freedom should be
restricted in an effort to reduce conflict, rather it is the authors’ intention
to bring awareness to the literature that governments with tight control
over the media can use this power to prevent conflict and uprisings by
preventing its citizens to fully understand and be aware of issues that can
cause conflict and unrest. It should also be noted that a government with
strong control of the media can also use this power to incite anger and
provoke attacks against groups with anti-government agendas; however,
the data used in this analysis suggests that the majority of governments
with tight media controls do not exploit their power in this way. In terms
of policy implications, it is suggested here that efforts to increase the level
of education attainment and economic development as well as improve
the communication between different ethno-linguistic groups as well as
enhance press freedoms will all have the added benefit of reducing
conflict.
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It should also be noted that the results are limited to the data measures
used in this analysis. While the data measures such as FP and PCI are
widely used and respected, all such quantitative measures of qualitative
issues cannot be expected to capture these factors perfectly and at least
some measurement error will occur in all such studies. Thus, the results
presented here need to be reviewed and considered in this light.
Finally, as an avenue for future research, one should consider the role that
social media plays in either inciting or mitigating conflict. While access to
social media and press freedom are likely to be highly correlated, social
media is by definition an open exchange of information and ideas between
individuals in virtual networks. In other words, social media allows for
unregulated exchanges between individuals and groups while the
traditional broadcast news is one-directional in nature and, even when the
media is highly free, it typically must still adhere to broadcast rules and
regulations. The power of social media has recently been observed in
countries such as Turkey and Syria and the role of social media above and
beyond media freedom is an interesting area for future research.
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Studies

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                    <text>Journal of Economic and Social Studies

Determinations of Firm Growth: A Study of Rural
SMEs in Bosnia-Herzegovinai
Selma Delalić
Centre for Economic Development and Research
Sarajevo, Bosnia-Herzegovina
delalic@cedar.ba
Nermin Oručii
International University of Sarajevo
Sarajevo, Bosnia-Herzegovina
oruc@cedar.ba
Abstract:
Rural
development
is
identified as one of the key areas of
intervention in Bosnia and Herzegovina
(BiH). The main drivers of rural
development can be small sized
companies run by rural entrepreneurs,
and intervention should be focused on
enabling environment for their growth.
The paper presents analysis of the factors
determining growth in employment by
small rural businesses in BiH, using
quantitative data from original survey
conducted in 2012. The direction and
magnitude of different factors were
further analyzed through qualitative data
analysis. Findings from this research
identify the key obstacles affecting growth
of rural businesses, primarily related to
infrastructure, access to finance, access to
market, and availability of “soft” skills.
The paper proposed possible ways of
intervention in reducing these obstacles in
order to promote rural development in
BiH.

Keywords: Rural
Entrepreneurship, Firm
Growth, Development,
Regression
JEL Classification: Q12,
D92, L25
Article History
Submitted: 06 Jun 2013
Resubmitted: 27 August 2013
Accepted: 16 September 2013

5

�Selma Delalić, Nermin Oruč

Introduction
BiH as a developing and transition country faces severe obstacles in
economic development, especially in rural areas, where majority (above
60%) of the population is located (Ministry of Foreign Trade and
Entrepreneurship, 2008). Without proper and sustainable rural
entrepreneurship development, there are further difficulties for
strengthening economic development. This paper investigated the factors
that hamper larger involvement of population in rural businesses in the
framework of the model of determinants of growth of firms in rural areas.
The focus is on micro and small businesses, run by rural entrepreneurs.
Entrepreneurship has an important overall role in the economic and rural
development, building stronger than ever relations in rural areas.
Entrepreneurship, as a dynamic force for growth, employment creation,
and life quality improvement (Petrin, 1994), has been considered a key
element in rural development and sustainable economic development.
The more entrepreneurial region is, the more it outperforms neighbouring
economic regions. Acknowledging the central role entrepreneurship has in
economic rural development and properly developing conducive
entrepreneurship environment (Sherief, 2005), leads to the rural
entrepreneurship network that creates a positive business climate and
behaviour, decreasing significantly important rural poverty and generates
employment, particularly for youth. For the successful and productive
environment, it is highly important to understand the factors that
influence rural entrepreneurship, which include productive interventions
by the state (Petrin, 1994), diversification of products, entrepreneurship
promotion and marketing, knowledge transfer and sharing, supply chains
and a net of cooperatives and large companies (Rongsen, 1998).
Although rural areas in Bosnia and Herzegovina are characterized by
small arable parcels per capita, of less than 2 ha of arable land per farm
(Volk, 2008), consisting of approximately 250.000 firms, presenting
twenty five per cent of the businesses (Volk, 2008), agriculture is very
important and persistent way of rural entrepreneurship. Still, large
defragmentation and disintegration of small producers, has kept
producers mostly related to subsistence agriculture, leading to diminished
productivity and inefficiency. This highlights the need to identify the most
prominent obstacles to rural entrepreneurship and draft a precise,
comprehensive and successful rural entrepreneurship strategy to create
sustainable rural development, to generate employment and spur
innovation.
6

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�Determination of Firm Growth: A Study of Rural SMEs in Bosnia-Herzegovina

Paper is further organized in five main sections. The next section presents
review of the theoretical and empirical literature on factors determining
growth of rural businesses. Third section describes the methodology used
in the analysis of factors influencing growth of rural businesses in BiH,
where the empirical model and data used in the analysis are explained.
The fourth section presents results of the empirical estimation of the
models. Finally, section five concludes and provides a list of policy
recommendations for improving entrepreneurial activities in rural areas
as of BiH.
Literature Review
Growing empirical evidence in the literature on rural entrepreneurship
(Volk, 2008), supports the hypothesis that there is a positive correlation
between governance, rural entrepreneurship and rural development,
where goal oriented policy, transparent support and efficient law
framework play an important role.
Literature identified the main factors affecting growth of rural businesses.
These factors can be broadly divided into “internal” factors (such as
characteristics of entrepreneurs, characteristics of the business) and
“external” factors (such as population trends, availability of natural
resources, government support, characteristics of the labour and good
market, quality of the supply chain, and availability of finances).
Risk taker, innovator, motivated, opportunity taker, inspired, owner, are
all features of the entrepreneur (Martin and Osberg, 2007). Successful
entrepreneurs are performing and combining those determinants on the
daily basis. Entrepreneurs have a special set of cognitive capacities
Schiebold (2011) and attitude (De Mel, Mckenzie and Woodruff, 2010),
that makes them unique, as those have direct impact on the success of the
business. Cognitive abilities are influenced by the level of education, as
more educated are proactive in all areas of the business and in technology
development. Norms, values in behavioral contest which are shaped by
culture, inevitably have its impact on the entrepreneurship performance
(Schiebold, 2011). Personal traits, attitude and strong motivation of
entrepreneurs are sufficient (Che Rose, Kumar and Lim, 2006), to
overcome impediments for start-up and growth of the entrepreneurship.
Although the lack of educated labor force tends to be one of the most
influential factors in developed countries such as the United Kingdom,
Smallbone et al. (2006) and Goetz and Freshwater (2000) point out on
historical data, which show how family background used to be
compensated for the lack of knowledge.
7

�Selma Delalić, Nermin Oruč

In Nigeria, research by Ajibefun and Daramola (2003) found out that the
education level of the owner has highly influenced efficiency of the
business and affects the growth of the business. This puts education on the
level of high priority variables for technical and organizational effects.
Nevertheless, in combination with the age of the owner, education and age
have a parabolic shape as two variables, meaning that efficiency of the
business performance first rises then declines as owner ages. Although
young owners lack experience, they should be given trainings and
encouragement to become entrepreneurs. Okurut (2008) stresses out the
positive impact of education and business knowledge on the
microbusiness
performance, while a combination of
rural
entrepreneurship and female ownership decreases business success. There
seems to be a positive link between number of start-up firms and educated
owners (Acs and Armington, 2005), not referring solely to secondary
degree education.
Gianneti and Simonov (2009), assert that substantial entrepreneurial
activity is to be influenced by positive entrepreneurial climate in the close
regions, giving a special place to social interactions, as one of the main
entrepreneurial drivers, that also enhance faster learning through social
effect. The usage of many proxies makes this finding challenging in
general application and opens a door to new entrepreneurial climate
insights. Schields (2005), acknowledges the importance of culture and
social factors and family relations, placing higher influence on successful
rural entrepreneurship management, linking individuals to rural
community development.
External opportunities and threats play important role in rural
entrepreneur's activity, where entrepreneurs creativity and motivation
comes into play, if businesses are planning to survive. Characterized by
constant depopulation, rural areas and rural entrepreneurs face a
challenge more than ever before, in striving to attract skilled and educated
labor, on one hand, and maintain supply of products that should
correspond to demand in the market. The logical consequence to this is
generally lower firm entry rate in rural areas than in urban areas
(Plummer and Headd, 2008, Yu et al., 2008).
It is important to note, that successful rural development is highly
influenced by institutional support. This does not exclude the possibility
of regional development itself, but slows the pace of development in a fast
competitive global area and drives down any further motivation and
success. Institutional support consists of formal and informal rules.
Formal (codes of conduct) are written in the legal framework, directly
8

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Studies

�Determination of Firm Growth: A Study of Rural SMEs in Bosnia-Herzegovina

applying (Schiebold, 2011) to the business performance, while informal
are shaped in norms, cultural values (Shirley, 2008).
Infrastructure plays prominent role in its impact on rural
entrepreneurship success, such as road, broadband access and access to
water (Walzer, 2009). The more developed infrastructure, the more
successful rural entrepreneurs we have (Okurut, 2008). Access to utilities,
such as electricity, communication, markets and road, contributed to the
growth of the microbusinesses in rural Kenya (Kirubi, 2006).
Infrastructure refers to physical and non-physical. Physical infrastructure
refers to roads or energy. Non-physical infrastructure consists of market
structure. Infrastructure plays an important link of rural entrepreneurs in
the urban market. Neglected by institutions in the rural development
planning and investment, due to its substantial cost issue, infrastructure is
one of the main impediments in transitional countries. Due to the
characteristic of rural areas in the sense of their remoteness, additional
challenges to rural development are transportation costs (Smallbone,
2006) and infrastructure, affecting entrepreneurship base (Ahmad and
Hoffman, 2006).
One of the limiting factors is a small local market that influences
differently rural entrepreneurship sectors (North and Smallbone, 1996),
pushing rural entrepreneurs to export markets from its very first
establishment (Smallbone et al, 1993, Dabson 2011). This clearly provides
insight into the importance of external and institutional support of rural
firms. The evidence from the different research sources, indicate the
ability of rural firms to overcome the influence of rurality and to adapt to
exporting market conditions, more successfully than their urban
counterparts (Gale, 1998). The pace of this adoption is facilitated by the
level of the country's development and opens a door to export markets,
institutional and policy support (Wyer and Smallbone, 1999) in
developing and post transitional countries.
Short supply chain as a constraining factor, has been recognized by
France, in the new strategy for rural entrepreneurship development and is
highly welcomed by Member States and drafted in New EU Rural
Development Policy 2011 (NRN 2011). Rural businesses are often involved
in the chain with the middlemen (Alsos et al, 2011), who by charging its
margin, raises the price of the product and in one or another way affects
the pace of sales. Shortening the chain, by introducing direct sales to
customers, through farm shops, road stands, online sales, fair sales (Alsos
et al, 2011) and other forms, reduces costs and allows producers to
9

�Selma Delalić, Nermin Oruč

interactively engage in sales. Yet, Verghaegen and Van Hylenbroeck
(2001) acknowledge another angle to this issue, stressing out that direct
sale to producers, require marketing and sales skills as a prerequisite and
may take valuable time. As this might be true, for remote rural
enterprises, we believe that short supply chain has possibility to
contribute in general through various ways.
To some extent, the external factors are more interlinked with lacking and
skillful labor force (Petrin, 1994), whose decreasing motivation to rural
employment is compensated with a growing propensity to urban market
opportunities. This leads to faster ageing of the rural population that
influences the possibility of dynamic rural enterprise growth. Even
Dabson (2001), points out on the significance of population in the rural
area, that creates demand for rural products, without which rural products
cannot decrease overhead costs, due to large production.
BiH agriculture is still behind regional countries Croatia, Serbia and
Macedonia, on the competitiveness scale (Zekić et al, 2009), due to low
productivity level, crop yields, inefficient and obsolete production
techniques and broken links between production and supply chains. Volk
(2008) asserts that agricultural enterprises in Bosnia and Herzegovina,
face serious obstacles to their development and production, where the
most cited are related to obsolete technological processes, subsistence
farming, poor irrigation techniques, deficient capitalization level,
marginal production innovation, dependence on the inputs and natural
production. BiH agricultural demand dominates the domestic agrosupply, despite Bosnian natural and climate advantages and leads to large
agro-import.
Methodology
Model
Extending the model developed by Headd (2000) by business
characteristics of rural entrepreneurship, and combining it with the recent
research findings as presented in the literature review, we developed the
following baseline model specification:

yi  0   j  OCij   k  BCik  l  CSFil  ui

(1)

This specification is estimated by three models, with alternative
specification of the dependent variable. In the first model, it is expresses
10

Journal of Economic and Social
Studies

�Determination of Firm Growth: A Study of Rural SMEs in Bosnia-Herzegovina

as average annual change in number of employees (aace). In the second, it
is average annual growth in number of employees (aage), while in the
third model it is expressed as a dummy variable taking value of 1 if
number of employees increased (successdv). Due to such specifications of
the dependent variable, the first two models were estimated by OLS
method, while probit was used for the third one (with a dummy variable).
The choice of employment increase is based on recent empirical studies on
determinants of growth of firms, where employment was found as more
appropriate than sales data, which are commonly underreported in
surveys. Additional motivation for the choice of employment data is that
they are more informative, as employment generation should be the most
important objective of rural development activities in BiH, rather than
growth of output.
The main independent variablesiii are factors determining growth of rural
businesses, a presented in Equation (1) are:
OC – list of demographic characteristics of the owner, such as age, sex,
education level, migration experience,
BC – characteristics of the business (age of business, whether it was
established by current owner of inherited, export orientation, etc.),
including industry (5 types of businesses) and region dummies (3 regions)
CSF – a list of 21 critical success factors (obstacles), expressed as dummy
variables indicating that interviewed owner answered that she/he is, in
running the business, facing these obstacles frequently.
The list of critical success factors was prepared base on previous
qualitative research, conducted by authors for the World Bank in 2012. In
order to reach the best possible specification of the reduced model, we
decided not to rely only on test-statistics from the hypothesis testing of
statistical significance of coefficients from the estimated model for
selection of the success factors, but also to identify the most influential
factors by using descriptive statistics resultsiv. Then, the list of the most
important factors was included into the model, and it was further reduced
by excluding some of the insignificant variables related to owner's or
business characteristics.
Female owners are found to be in minority and face various obstacles due
to gender issue, especially in complying with financial requirements
(Papadaki and Chami, 2002) by financial institutions, although it has no
implications to firm survival rate (Cooper et al, 1994). Age of the
11

�Selma Delalić, Nermin Oruč

entrepreneur is shown to be positively related to some extend and as
owner ages, it becomes less dynamic affecting the business performance
(Selaman et al., 2011).
Family business presents a healthy ground for young entrepreneurs, who
are in a position to learn from their family on rural entrepreneurship from
the very beginning, to learn about processes and resources (Walzer,
2009). Although in advanced position, empirical evidence shows that
businesses started from owners' own interest (not inherited) are more
successful in the long term (Walzer, 2009). High growing
entrepreneurships are negatively related to family businesses (Bjuggren et
al., 2010).
Beneth and Smith (2002), emphasize how the remoteness of rural areas
contributes to decreasing tendency of access to trainings and knowledge
transfer, associated with larger costs of services, inadequate training
support, and obsolete knowledge. The more distant enterprises have a
transportation cost as a significant part of the price calculation and it
directly reduces its margins and profit (Walzer, 2009). Geographic
location (Bosworth, 2011) is unprecedently defining the type of products
harvested or services provided in the rural area of one country. The
comparative advantage for the purpose of efficient production is
important, but the geography provides no crucial obstacle to rural firms.
Financing is ever growing obstacle, very sensitive in the aspect of rural
entrepreneurship in the context of credit collateral and credit history. It is
extended to difficulties in loan procedures and documentation (Nurbani et
al., 2010). Confessing the fact that start-up in general have financial
issues, as is supported by the research of Nurbaini et al. (2010), even
providing the access to various financial schemes does not guarantee
success.
Data and Descriptive Statistics
Since there are no available data for the purpose of analysis presented in
this paper, a survey among 300 entrepreneurs in BiH was conducted. The
sampling frame used for sample selection consists of various sources, of
over 1.300 entities, as there is no single database of rural
entrepreneurship existing in Bosnia and Herzegovina. From the database
we have selected 300 rural businesses for our sample. Response rate was
70 percent, so we have ended up with 210 respondents. For selection of
rural entrepreneurs, we applied settlement based definition of rurality,
where rural businesses are the ones operating in villages.
12

Journal of Economic and Social
Studies

�Determination of Firm Growth: A Study of Rural SMEs in Bosnia-Herzegovina

The predominant form of rural businesses is micro and small business,
where they account for 90 percent of all rural establishments (Buss and
Yancer, 1999) and nearly two-thirds of all rural jobs, making them a vital
part of the rural economy (McDaniel, 2001). Almost 75 percent of rural
small businesses have fewer than 20 employees, accounting for a quarter
of rural jobs, but only a fifth of rural payrolls (McDaniel, 2001). Therefore,
we decided to focus on micro and small (0-49 employees) businesses in
our research.
The sampling selection procedure applied here was two stage
stratification. First stage stratification was stratification of businesses
according to their type. All businesses were grouped into five large groups
(fruits, vegetables, rural tourism, rural retail, other businesses) and the
number of businesses from each of these strata were selected into the
sample according to their share in the sampling frame. In the second
stage, we divided entire BiH into three regions, characterized by diverse
characteristics of rural businesses present there. The regions are Northern
Bosnia, Central Bosnia, and Herzegovina (southern part of the country).
From each area, number of businesses selected into the sample was
according to the proportion of the businesses in each type of business
(first stage strata) from each region based on their share in the sampling
frame. This way, we assured coverage of all types of businesses and
representativeness of businesses predominantly located in a particular
region, since it is expected that different types of businesses in different
regions face obstacles (e.g. transportation) at a different extent.
Descriptive analysis of data reveals some interesting findings, informative
for the further econometric analysis. Entrepreneurs are mostly men (in
86.95% of cases), 47.8 years old on average, have a secondary education
level (in 57.76% of cases), with 19 years of total experience and 12 years of
experience in the sector of their business. Businesses are mostly
established (82,43% cases) from the owner's interest and only a few are
inherited (11.2%) from the family, and are using the owner's asset (in
87.14% of cases). Successful rural businesses have written contracts (60%)
with one or two crucial customers (68%). Rural businesses are mainly
established by one owner, using owner's savings and in a few cases, by
using a combination of bank credit and owner savings. It employs 9
employees currently, have a 10% in growth employment, and a 4.5%
growth in sales annually, on average, with a large standard deviation. It
has written contracts (in 59.52% of cases) and sells to 2 different groups of
customers.
The rate of the rural business progress can be seen in a positive change in
13

�Selma Delalić, Nermin Oruč

the number of employees. Rural businesses in BiH on average employ one
worker for every two years of a business existence. Ninety two percent of
businesses are growing but the rate of its progress is very slow,
particularly including average age of the business. Rural businesses are 7
km away from the closest bank or microcredit affiliates and 5 km away
from the road. Supply of water, electricity, internet and access to the road
are supplied in the 97% of cases on average, with no impediments. Rural
businesses mostly have signed contracts and we have a situation where a
group of business who signed no contract, in 48.57% of cases had no
success, and businesses that signed a contract, by 22.11% faced the same
situation. What makes those two groups distinct, is an uneven distribution
of success. Micro businesses are burdened with the costs of transportation
(51.41%).
More than 68% of rural businesses which answered that their business
faces complicated administrative procedures are micro businesses
(employing 1 up to 10 employees), who are successful, employing 2 to 5
additional workers. Out of those, 43% are those faced with this obstacle
the most and have zero employment growth, meaning zero success. Real
interest rate as an obstacle, has an impact on micro businesses („the slow
growers“) in 62.4%, affecting businesses that employ 1 to 5 employees the
most.
What is interesting is the nature of relations among owner's total
experience, intention to expand the business and a written business plan.
Almost 55% of owners do not have a written business plan. Of those who
do have, 15th and 20th year of the business is crucial in planning. Owners
express their intention and motivation to expand the business, but plan
their activities every 10 years on average. Education of the owner does not
particularly affect his/her motivation to write a business plan. Owner of
the successful business in 82.24% of cases had the intention to expand the
business, and 72.2% of them had a written business plan. Only those
established by the pure interest of the owner (77.14%) using owners'
savings as a starting capital (63.7%) is the most successful (77.14%).
Results
The results of regression analysis of three alternative specifications of the
reduced model from Equation (1), with different dependent variable, are
presented in the table below (t-statistics in parentheses):
Table 1. Results of various models
14

Journal of Economic and Social
Studies

�Determination of Firm Growth: A Study of Rural SMEs in Bosnia-Herzegovina

Variables

Model 1
OLS

Dependent

Average
annual
change in
employees

Age of owner
If owner resides in rural areas
Owner has tertiary education
Business was inherited
Business was started by using own
savings
Owner receives remittances
Exports
Taxes and contributions
Lack of support by local authorities
High costs of transport
Exchange rate volatility
Large competitors
Difficult to obtain loan
Constant
Observations
R-squared

-0.012
(-0.92)
-0.455*
(-1.83)
0.331
(-1.43)
0.586
(-1.51)
0.691*
(2.42)
0.463*
(-1.77)
0.901**
(3.16)
-0.36
(-1.01)
-0.699*
(2.45)
-0.784**
(2.32)
-0.325
(-1.26)
0.262
(-1.06)
0.717**
(2.37)
1.202
(-1.67)
135
0.25

Model 2 OLS
Average
annual
growth in
employees
(%)
-1.223
(-0.94)
-44.64*
(-1.76)
33.876
(-1.43)
58.858
(-1.5)
69.649*
(2.38)
46.973*
(-1.76)
90.491**
(3.13)
-36.583
(-1.01)
-69.314**
(2.35)
-78.964**
(2.30)
-31.567
(-1.19)
27.125
(-1.06)
70.756**
(2.23)
120.627
(-1.65)
132
0.25

Model 3
Probit
= 1 if
number of
employees
increased
0.006
(-0.40)
-0.304
(-1.14)
0.326
(-1.26)
1.344**
(2.33)
0.414
(-1.38)
0.713**
(2.09)
0.015
-0.05
0.779*
(2.32)
-0.967**
(2.68)
-0.033
(-0.1)
-0.258
(-0.83)
0.294
(-1.09)
0.908**
(2.93)
-0.679
(-0.91)
166

Source: Calculation done by authors
** statistically significant at 1% level, * statistically significant at 5%
level
The results presented in the table above show that the most important
factors affecting growth of a rural firm in BiH are lack of support by lower
15

�Selma Delalić, Nermin Oruč

levels governments (institutional factor), high transportation costs
(infrastructural factor), and difficulties in obtaining a loan (access to
finance factor). Some other success factors, such as presence of large
competitors, large taxes and contributions, or exchange rate volatility,
appeared as statistically significant factors in one of the three models, but
the significance was not consistent across the models. In addition,
significant variables affecting growth of rural businesses are, according to
the estimation results from Table 1, export orientation of a business, if
business was established by using own savings, if owner has tertiary
education, and if owner receives remittances from abroad.
The models were tested for standard OLS assumptions and no significant
problems were identified. It was assumed that the high level of
multicolinearity could be expected; however, the results of the correlation
and variance inflation factor analysis did not suggest significant degree of
colinearity between these variablesv.
Possible endogeneity of the set of variables for critical success factors was
identified. Less successful entrepreneurs could be more likely to report
more significant obstacles. However, appropriate instruments were not
available in the dataset, and it can be assumed that any possible
endogeneity problem, arising from the correlation between these variables
and the error term, was reduced by inclusion of a set of demographic
characteristics of the owner. Exclusion of these variables would increase
the endogeneity bias.
Conclusions
The results of the rural entrepreneurship survey reveal that the main
factors affecting success of rural enterprises in Bosnia and Herzegovina
are related to financial, institutional and infrastructural constraints. The
model has shown almost each factor to have a similar level of impact on
the rural success, which means we need to work on those factors
simultaneously, without prioritizing one over another.
Institutional factors, primarily related to the business climate, severely
affect growth of rural businesses, as any other. BiH is well known as a
country which has lowest rating with regards to business climate in
Europe, and is among the worst in the world. Average number of days for
starting a new business, according to the World Bank’s Doing Business
reports, is more than 70 days. The government needs to start
implementing necessary reforms of administrative procedures, improve
functioning of their services to businesses, including better targeting and
16

Journal of Economic and Social
Studies

�Determination of Firm Growth: A Study of Rural SMEs in Bosnia-Herzegovina

coverage of subsidies, and to make other improvements of business
climate (e.g. reducing tax burdens to businesses). These reforms, as we
saw from the results presented, will help rural entrepreneurs to grow
faster, but would also increase entrepreneurial activities by other people
in BiH as well as attract more foreign investments. All these would result
in increase of employment, which is highest in Europe and should be one
of the goals at the top of the agenda of the BiH government.
The results also show that rural entrepreneurs expect more support from
local than state level government. This should be taken into account in
evaluation of the results of government at different level, as well as for
design of strategies for rural development and related activities. Support
by the local government is particularly expected in the activities related to
improvement of local infrastructure, such a local roads, access to water,
and access to phone and internet.
Successful businesses have a need for a source of finance, on a regular
basis, especially when it comes to buying new machines and facilities or
refurbishing old ones, and investing in new skills. In addition, easier
access to start-up funds for new entrepreneurs would have positive
influence on boosting entrepreneurial activities in rural areas. Such a
support by the government would be directly transformed into the
employment growth.
Finally, besides the results provided above, additional research of rural
entrepreneurship is necessary for better understanding of this issue,
which is of extreme importance for BiH. Since data availability is the first
condition for a proper research, a census of rural businesses and
establishment of comprehensive database of such businesses is the first
step in this direction. Establishment of the database is also one of the key
EU requirements for BiH in order to be eligible for funds available for
rural development in BiH (IPARD).

17

�Selma Delalić, Nermin Oruč

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20

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Studies

�Determination of Firm Growth: A Study of Rural SMEs in Bosnia-Herzegovina

Appendix 1. Description of the variables
Variable

Description

Survey
Question

Owner’s
characteristics

O_male
O_age
O_birth
O_resr
O_prim
O_sec
O_tert
O_exp-tot
O_exp-s
O_duration_migr

=1 if owner is male
Owner’s age in years
=1 if owner born in rural area
=1 if owner lives in rural area
=1 if owner has primary education
=1 if owner has secondary education
=1 if owner has tertiary education
Years of total experience of the owner
Years of experience in that sector of
the owner
Years spent abroad

A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A5
A5
A6a

Age of business
=1 if business is in fruits sector
=1 if business is in Vegetables sector
=1 if business is in Tourism sector
=1 if business is in retail sector
=1 if business is in other sectors
=1 if business located in northern
region
=1 if business located in southern
region
Number of o wners
1=firm has long-term contract with
customer
Number of employees now
Number of employees at start-up
=1 if business inherited
=1 if business established by owner
-1 if own assets used in business
Dummy variable, 1= savings, 0=other
=1 if receives remittances
Dummy variable,
1=if firm exports, 0=No

B1
B3
B3
B3
B3
B3

A6c
A7

Business
characteristics

B_age
fruits
Vegetables
Tourism
retail
other
north
south
owners
contract
Empl1
Empl2
inherited
established
assets
saving
rem
export

B2
B16
B3a
B3b
B5b
B5a
B8
B11
B12
B17
21

�Selma Delalić, Nermin Oruč

coop

1=member of a cooperative

B19

Obstacles
Ci_1
Ci_2
Ci_3
Ci_4
Ci_5
Ci_6
Cii_7
Cii_8
Cii_9
Cii_10
Variable
Ciii_11
Ciii_12
Ci_13
Civ_14
Civ_15
Civ_16
Civ_17
22

=1 if facing obstacle 1, “Complicated
procedures for obtaining subsidies”,
frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 2, “Lack of
support by the government”,
frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 3, “High taxes and
contributions”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 4, “Lack of local
community support”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 5, “Difficulties in
obtaining standards, certificates, etc.”,
frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 6, “Other
institutional”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 7, “High
transportation costs”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 8, “No access to
water”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 9, “No access to
phone, internet, etc.”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 10, “Other
infrastructural”, frequently
Desciption
=1 if facing obstacle 11, “Lack of
trained labour force”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 12, “Other skill
related”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 13, “Difficulties in
selling the products”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 14, “Low price of
products offered by resellers”,
frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 15, “Too volatile
exchange rates”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 16, “High degree
of competition”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 17, “Expensive

C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
C6
C7
C8
C9
C10
Survey
Question
C11
C12
C13
C14
C15
C16
C17

Journal of Economic and Social
Studies

�Determination of Firm Growth: A Study of Rural SMEs in Bosnia-Herzegovina

Civ_18
Civ_19
Cv_20
Cv_21
Cv_22

raw materials”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 18, “Remote from
the larger groceries or discount
center”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 19, “Other market
related”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 20, “High interest
rates”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 21, “Difficulties in
obtaining a loan”, frequently
=1 if facing obstacle 21, “Other finance
related”, frequently

C18
C19
C20
C21
C22

Stratification
variables
type

region

Categorical variable for type of
business (=1 fruits, =2, vegetables, =3
retail, =4 tourism, =5 other types; for
Albania first 4 for four types with
largest share, 5 for the rest)
Categorical variable for region (=1
centre, =2 north, =3 south)

B3

iThis

paper was prepared in the framework of the Regional Research Promotion
Programme in the Western Balkans (RRPP), which is run by the University of
Fribourg upon a mandate of the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation,
SDC, Federal Department of Foreign Affairs. The views expressed in this paper
are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent opinions of the SDC and
the University of Fribourg.
iiCareer Integration Fellow of the CERG-EI, Prague
iiiDetailed description of each variable included in estimation is provided in
Appendix 1.
iv Here, we used Pearson's χ2 statistics.
vAll correlations were below 0.5 and all VIF factors were below 10, while the
average VIF was below 4.

23

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                <text>Rural development is identified as one of the key areas of intervention in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH). The main drivers of rural development can be small sized companies run by rural entrepreneurs, and intervention should be focused on enabling environment for their growth. The paper presents analysis of the factors determining growth in employment by small rural businesses in BiH, using quantitative data from original survey conducted in 2012. The direction and magnitude of different factors were further analyzed through qualitative data analysis. Findings from this research identify the key obstacles affecting growth of rural businesses, primarily related to infrastructure, access to finance, access to market, and availability of “soft” skills. The paper proposed possible ways of intervention in reducing these obstacles in order to promote rural development in BiH.</text>
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                    <text>Journal of Economic and Social Studies

Knowledge Management Processes in Thermal
Hotels:
An Application in Afyonkarahisar Province,
Turkey
Ahmet Baytok
Faculty of Tourism
Afyon Kocatepe University, Turkey
ahmetbaytok@aku.edu.tr
Hasan Hüseyin Soybali
Faculty of Tourism
Afyon Kocatepe University, Turkey
hsoybali@aku.edu.tr
Ozcan Zorlu
Faculty of Tourism,
Afyon Kocatepe University, Turkey
ozcanzorlu@aku.edu.tr
Abstract: This study aims to analyze
knowledge
management
(KM)
processes in thermal hotels in
Afyonkarahisar province in Turkey.
Within the scope of this research, the
KM processes applied in thermal
hotels have been determined through
conducting questionnaire surveys.
Descriptive
analyses
of
hotel
managers’ views on KM processes
were presented. Also, discriminant
analysis was used to determine
differences between participants’
views based on their demographic
characteristics. As a result of the
study, it was found that thermal
hotels highly apply KM processes.
Knowledge creation is the most
applied KM process among others. In
Introduction
addition, it was found that informal
communication should be encouraged
in order to improve knowledge
sharing.

Keywords:
Knowledge Management,
Thermal Hotels,
Afyonkarahisar.
JEL Classification:
M15, L83.

D83,

Article History
Submitted: 06 Jun 2013
Resubmitted: 25 September
2013
Accepted: 22 October 2013

159

�Ahmet Baytok, Hasan Hüseyin Soybali, Ozcan Zorlu

Knowledge is the main determinant of transforming business techniques
and technologies into a competitive tool. Since competitors cannot
benchmark or copy possessed unique knowledge, this fact makes the
knowledge significant (Tiwana, 2003: 72). Thus, knowledge and
knowledge management (KM) is one of the most important asset in
business, and one of the most researched subjects in academic literature.
KM is seen as an essential and important tool for companies in sustaining
their existence and gaining competitive advantage (Martensson, 2000:
204; Schönström, 2005: 17; Sandhawalia and Dalcher, 2010: 313,
Stapleton, 2003: 97) has been firstly coined by Dr. Karl Wiig in academic
literature. It is described by American Productivity and Quality Center
(APQC) as a systematic approach (integrating people, processes,
technology, and content) to enable information and knowledge to be
created and flow to the right people at the right time so that their work
and decisions can add value to the mission of the organization (Leawitt,
2003). KM has also engendered many new concepts and categories in
using knowledge to create value (Dalkir, 2005: xiii).
Nowadays, all companies gather information by interacting with their
business environment; transform this information to the knowledge and
run using this knowledge consonantly with their know-how, values, beliefs
and internal rules (Davenport and Prusak, 2000: 52). This process, which
is also named as KM processes naturally exists in organization (Shi, 2010:
12), expresses a structured coordination to effective management of
knowledge (Gold, Malhotra, Segars, 2001:187) and is mainly related to
how knowledge is created and used in organization (Nonaka and
Takeuchi, 1995: 59). When the KM literature is reviewed, it is seen that
KM processes have been categorized differently by many researchers
(Alavi and Leidner, 1999; Liebowitz, 2001; Bouncken, 2002; Bryant,
2003; Holsapple, Jones and Singh, 2007; Fink and Ploder, 2011). As these
categorizations are considered, KM processes can be classified as
knowledge acquisition, knowledge creation, knowledge sharing,
knowledge storage and documentation, knowledge use. These processes
will be explained in detail in next section.
Contrary to its popularity in business management literature, it is seen
that the number of studies on KM processes in hospitality industry is very
limited. Thus, KM is a relatively new concept for hospitality management
literature and much more detailed studies need to be conducted in order
to understand the KM and KM processes in hospitality industry.
160

Journal of Economic and Social
Studies

�Knowledge Management Processes in Thermal Hotels: An Application in
Afyonkarahisar Province, Turkey

In this context, this study aims to draw attention to KM in hotels by
evaluating KM processes in thermal hotels. Within the scope of this
research, the KM processes applied in thermal hotels have been
determined through conducting questionnaires. Percentage and frequency
tables are used to show participants’ demographic characteristics and see
participants’ views about KM processes. Finally, discriminant analyses
refer differences between participants’ views based on their demographic
characteristics.
KM Processes in Hospitality Enterprises
Tourism as a knowledge intensive industry consists of complex and
dynamic network structures (Baggio, 2006). Intangible, inseparable,
perishable and heterogeneous characteristics of tourism product and its
compound nature make knowledge important for tourism industry.
Acquiring knowledge instantly and using it in production, consumption
and operational activities are rarely important in other sectors as much as
tourism industry (Poon, 1993). Knowledge plays vital role in tourism
industry and industry cannot fulfill its functions completely without
knowledge (O’Connor, 1999). Increasing and diversifying needs and
expectations of tourism demand, increased competition and efficient use
of resources make knowledge important in tourism, and knowledge
sharing becomes core of tourism business (Pollack, 1995).
Hospitality enterprises are mainly service producers. For the achievement
of final products, hospitality companies collaborate with a variety of
service industries like travel agencies, tour operators, transporters,
entertainment, shopping. Thus hospitality industry have knowledge-based
or knowledge intensive service processes (Kahle, 2002). Moreover, the
industry is knowledge-intensive as a result of the nature of service
product, where the service delivery occurs as a result of interaction
between customers and employees, and where it is required that
employees are acknowledged about customers’ needs in order to achieve
customer satisfaction (Kahle, 2002; Kotler, Bowen and Makens, 1999;
cited by Hallin and Marnburg, 2007:3). In addition, knowledge
management is important for hotel chains which have to deliver an overall
quality standard in geographically distributed hotels (Medlik, 1990: 153;
cited by Bouncken, 2002: 27).
Possible application areas of knowledge management systems in
hospitality and tourism are business planning (process of planning
capacities, quality standards and prices of additional services), service
operations (hotel facilities planning, event scheduling) quality
161

�Ahmet Baytok, Hasan Hüseyin Soybali, Ozcan Zorlu

improvement (e.g. managing customer complaints) and reaction on
emerging cases (Gronau, 2002). And, possible knowledge sources can be
contents of files on a server, intranet pages, directory of business relevant
persons, e-mail traffic that is guided to specialists for certain situations
(e.g. for technical maintenance (Gronau, 2002). Bounken (2002: 30)
classifies this knowledge stated in sources as task- specific, task-related,
transactive memory and guest–related knowledge for hotels. Hoteliers
should always seek, use and value knowledge like professionals in other
business sectors. Thus knowledge existing in hospitality enterprises
should be managed in the scope of strategic manner with certain
processes. Cooper (2006) classifies knowledge management processes in
hotels as knowledge stocks and mapping, knowledge capturing,
knowledge codifying, knowledge flow and knowledge transfer. And,
Bouncken (2002) classifies those processes as knowledge identification,
acquisition and development of knowledge, knowledge accumulation,
retrieval and distribution, and knowledge controlling. On the other hand
we classify KM processes, in accordance with general KM literature, as
acquisition, creation, sharing, storage and documentation, and utilization
of knowledge as mentioned earlier.
Knowledge Acquisition: Companies firstly try to identify knowledge that
exists outside and inside of organization but cannot be detected/found, in
the context of knowledge acquisition (Shi, 2010: 12; Isa, Abdullah,
Hamzah, ArsHad, 2008: 105, Bratianu, 2011: 6, Al-Busaidi, 2011: 402,
Sun, 2010: 508). In this stage, the required knowledge generally has
information characteristics. Companies capture required information in
two ways, from inside and outside of the organization (Wiig, 1999: 2).
First, they capture knowledge existing in the organization by knowledge
workers. Second, they outsource or purchase required information
existing outside of the organization (Bergeron, 2003: 95). Companies
capture required information by means of their customers, suppliers,
competitors, relation with strategic alliances (Fink and Ploder, 2011: 52),
books, software, academic publications, research reports and video
conferences (Bratianu, 2011: 6). Besides companies utilize structured
interviews, talk loud analysis, protocols, questionnaires, observations and
simulations to capture the required information (Dalkir, 2005: 81).
Bouncken (2002) states that in hospitality enterprises knowledge
acquisition concentrates on external knowledge retrieval from customers,
external experts, tourist offices and often enhances the assimilation of
previously unnoticed information. The author also emphasizes that
knowledge develops (captures) via service research, service practice and
distribution and cooperation of knowledge among employees in hotels.
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Knowledge Creation: Knowledge creation is getting new and useful
knowledge from the information that is captured from the sources existing
inside and outside of the organization. Nonaka and Takeuchi (1995: 5973) describe knowledge creation as a process of socialization,
externalization, combination and internalization. According to
researchers, implicit/tacit knowledge creation is a spiral process starting
at the individual level and moving up through expanding communities of
interaction that crosses sectional, departmental, divisional and
organizational boundaries (Nonaka and Takeuchi, 1995: 72). On the other
hand, knowledge which is created in the organization should be shared
before and after knowledge creation processes in order to use it efficiently
at an individual and organizational level.
Knowledge Sharing: Knowledge sharing can be described as transferring
or disseminating of knowledge from a worker, group or organization to
another (Lee, 2001: 324). Also, it can be described as interaction between
explicit and implicit knowledge (Lee, Gillespie, Mann and Wearing: 2010:
474). In a broader perspective, knowledge sharing is composed of the
activities that involve gathering, absorbing, and/or transferring product
and/or service information between organizations and customers, alliance
partners, and/or employees (Chen and Barnes, 2006). To provide effective
knowledge sharing in organizations; motivation and encouragement
systems and an open organizational structure should be designed to
support knowledge flow, technological support should be provided such as
intranet and internet (Cook and Cook, 2004: 314; Riege, 2005: 29).
Physical areas that enable informal communication such as talking rooms,
water cooler/teapot and cafeteria areas should be designed and finally
some activities that enable face to face communication should be
organized such as meetings (Davenport and Prusak, 2000: 89-95).
Contrary to this fact, high personnel turnover and rotating staff limit the
knowledge sharing in hotels. Thus, hotels’ management should
concentrate on transforming tacit knowledge to explicit knowledge.
Knowledge Storage and Documentation: This process basically aims to
make organizational knowledge accessible for everyone. Knowledge
storage and documentation process identifies which knowledge will be
stored in the organization (Hattendorf, 2002: 65), and includes
codification and storing of knowledge captured from organization
members and external sources (Alavi and Leidner, 1999).
Knowledge Utilization: This process basically consists of carrying out
activities to ensure that the knowledge is applied productively for its
benefits (Fink and Ploder, 2011: 52). Organizational knowledge utilization
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can be categorized as knowledge use at micro and macro level.
Management of knowledge in micro level is prior and essential in
organizational knowledge utilization to increase organizational
performance and profitability. On the other hand, it is intended to use
explicit knowledge disclosed by the organization to its environment as a
part of marketing strategy or as a survival tool in a competitive market
(Reychav and Weisberg, 2006: 225). In knowledge utilization processes,
companies gain competitive advantage and create value by combining
knowledge with products and services, applying it within new projects
(Kasvi, Vartiainen and Hailikari, 2003: 572), and using this knowledge in
decision making, policy making, problem solving and developing new
products to meet human/enterprise needs (Salo, 2009; Al-Busaidi, 2011:
403).
Knowledge Management in Thermal Hotels and Afyonkarahisar
as a Thermal Tourism Destination
Utilization of thermal water resources for health purposes is one of the
oldest travel motivations dating back to ancient Egypt, Greek and Roman
periods (Özer, 1991). Today, the effort for the utilization of natural
thermal resources with support of the modern medicine, has caused the
emergence of thermal tourism which is defined as a type of tourism which
consists of various types of utilization methods such as "thermo-mineral
water bath, drinking, inhalation, mud bath, cure (treatment) applications
which combine supporting treatment methods as the climatic cure,
physical therapy, rehabilitation, exercise, psychotherapy and diet as well
as the use of thermal waters for entertainment and recreational purposes
(Kültürve Turizm Bakanlığı, 2013). The realization of thermal tourism
activities in an area is only possible with the existence of thermal facilities
which includes spas where “mud, under-ground, sea and climate related
natural healing elements are used as treatment instruments, drinking cure
centres and climatic cure centres and recreational and treatment units in
these locations (ResmiGazete, 2005).
The necessity to meet the treatment and recreational demands together in
thermal tourism, distinguishes management and organizational structure
of thermal tourism enterprises from others (Özbek, 1991). Service delivery
in the same place for healthy and patient guests in thermal enterprises,
having cure units in their organizational structure, application of different
programs (physical therapy, rehabilitation, diet etc.) to patients within the
scope of cure applications and need for certain period of time (21 days in
average) for the completion of curing practises (Arasıl, 1991) and necessity
to enrich recreational areas require these enterprises to operate in a
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complex structure and system (Özbek, 1991). This structure makes the
knowledge important in thermal hotel enterprises to be able to manage
the activities efficiently and effectively.
Thermal hotels are the enterprises which produce hospitality services
same as other accommodation enterprises. Therefore, the acquisition,
creation, sharing, storage, and utilization of knowledge in all areas falling
within the scope hospitality enterprises’ operations also apply to thermal
hotel enterprises. For example, collection of knowledge from health
institutions in target markets on frequently observed common diseases
and health problems which can be treated by thermal treatment in those
areas or obtaining knowledge related to competitors and their operations
refers to the acquisition of knowledge management processes. The use of
that knowledge for the planning and execution of their activities and
development of new treatment methods and services is knowledge
creation. The delivery of knowledge about meals arranged by the specialist
doctor in the cure centre to the kitchen for preparation and food and
beverage departments for its service can be given an example to
knowledge flow and share. The storage of knowledge related to treatment
practices to use it on the patients who indicate the similar health problems
in future in databases/warehouses, and keeping information on weekly,
monthly and annual occupancy rates in the front office is knowledge
storage / documentation process. The use of acquired, created, shared and
stored knowledge in a thermal hotel for the determination of future
management strategies can be expressed as an example of the knowledge
use.
Afyonkarahisar, an Aegean Province, is located in Phrygian Region which
is planned to be developed as thermal tourism destination together with
Ankara, Eskisehir, Kütahya and Uşak provinces in the Turkey’s tourism
strategy for 2023 (Kültürve Turizm Bakanlığı, 2013a). The basic attraction
of the province, in terms of tourism is the natural thermal water resources
located in its four regions; Ömer-Gecek (Centre), Hüdai (Sandıklı),
Heybeli (Bolvadin) and Gazlıgöl (İhsaniye). All of these four thermal
tourism regions of Afyonkarahisar have been announced as Thermal
Tourism Region by the Ministry of Culture and Tourism. According to the
2012 statistics of Ministry of Culture and Tourism, 14 Ministry registered
operation licensed hospitality enterprises operate in Afyonkarahisar. The
bed capacity is 4,925 in these enterprises. There are also 15 Ministry
registered investment licensed hospitality enterprises with a 9,100 bed
capacity. The hospitality supra-structure of Afyonkarahisar is largely
formed by the hospitality enterprises established for thermal tourism
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Gecek in city centre and Sandıklı- Hüdai (The most quality enterprises are
especially located in Ömer-Gecek in city centre and Sandıklı- Hüdai
regions). There are 5 five-star hospitality enterprises with a 3,204 bed
capacity in Ömer-Gecek thermal tourism region. 1,140 beds are available
in Sandkl-Hüdai in two five-star hospitality enterprises. The share of these
two regions in total Ministry registered bed capacity reaches to as high as
88%. While mostly a condominium supra-structure is observed in Gazlıgöl
(While mostly a condominium supra-structure is observed in Gazlıgöl
thermal tourism region), Heybeli thermal tourism region has small
thermal enterprises which are operated by Bolvadin District Municipality.
According to 2012 statistics of Ministry of Culture and Tourism, a total of
264,841 visitors of whom 7,720 are foreign and 257,121 are Turkish
citizens were accommodated in Afyonkarahisar ( Afyonkarahisar İl
KültürveTurizm Müdürlüğü, 2013).
Methodology
In this descriptive study, it is primarily aimed to determine whether
thermal hotels use KM and if it is to what degree they use KM processes in
the scope of strategic management. Other basic objective of the study is to
assign, on the condition that KM processes in thermal hotels differentiate
according to some demographic variables of middle and senior hotel
managers. It is also assumed that results of the survey will contribute to
the related literature and hotel managers or owners who want to practice
KM in his/her hotel in the context of strategic management to gain
competitive advantage especially in the long term.
A quantitative research method was preferred to collect required data in
this study. Thus, questionnaire method which is mostly preferred of
quantitative research method was used. The questionnaire basically
consists of two main sections. Some close-ended questions such as gender,
age, department, and years of working experience in the hotel were asked
to hotel managers in the first section. A 5-point Likert Scale consisting of
32 items about KM processes took part in the second section of the
questionnaire. With these items, it is aimed to gather required data
related to acquisition, creation, sharing, storage and documentation, and
utilization of knowledge. KM process statements were adapted from Shi’s
(2010) PhD dissertation on KM.
The questionnaire was conducted starting from 10 February 2013 to 25
March 2013 in seven 5 star hotels located in Afyonkarahisar. A total of
67middle and senior managers were asked to complete the questionnaire
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form vis-à-vis. PASW 18 statistical package programme was used to
analyze the gathered data.
Data Analyses
For the purpose of the study, reliability analyses were performed in order
to detect the validity of questionnaire data for the descriptive and
discriminant analyses at beginning of the data analyze phase. As shown in
Table 1, Cronbach Alpha defining reliability coefficient was found 0.955
for the 32 items of the questionnaire. Furthermore, Cronbach Alpha
coefficient was found over 0.70 in each sub-factors of the KM scale.
Questionnaire where the Cronbach Alpha coefficient is over 0.70 is often
accepted as reliable in social sciences (Lehman et al. 2005). Thus, the data
collected via questionnaire in this study was accepted reliable for the
descriptive and discriminant analyses.
Table 1. Reliability Test Results
KM scale (32 items)
KM scale sub-factors
a) Knowledge acquisition
b) Knowledge creation
c) Knowledge sharing
d) Knowledge storage and
documentation
e) Knowledge utilization

Cronbach Alpha
0.955

n
32

0.853
0.834
0.702

6
5
7

0.907

7

0.871

7

Just after the reliability analyze some demographic variables of middle
and senior managers of the thermal hotels were analysed by descriptive
analysis. As shown in Table 2, a great majority of the participants are men
(65.7%), and 39 participants are married (58.2%) while 41.8% of the
population is single. More than half of 67 participants with 56.7% namely
38 managers are between the ages of 25 and 34. Other major group
involves the participants whose ages are between 35 and 44. According to
results in Table 2, 34.3% of the participants have bachelor degree, while 21
participants (31.3%) graduated from high school, and 15 participants
(22.4) have associate’s degree. So, it can be said that a great majority of
the middle and senior managers of thermal hotels in Afyonkarahisar are
well educated with the percent of 57.7. Thus, we assumed that most of the
middle and senior thermal hotel managers have information about KM
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and they know how to use knowledge in accordance with a strategic
perspective especially to gain competitive advantage in long term.

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Table 2. Results of Some Demographic Variables of the Participants
Variable
Gender

Age group
Marital
status

Education

Department

Subdimension
Male
Female
24 and
younger ages
25 to 34 ages
35 to 44 ages
45 to 54 ages
Married
Single
Primary
education
High school
graduated
Associate's
degree
Bachelor
degree
Master/PhD
degree
Food and
Beverage
Front Office
Housekeeping
Spa-Wellness
Accounting
Sales
Marketing
Senior
Management
Public
Relations
Animation
Technique
Services
Human
Resources

44
23

65.7
34.3

Cumulative
Percentage
(%)
65.7
100

7

10.4

10.4

38
19
3
39
28

56.7
28.4
4.5
58.2
41.8

67.1
95.5
100
58.2
100

6

9.0

9.0

21

31.3

40.3

15

22.4

62.7

23

34.3

97.0

2

3.0

100

17

25.4

25.4

12
7
7
6

17.9
10.4
10.4
9.0

43.3
53.7
64.1
73.1

5

7.5

80.6

3

4.5

85.1

3

4.5

89.6

3

4.5

94.1

2

3.0

97.1

1

1.5

98.6

Frequency Percentage
(n)
(%)

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�Ahmet Baytok, Hasan Hüseyin Soybali, Ozcan Zorlu

Year of
working
experience
in hotel
Total (N)67

Missing Value
Less than 1
year
1-5 years
6-10 years
11 years and
above
Missing Value
100 %

1

1.5

100

14

20,9

20.9

35
12

52,2
17,9

73.1
91.0

5

7,5

98.5

1

1,5

100

The descriptive analyze results indicate that 25.4% of the participants are
working at Food and Beverage departments of the thermal hotels. Also,
another major group consists of Front Office department chiefs/managers
with the percentage of 17.9. Departments of the participants ranked after
Front Office ranked as Housekeeping (10.4%), Spa-Wellness (10.4%),
Accounting (9.0%), Sales and Marketing (7.5%), Senior Management
(4.5%), Public Relations (4.5%), Animation (4.5%), and others (4.5%)
including Technique Service and Human Resources. Thus, results of this
study are largely depend on F&amp;B, Front Office, Housekeeping and SpaWellness department chiefs/managers’ answers. Lastly, results show that
a great majority of the participants have been working in the hotel from 1
year to 5 years (52.2%, n: 35). The percentage of middle and senior
managers working for the less than one year is 20.9 with 14 participants.
Degree of KM Use in Hotels
In this section, the degree of KM processes used in thermal hotels was
evaluated based on participants’ views with descriptive analysis. Means
and standard deviations were calculated to determine participants’
response rates to the items. Participants’ views about KM processes are
presented in Table 3. Due to the results of all items above 3.00 (No idea)
mean level, it can be assumed that thermal hotels realize all required
transactions in the scope of KM processes.

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Table 3. Descriptive Analysis Results of Knowledge Management
Processes

Knowledge
Utilization

Knowledge Storage and
Documentation

Knowledge Sharing

Knowledge
Creation

Knowledge
Acquisition

Subdimensions

Items
Our hotel frequently seeks new knowledge outside the organization.
Our staff regularly gets new knowledge from external sources.
Our hotel systematically analyses customer needs.
Our hotel regularly captures knowledge of our competitors.
Our hotel captures knowledge obtained from public research institutions
including universities and etc.
Our hotel regularly captures knowledge obtained from industrial
associations, competitors, clients and suppliers.
Our hotel frequently comes up with new ideas about our products and/or
services.
Our hotel frequently comes up with new ideas about our working
methods and processes.
If a traditional method is not effective anymore, our hotel develops a new
method.
Our hotel develops new ideas and innovations in collaboration between
different departments.
Our hotel develops new ideas and innovations in collaboration with
external partners such as suppliers and clients.
In our hotel information and knowledge are actively shared within the
departments.
Different departments actively share information and knowledge among
each other.
Employees and managers exchange a lot of information and knowledge.
Our hotel shares a lot of knowledge and information with strategic
partners.
Our hotel shares knowledge with competitors (through industrial
associations, directly, etc.).
In our hotel, previously made solutions and documents are easily
available.
In our hotel, much knowledge is distributed in informal ways (in the
corridors, break rooms, etc.).
Our hotel does a lot of work to refine, organize and store the knowledge
collected.
The information sources, manuals and databases at our hotel's disposal
are up-to-date.
Hotel staff is systematically informed of changes in procedures,
instructions and regulations.
Our hotel has much information in the form of documents, databases.
Our hotel possesses many core business processes and services.
We are used to documenting in writing the things that are learnt in
practice.
We make sure that the most important experiences gained are
documented.
Our hotel uses existing know-how in a creative manner for new
applications.
Our hotel is able to use the employees' knowledge in various business
activities.
Our hotel responds to changes in our customers' needs.
Our hotel achieved major process improvements as a result of analyzing
and applying knowledge from external parties.
Different departments of our hotel frequently apply knowledge that was

x

s.s

3.88
4.21
4.04

0.930
0.946
0.976

3.62

1.064

4.19

0.821

4.26

0.966

4.12

0.976

3.94

1.127

3.82

1.066

4.01

0.913

3.94

1.149

3.88

1.122

3.88

1.038

3.82

0.893

3.61

0.936

4.03

1.023

2.42

1.416

4.05

0.999

3.99

0.929

4.09

1.011

3.94
3.98

0.919
0.969

3.98

1.088

3.96

0.991

3.92

0.966

3.72

1.042

4.32

0.880

3.96

1. 134

3.75

1.146

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�Ahmet Baytok, Hasan Hüseyin Soybali, Ozcan Zorlu
shared by other departments.
Many new ideas that our hotel develops are brought into reality.
Our hotel’s databases and documented knowledge are frequently used by
employees.

3.70

1.115

3.70

1.243

x: Mean, s.s: Standard Deviation.
Results shown in Table 3 indicate that, analyzing of customers’ needs
systematically (x: 4.21 and s.s: 0.946) is the most applied knowledge
acquisition process. Capturing knowledge from industrial associations,
competitors, clients and suppliers (x: 4.19 and s.s: 0.821) is the second
highest knowledge acquisition process among other acquisition activities.
This activity followed by seeking new knowledge outside the organization
(x: 4.15 and s.s: 0.949). On the other hand, capturing knowledge obtained
from public research institutions including universities is the least realized
process when it is compared to the others.
Participants’ views about knowledge creation process refers that
respondent thermal hotels effectively creates new knowledge in different
ways. Coming up with new ideas about hotel products and services (x:
4.26 and s.s: 0.966) is the most applied method in knowledge creation
process among these ways. Coming up with new ideas about our working
methods and processes (x: 4.12 and s.s: 0.976) is the second most applied
transaction. Thus, we can assume that thermal hotels operating in
Afyonkarahisar are considered developing new ideas important. Also, as it
is seen in knowledge creation sub-dimension, thermal hotels develop new
methods when a classic method is not effective anymore (x: 3.94 and s.s:
1.127), and also, thermal hotels develop new ideas in collaboration
between departments (x: 3.82 and s.s: 1.066). But these two methods are
relatively less applied among others in knowledge creation process.
Participants’ views about knowledge sharing process indicate that thermal
hotels share the knowledge effectively, except for distributing knowledge
in informal ways. With respect to the results in knowledge sharing subdimension, availability of previous solutions and documents (x: 4.03 and
s.s: 1.023) is the most important part of the knowledge sharing in thermal
hotels. Sharing knowledge effectively within departments is the second
most important way of knowledge sharing experiences (x: 3.94 and s.s:
1.149) in respondent hotels. As mentioned before, the least applied way to
share knowledge in thermal hotels among the others is the distribution of
necessary knowledge in informal ways (x: 2.42 and s.s: 1.416). This fact
reflects two close-related and important situations in thermal hotels. First,
thermal hotels generally use formal ways in communication and sharing
knowledge. Second, by preferring formal ways especially in
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communication, thermal hotels play an inhibiting role in sharing
knowledge.
Also, from the results about knowledge storage and documentation
process, it can be seen that storage and documentation of knowledge is an
important phase for KM in thermal hotels. Thus, all items regarding to
storage and documentation have a mean level upper than 3.90. Informing
hotel staff about changes in procedures, instructions and regulations (x:
4.09 and s.s: 1.011) is the most applied method in knowledge storage and
documentation. This method is followed by refining, organizing and
storing of collected data (x: 4.05 and s.s: 0.999), and updating
information sources, manuals and databases (x: 3.99 and s.s: 0.929). Also,
regarding the results, thermal hotels give an importance to possess core
business processes and services (x: 3.98 and s.s: 1.088), documenting in
writing (x: 3.98 and s.s: 0.969) and documentation of important
experiences (x: 3.96 and s.s: 0.991).
At the final stage of descriptive analyses about KM process, knowledge
utilization degree in thermal hotels is evaluated using participants’ views.
The results of this sub-dimension reflect that thermal hotels use
knowledge in order to rapidly changing customers’ needs (x: 4.32 and s.s:
0.880). When we consider the achievement of a hotel establishment
basically depending on satisfying customer, using knowledge for better
services becomes more and more important. Thus, we can clearly state
that thermal hotels in Afyonkarahisar are aware of the importance of KM.
Regarding results, achieving major process developments by gathering
and analyzing knowledge from external parties (x: 3.96 and s.s: 1.134) is
the second highest way in knowledge utilization. Other important using
areas of knowledge in thermal hotels are developing new applications via
know-how (x: 3.92 and s.s: 0.966), application of shared knowledge in
different departments (x: 3.75 and s.s: 1.146), using employees’ knowledge
in business activities (x: 3.72 and s.s: 1.042).
If we summarize the descriptive results about KM, thermal hotels
operating in Afyonkarahisar give importance to KM, and as a result KM
processes are highly applied in these hotels. When we consider subprocesses in KM processes, knowledge creation (x: 4.03) is the most
applied sub-process among the others. Knowledge acquisition (x: 4.02)
and knowledge storage and documentation (x: 4.00), knowledge use (x:
3.85) and knowledge sharing (x: 3.65) sub-processes follow knowledge
creation sub-process. Thus, it can be assumed that in thermal hotels, KM
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is an essential part of providing service quality and gaining competitive
advantage in the scope of strategic management.

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Discriminant Analyses of KM Processes
At this last phase of data analyses, to determine whether KM processes
vary regarding to different thermal hotels and some demographic
variables of participants. In this context, firstly a Kruskal-Wallis H test
performed in order to determine whether KM process differs according to
respondent hotels.
Kruskal-Wallis H test results presented in Table 4 indicate that KM
processes differ in the context of thermal hotels (p&lt;0.05 and p: 0.01). So,
it can be figured out that each thermal hotel operating in Afyonkarahisar
is applying its own KM project. Then, it can be assumed that each hotel
ownssome core KM steps which vary their KM project from other thermal
hotels in Afyonkarahisar. And, thus we can assume that KM projects are
considered as a core competence by thermal hotels.
Table 4. Kruskal-Wallis H Test Results Regarding to Thermal Hotels
ChiSquare
19.875
13.762
14.050
10.205

KM process in general
Knowledge acquisition
Knowledge creation
Knowledge sharing
Knowledge storage and
19.423
documentation
Knowledge utilization
24.436
*: Correlation is important at 0.05 significant levels.

df

Asymp. Sig.

4
4
4
4

0.001*
0.008*
0.007*
0.037*

4

0.001*

4

0.000*

After determining KM processes which differ regarding to thermal hotels,
Manny-Whitney U test and Kruskal-Wallis H tests were performed in
order to identify whether KM processes differ regarding to participants’
demographic variables. In this context, firstly Manny Whitney U tests
were performed to see whether KM processes differs regarding to gender
of the participants. Second, Kruskal-Wallis H tests were performed in
order to determine whether KM processes differ in terms of different age
group, education level, working department and year of working
experience of participants. In all tests Asymp. Sig. which refers significant
level is higher than 0.05 for general KM processes and its sub-dimensions.
So, KM processes in thermal hotels do not significantly differ regarding to
gender, age group, education level, working department and year of
working experience of who took part in the study.
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According to results of discriminant analysis presented in earlier
paragraph, it is assumed that KM processes are not related with
demographic variables of middle and senior managers in thermal hotels.
When this fact has been taken into consideration within the scope of
strategic management, it is seen that middle and senior managers apply
similar KM processes in thermal hotels. Thus, thermal hotels apply KM
processes in the scope of strategic management as their core competence,
but these projects do not depend on managers’ demographic variables.
Conclusion
In today’s intensive competitive environment, thermal hotels improve
their services with new strategic management tools in a creative manner.
As one of these management tools, KM is gaining more importance among
tourism industry and among thermal hotels as an important contributor
to tourism industry. On the other hand, since the KM applications are
relatively new in thermal hotels, there are still many problems in
application KM processes. Furthermore, some hoteliers still do not have
enough knowledge about KM processes. Thus, with this study evaluating
KM processes in thermal hotels, it is aimed to provide a basic resource to
the hoteliers and the related literature.
According to the results of this study, thermal hotels operating in
Afyonkarahisar give importance to KM. As a result, KM processes are
highly applied in respondent hotels. Among them, knowledge creation is
the most applied KM process and knowledge acquisition, knowledge
storage and documentation, knowledge utilization and knowledge sharing
follows knowledge creation process. On the other hand, KM projects differ
according to each thermal hotel. So, it can be concluded that each thermal
hotel has its own specific methods or steps in KM processes. Also, results
show that KM projects are independent from demographic characteristics
of hotel managers. Thermal hotels should consider some suggestions
given below in order to gain more benefit from KM processes.
First of all, all respondent thermal hotels should be in collaboration with
academic institutions in the scope of gathering external knowledge and
making this knowledge usable in KM. For example, thermal hospitality
enterprises can obtain knowledge on new treatment methods from
universities and use them in their curing units. In addition, thermal
hospitality enterprises can develop joint training programs with
universities to improve ability and qualifications of their employees.
Second, thermal hotels should develop much more processes that support
176

Journal of Economic and Social
Studies

�Knowledge Management Processes in Thermal Hotels: An Application in
Afyonkarahisar Province, Turkey

knowledge sharing among departments. As well as formal knowledge flow,
development of technology infrastructure which enables the enterprises to
provide an electronic platform (intranet, e-mail etc.) to exchange
information between employees can be encouraged. For example, the
knowledge on diet programs prepared by the specialists in cure centers
can be transferred to kitchen, service and front-office departments
electronically. Electronic knowledge databases which provide access to all
essential information for the departments can be formed.Third,
knowledge sharing processes should be reconsidered in the hotels. In this
context infrastructures required by new technologies can be formed to
accelerate the flow of knowledge among departments. Fourth, effective
using of knowledge databases should be encouraged among employees.
The level of authorization of all staff can be increase to obtain all the
necessary knowledge from the automation systems used in thermal hotel
enterprises. For example, a cure centre employee can be authorized to get
knowledge related to other departments from the joint databases. Fifth,
informal communication should be supported to promote transforming of
tacit knowledge to explicit knowledge. In this context, especially during
breaks, the practices can be promoted to share the knowledge related to
employees’ works. For instance, instead of unnecessary conversations like
gossiping during the break, employees can be encouraged to be with
knowledge facilitator in managerial position and share the knowledge.
During the working hours, various social activities which enable
employees to come together and exchange knowledge can be planned. In
the process of socialization, asking newly recruited employees to work
with the experienced employees in a master-apprentice relationship for a
certain period of time speeds up the process of socialization as well as
transfer of tacit knowledge into explicit knowledge can be possible
through with working with experienced employees and new employees
together. Sixth, thermal hotels should benefit more from experiences and
expertise of employees. Empowerment practices and practices to allow
employees to use their initiative and take more responsibility can be
realized. And at last, in KM process, applying of developed ideas can
improve knowledge sharing and motivation and satisfaction of employees.
Application of this research in a limited area such as seven thermal hotels
in Afyonkarahisar is one of limitations of this study. Also, lack of
quantitative researches about KM processes in tourism industry makes it
difficult to compare the results of this study with other studies. Finally, to
understand KM concept in hospitality industry, more detailed studies
should be conducted and results of those studies should be compared with
this study. For instance, similar studies should be conducted in different
regions and in different hospitality enterprises. Relation between
177

�Ahmet Baytok, Hasan Hüseyin Soybali, Ozcan Zorlu

knowledge management and innovation and other related subjects must
be analyzed. Information technologies and its impact on knowledge
management in hotels should be investigated with future studies.
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                <text>This study aims to analyze knowledge management (KM) processes in thermal hotels in Afyonkarahisar province in Turkey. Within the scope of this research, the KM processes applied in thermal hotels have been determined through conducting questionnaire surveys. Descriptive analyses of hotel managers’ views on KM processes were presented. Also, discriminant analysis was used to determine differences between participants’ views based on their demographic characteristics. As a result of the study, it was found that thermal hotels highly apply KM processes. Knowledge creation is the most applied KM process among others. In addition, it was found that informal communication should be encouraged in order to improve knowledge sharing.</text>
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Izet Zeqiri
South East European University
Macedonia
i.zeqiri@seeu.edu.mk
Brikend Aziri
South East European University
Macedonia
b.aziri@seeu.edu.mk
Abstract: External environment analysis during the last couple of decades has become one of the
main issues in contemporary business organizations. The main objective of this paper is not to
simply address the widely spread and accepted body of knowledge in the field of external
environment analysis, but rather to provide a description insights regarding the implementation
of the widely known techniques for external environment analysis by SME’s in the Republic of
Macedonia, more particularly in the Pollog region . The paper is based on a practical
questionnaire analysis of SME managers in the Republic of Macedonia and strives to provide
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Keywords: external environment, techniques, SME, Macedonia.

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                    <text>Creating Value for Leasing Service Customers on the Example of VB Leasing
In the Market of Bosnia And Herzegovina
Slobodan Vujić
VB Leasing BH
Bosnia And Herzegovina
slobodan.vujic@vbleasing.ba
Saša Vujić
University “VITEZ” Travnik
Bosnia And Herzegovina
vujic.sasa1@gmail.com
Aida Abduzaimović
University “Vitez” Travnik
Bosnia And Herzegovina
aida.abduzaimovic@unvi.edu.ba
Ibrahim Obhodas
University “VITEZ” Travnik
Bosnia And Herzegovina
ibrahim.obhodjas@unvi.edu.ba
Abstract: The paper is aimed at analyzing the process of creating the customer value added in the area of
leasing services, as well as at determining what the value added implies for leasing product customers.
The leasing company's goal is to develop and maintain its client relations through creating the leasing
service customer value added, and thus achieve increased business efficiency and an increase in its
market share. The paper will analyze advantages and disadvantages of the leasing package, both from
economic and from financial aspect of leasing. Leasing package development is based on the mutual
economic interest of both lessor and lessee. The financial basis of leasing is financing, i.e. acquisition of
given goods without engaging one's own capital and without entering a classic loan-based relationship.
The paper will also discuss types of leasing that are the most frequent in Bosnia and Herzegovina market.
In order to determine what represents the total value for the leasing service customer, for the paper
purposes, we will conduct primary research pertaining to the importance of individual elements in
dealing with a leasing company, and study the present customer satisfaction in dealing with leasing
companies. Data will be collected through survey questionnaires with close ended questions based on the
Likert scale from one to five. Survey questionnaire will comprise two parts: the importance of individual
elements dealing with a leasing company and the present customer satisfactions in dealing with a leasing
company. Each part will comprise five elements. The respondents will be requested to rank each element
according to importance in dealing with a leasing company. The questionnaire surveys will be distributed
among leasing customers, legal and private persons in Bosnia and Herzegovina. 500 questionnaire
surveys will be distributed. Besides the described primary data, the analysis will also use the secondary
data of international and local organizations involved in analyzing the leasing market. The research will
provide an insight into what affects the creation of the leasing service customer value added, and how it
is reflected on the company's market share.

Keywords: operational leasing, financial leasing, service, customer value added, marketing.

162

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VUJIĆ, Saša
ABDUZAIMOVIĆ, Aida
OBHODAŠ, Ibrahim</text>
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                <text>The paper is aimed at analyzing the process of creating the customer value added in the area of leasing services, as well as at determining what the value added implies for leasing product customers. The leasing company's goal is to develop and maintain its client relations through creating the leasing service customer value added, and thus achieve increased business efficiency and an increase in its market share. The paper will analyze advantages and disadvantages of the leasing package, both from economic and from financial aspect of leasing. Leasing package development is based on the mutual economic interest of both lessor and lessee. The financial basis of leasing is financing, i.e. acquisition of given goods without engaging one's own capital and without entering a classic loan-based relationship. The paper will also discuss types of leasing that are the most frequent in Bosnia and Herzegovina market. In order to determine what represents the total value for the leasing service customer, for the paper purposes, we will conduct primary research pertaining to the importance of individual elements in dealing with a leasing company, and study the present customer satisfaction in dealing with leasing companies. Data will be collected through survey questionnaires with close ended questions based on the Likert scale from one to five. Survey questionnaire will comprise two parts: the importance of individual elements dealing with a leasing company and the present customer satisfactions in dealing with a leasing company. Each part will comprise five elements.  The respondents will be requested to rank each element according to importance in dealing with a leasing company. The questionnaire surveys will be distributed among leasing customers, legal and private persons in Bosnia and Herzegovina. 500 questionnaire surveys will be distributed. Besides the described primary data, the analysis will also use the secondary data of international and local organizations involved in analyzing the leasing market. The research will provide an insight into what affects the creation of the leasing service customer value added, and how it is reflected on the company's market share.  Keywords: operational leasing, financial leasing, service, customer value added, marketing.  </text>
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                    <text>A Field Research about Oppression Incurred Upon Woman Entrepreneurs in
Patriarchal Societies
Metin Uluköy
Balıkesir University
Turkey
mulukoy@hotmail.com
Yavuz Akçi
Adıyaman University
Turkey
yavuzakci@gmail.com
Abstract: In societies where men are dominant, women generally live under the domination of
men. In these societies; women do not think, produce and express an opinion. According to man;
woman does household chores, take care of children and provide fundamental requirements of
man. Women have recently started to involve more in societies because of development of
information, technology and education system and raising economic level of societies. This
situation made the effect of man domination decrease significantly. It is especially seen that
women recently trust themselves more and start entrepreneurship activities to gain economic
independence. Technological advancements, increase in education levels and government
policies aimed at women caused this situation. How was seen entrance of women into business
life by man and which type of pressures were implemented to women entrepreneurs were needed
to be as research topic, so this study was done. For this purpose, a survey which consists of 13
questions was prepared by making literature review. The questionnaire included both
entrepreneurship qualities and difficulties which were faced by woman entrepreneurs. The
questionnaire was conducted to those women who constructed a business in Adiyaman and
Balikesir. It was reached 84 woman entrepreneurs who met the requirements and face to face
questionnaires were conducted. Analyses were done by entering data to SPSS 20.0 program data
file. Reliability of measurement (Cronbach’s Alpha) was seen as 0,818 in these analyses. It was
seen that being innovative and having high self confidence are becoming prominent
characteristics in question which is related to the qualities which must entrepreneurs have. It
was also seen that they used mainly equity in establishment of their businesses. Also, KOSGEB
and Micro credit possibilities were utilized by them. In addition, it was seen that woman
entrepreneurs did not suffer oppression in establishment and operation of their businesses. It
was seen that there is not significant differences between various demographic attributes with
entrepreneur skills and oppression with initiative barriers of woman entrepreneurs. The result of
this study is expected to promote and encourage woman entrepreneur candidates.
Keywords: Entrepreneurship, Entrepreneurial Characteristics,
Entrepreneurship suppression, Entrepreneurship Education.

Women

Entrepreneurs,
163

�163

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                <text>A Field Research about Oppression Incurred Upon Woman Entrepreneurs in Patriarchal Societies</text>
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AKCI, Yavuz</text>
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                <text>In societies where men are dominant, women generally live under the domination of men. In these societies; women do not think, produce and express an opinion. According to man; woman does household chores, take care of children and provide fundamental requirements of man. Women have recently started to involve more in societies because of development of information, technology and education system and raising economic level of societies. This situation made the effect of man domination decrease significantly. It is especially seen that women recently trust themselves more and start entrepreneurship activities to gain economic independence. Technological advancements, increase in education levels and government policies aimed at women caused this situation. How was seen entrance of women into business life by man and which type of pressures were implemented to women entrepreneurs were needed to be as research topic, so this study was done. For this purpose, a survey which consists of 13 questions was prepared by making literature review. The questionnaire included both entrepreneurship qualities and difficulties which were faced by woman entrepreneurs. The questionnaire was conducted to those women who constructed a business in Adiyaman and Balikesir. It was reached 84 woman entrepreneurs who met the requirements and face to face questionnaires were conducted. Analyses were done by entering data to SPSS 20.0 program data file. Reliability of measurement (Cronbach’s Alpha) was seen as 0,818 in these analyses. It was seen that being innovative and having high self confidence are becoming prominent characteristics in question which is related to the qualities which must entrepreneurs have. It was also seen that they used mainly equity in establishment of their businesses. Also, KOSGEB and Micro credit possibilities were utilized by them. In addition, it was seen that woman entrepreneurs did not suffer oppression in establishment and operation of their businesses. It was seen that there is not significant differences between various demographic attributes with entrepreneur skills and oppression with initiative barriers of woman entrepreneurs. The result of this study is expected to promote and encourage woman entrepreneur candidates.    Keywords: Entrepreneurship, Entrepreneurial Characteristics, Women Entrepreneurs, Entrepreneurship suppression, Entrepreneurship Education.  </text>
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                    <text>How The Level Of Emotional Intelligence Affects Opportunity Identification?
Seda Tüysüz
Erzurum Atatürk University
Turkey
sedatuysuz@hotmail.com
Ülke Hilal Ağırman
Erzurum Atatürk University
Turkey
ulkecelik@hotmail.com
Ömer Faruk İşcan
Erzurum Atatürk University
Turkey
oiscan@atauni.edu.tr
Abstract: Opportunity identification is emerging as a critical component of the entrepreneurial
process representing the ‘most distinctive and fundamental entrepreneurial behavior’ (Hayton
et. al. 2011; 15). Opportunity recognition has long been accepted as a key aspect of the
entrepreneurial process (Ozgenve Baron, 2007:174). The issue why some individuals take
advantage of opportunities and some cannot is usually studied. While some studies found that
personality traits, psychological variables and demographic factors may affect on
entrepreneurial activity, other researchers have looked to the importance of social capital and
network ties to new venture creation.
In this study, we focus on the effects of emotional intelligence on opportunity identification. We
attempt to explain these effects by creating a theoretical framework that considers the
interaction between emotional intelligence levels and opportunity identification. To test research
hypotheses, data will be gathered from students at the Business Program of The Faculty of
Economics and Administrative Sciences in a university in Turkey. The resulting data will be
analyzed by appropriate statistical methods. In accordance with this analysis, it will be
determined whether individuals' emotional intelligence level has an impact on opportunity
identification skills.
Keywords: Opportunity identification, emotional intelligence, entrepreneurial process.

155

�155

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                <text>How The Level Of Emotional Intelligence Affects Opportunity Identification?</text>
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                <text>TUYSUZ, Seda
AGIRMAN, Ulke Hilal
ISCAN, Omer Faruk</text>
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              <elementText elementTextId="6854">
                <text>Opportunity identification is emerging as a critical component of the entrepreneurial process representing the ‘most distinctive and fundamental entrepreneurial behavior’ (Hayton et. al. 2011; 15). Opportunity recognition has long been accepted as a key aspect of the entrepreneurial process (Ozgenve Baron, 2007:174). The issue why some individuals take advantage of opportunities and some cannot is usually studied. While some studies found that personality traits, psychological variables and demographic factors may affect on entrepreneurial activity, other researchers have looked to the importance of social capital and network ties to new venture creation.    In this study, we focus on the effects of emotional intelligence on opportunity identification. We attempt to explain these effects by creating a theoretical framework that considers the interaction between emotional intelligence levels and opportunity identification. To test research hypotheses, data will be gathered from students at the Business Program of The Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences in a university in Turkey. The resulting data will be analyzed by appropriate statistical methods. In accordance with this analysis, it will be determined whether individuals' emotional intelligence level has an impact on opportunity identification skills.    Keywords: Opportunity identification, emotional intelligence, entrepreneurial process.  </text>
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                    <text>An Evaluation of Municipality Services in Sivas, Turkey through the lens of
CSS scope
Hasan Tağraf
Cumhuriyet University
Turkey
hasan157@hotmail.com
Ahmet Murat Özkan
Cumhuriyet University
Turkey
ahmetmozkan@hotmail.com
Görkem Nemutlu
Cumhuriyet University
Turkey
gorkemnemutlu@gmail.com

Abstract: For quite a long time, municipalities in Turkey are offering a wide array of exceptional
services such as art courses, dining &amp; drinking, health &amp; elderly care, cultural services etc. In
this paper, through public administration and Turkish law, we take a look at basic missions of
municipalities and then, move on for an evaluation of these exceptional services through
corporate social responsibility perspective. Our work tries to answer the question whether these
municipality actions can be considered as socially responsible management or not. Authors
argue that, due to increased competition among political parties, municipalities are expanding
their services beyond their mission stated in Turkish law.
We also visit the concept of corporate social responsibility in this paper and provide brief
descriptions from existing literature. In the last section of the paper, we conduct a quantitative
survey with the residents of Sivas city. By using this survey, we aim to understand how residents
of Sivas evaluate –beyond mission- services of their municipality. Our survey includes questions
and/or factors from European Union CSR initiative. We hope that results of this paper can open
directions for further CSR and public administration research. With an emphasis on mission,
responsibility and evaluation concepts, municipalities can review their stance and researchers
can expand these empiric results for further knowledge creation.
Keywords: public, administration, municipality, corporate, social, responsibility.

172

�172

�</text>
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                <text>TAGRAF, Hasan
OZKAN, Ahmet Murat
NEMUTLU, Gorkem</text>
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            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="6845">
                <text>For quite a long time, municipalities in Turkey are offering a wide array of exceptional services such as art courses, dining &amp; drinking, health &amp; elderly care, cultural services etc. In this paper, through public administration and Turkish law, we take a look at basic missions of municipalities and then, move on for an evaluation of these exceptional services through corporate social responsibility perspective. Our work tries to answer the question whether these municipality actions can be considered as socially responsible management or not. Authors argue that, due to increased competition among political parties, municipalities are expanding their services beyond their mission stated in Turkish law.     We also visit the concept of corporate social responsibility in this paper and provide brief descriptions from existing literature. In the last section of the paper, we conduct a quantitative survey with the residents of Sivas city. By using this survey, we aim to understand how residents of Sivas evaluate –beyond mission- services of their municipality. Our survey includes questions and/or factors from European Union CSR initiative. We hope that results of this paper can open directions for further CSR and public administration research. With an emphasis on mission, responsibility and evaluation concepts, municipalities can review their stance and researchers can expand these empiric results for further knowledge creation.    Keywords: public, administration, municipality, corporate, social, responsibility.  </text>
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                    <text>A Comprehensive Look at Generation Z and Their Expectations from Public
Administration
Hasan Tağraf
Cumhuriyet University
Turkey
hasan157@hotmail.com
Görkem Nemutlu
Cumhuriyet University
Turkey
gorkemnemutlu@gmail.com
Ahmet Murat Özkan
Cumhuriyet University
Turkey
ahmetmozkan@hotmail.com
Abstract: One can argue that there is vast amount of difference in behavior and expectation of
generations. In this paper, we try to bring together some insights about generation z and their
role in today's world. Firstly, we take a brief look at the phenomenon and review basic
descriptions. We try to demonstrate basic differentiation of this new generation. We have seen
some revolts and riots throughout the world, mostly led by generation z, against governments.
Based on these definitions and actions, secondly, we try to develop empirical knowledge of
generation z's main expectations from public administration, using a questionnaire conducted on
a limited number of generation z members.
Authors are using a quantitative research methodology on this paper, with the aim of
understanding how expectations of generation z differ from previous ones. Based on some
factors from existing literature, we argue that they demand more transparency, accountability,
social welfare and fair administration. Current study can be expanded as; comparative studies
based on similar questionnaire with members of other generations. Some limitations of the study
should be noted as well. Sample group is selected on a narrow geographical location and in
limited numbers. Time and budget constraints prevented researchers from reaching a wider
sample group. In summary, this paper tries to focus on generation z and their expectations from
public administration.
Keywords: generation z, public administration.

173

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                <text>2653</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="50">
            <name>Title</name>
            <description>A name given to the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="6834">
                <text>A Comprehensive Look at Generation Z and Their Expectations from Public Administration</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="96">
            <name>Author</name>
            <description>Author</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="6835">
                <text>TAGRAF, Hasan
OZKAN, Ahmet Murat
NEMUTLU, Gorkem</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="94">
            <name>Abstract</name>
            <description>A summary of the resource.</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="6836">
                <text>One can argue that there is vast amount of difference in behavior and expectation of generations. In this paper, we try to bring together some insights about generation z and their role in today's world.  Firstly, we take a brief look at the phenomenon and review basic descriptions.  We try to demonstrate basic differentiation of this new generation. We have seen some revolts and riots throughout the world, mostly led by generation z, against governments. Based on these definitions and actions, secondly, we try to develop empirical knowledge of generation z's main expectations from public administration, using a questionnaire conducted on a limited number of generation z members.     Authors are using a quantitative research methodology on this paper, with the aim of understanding how expectations of generation z differ from previous ones. Based on some factors from existing literature, we argue that they demand more transparency, accountability, social welfare and fair administration. Current study can be expanded as; comparative studies based on similar questionnaire with members of other generations. Some limitations of the study should be noted as well. Sample group is selected on a narrow geographical location and in limited numbers. Time and budget constraints prevented researchers from reaching a wider sample group. In summary, this paper tries to focus on generation z and their expectations from public administration.  	  Keywords: generation z, public administration.  </text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="45">
            <name>Publisher</name>
            <description>An entity responsible for making the resource available</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="6837">
                <text>International Burch University</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="40">
            <name>Date</name>
            <description>A point or period of time associated with an event in the lifecycle of the resource</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="6838">
                <text>2014-04</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="97">
            <name>Keywords</name>
            <description>Keywords.</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="6839">
                <text>Article
PeerReviewed</text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
          <element elementId="43">
            <name>Identifier</name>
            <description>An unambiguous reference to the resource within a given context</description>
            <elementTextContainer>
              <elementText elementTextId="6840">
                <text>ISSN 2303-4564     </text>
              </elementText>
            </elementTextContainer>
          </element>
        </elementContainer>
      </elementSet>
    </elementSetContainer>
    <tagContainer>
      <tag tagId="6">
        <name>H Social Sciences (General)</name>
      </tag>
    </tagContainer>
  </item>
</itemContainer>
