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                    <text>task for applied environmental issues. From the observations and investigations, macrophytes
of river systems need protection and municipalities should stimulate researchers to improve
the phytoremediation techniques and to demonstrate their reliability to the public. Obviously,
macrophytes and microphytes could be a remedial solution for heavy metal reduction in
aquatic systems. However, together with all heavy metals that they had absorbed,
macrophytes and microphytes, could be periodically eliminated by municipalities. Restoration
and elimination of macrophytes and microphytes should be achieved within a proper and good
harmony and in accordance because nature is very subtle and sensitive to any external
manipulation. As mentioned before, wetlands are an excellent solution that enables easy
replacement and further processing and metal recycling.
REFERENCES
McMurry, J. and R.C. Fay, 2004.Hydrogen, Oxygen andWater. In: McMurry Fay Chemistry.
K.P. Hamann,(Ed.). 4th Edn. New Jersey: Pearson Education,pp: 575-599.
Memon A R, Schroder P (2009) Implications of metal accumulation mechanism to
phytoremediation. Environ Sci Pollut Res (2009) 16:162-175
Srivastav, R.K, Gupta, S.K., Nigam, K.D.P., Vasudevan, P., 1994. Treatment of chromium
and nichel in waste-water by using aquatic plants. Water Research 28, 1631-1638.
Vanloon, G.W. and S.J. Duffy, 2005.The Hydrosphere.In: Environmental Chemistry: A
Global Perspective.2nd Edn. New York: Oxford University Press, pp: 197-211.

Seed Micromorphological Investigations On 7 New Taxa Of Crocus Chrysanthus
(Herbert) Herbert From Turkey
Feyza Candan
Biology Dept, Botany Section, Faculty of Arts and Science, Celal Bayar University, Manisa,
Turkey
Abstract
This Investigation is made to determine seed micromorphological properties of four
subspecies and tree varieties of Crocus chrysanthus have been distinguished:Crocus
chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. chrysanthus with 3 varieties (var. chrysanthus, var.
bicoloroceus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay, and var. atrovioloceus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay),
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. punctatus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay, Crocus
chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. kesercioglui F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay and Crocus
chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. sipyleus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay. Scanning electron
microscope was used to determine micromorphological features as regards mature seeds of all
taxa.

358

�Keywords: Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert, seed micromorphology.
1.INTRODUCTION
Among the Angiosperm members, Iridaceae family is an invincible family with its attractive
flowers. The taxa that belongs Iridaceae family are herbs with rhizomes, corms and bulbs
(Mathew, 1984).
Iridaceae family is resembled with 6 genus in Turkey. These are Iris L., Hermodactylus
Miller, Gynandriris Parl., Crocus L., Romulea Maratti and Gladiolus L. (Mathew, 1984).
Crocus species are perennial plants, adopted to overcome a dry dormant period in the form of
an underground corm, in many ways resembling Colchicum L. (Mathew, 1982; Bowles 1924,
1952).
The genus Crocus L. (Iridaceae) presently consists of 90 species, mainly in the Mediterranean
Region and the drier floristic areas of the Irano-Turanien Region. The majority of species are
restricted to Turkey and the Balkans. Turkey is an especially rich country in terms of Crocus
species, with 31 species recorded in the Flora of Turkey (Mathew, 1984). The thirty-second
species mentioned in Flora of Turkey is C. boissieri Maw. This plant collected in Turkey by
Tchihotcheff in 1853 and then it has not been refound (Mathew, 2001). Since, the Flora of
Turkey was written, five new taxa were described as C. biflorus Mill. subsp. albocoronatus
Kerndorff, C. biflorus Mill. subsp. fibroannulatus Kerndorff, C. wattiorum (Mathew) Mathew,
C. paschei Kerndorff, C. kerndorffiorum Pasche (Güner et al., 2000). In recent years, most of
Turkey‘s native taxa were identified and classified by significant Crocus experts Brian
Mathew, Eric Pasche and Helmuth Kerndorff. According to Kerndorff and Pasche (2004a)
southwestern Turkey is the current center of diversity of the genus with 40 species and 70
taxa of which 40 are endemics (Maw 1886; Mathew 1982, 1984, 1998, 2000, 2002; Kerndorff
and Pasche 2004a, 2004b, 2006, 2011; Yüzbaşıoğlu and Varol 2004; Erol et al. 2010, 2011).
C. chrysanthus was described by W. Herbert in 1837, collected by Frivaldsky in Rumelia. It is
distributed in the Balkans and E. Romania. C. chrysanthus belongs to Series Biflori of genus
Crocus. Mathew (1982) described C. chrysanthus in his famous work ‗The Crocus‘. This
species is the much-loved yellow spring Crocus which has given rise to a whole colorful
range of excellent garden plants, some of which are selections within the species while others
are hybrids between it and Crocus biflorus. It is exceedingly variable, both in its morphology
and cytology, but presents great problems in that the phenotypic variation does not correlate
with such formation as distribution, habitat or chromosome number.
flower colors. Since the publication Flora of Turkey, (Mathew 1984) a number of ecological,
anatomical, cytological, palynological studies concerning Crocus taxa have been carried out
(Işık and Oybak Dönmez 2006; Candan and Kesercioğlu 2007; Candan et al. 2009a, 2009b;
Kandemir 2009; Şık and Candan 2009; Coşkun et al. 2010). Otherwise, a number of
investigations into Crocus species genetics have been made (Şık et al. 2008; Petersen et al.
2008).
Author (Feyza Candan) of this paper wrote a phD thesis (2007) titled ‗Morphological,
anatomical, cytological and palinological investigations on the Turkish Crocus taxa:C.
ancyrencis, C. sieheanus, C. chrysanthus and C. flavus‘. In her thesis she determined three
cytotypes as 2n=8, 12, 20+2B and described the morphological differentiation of some
populations of C. chrysanthus. After she completed her thesis, she examined more
359

�populations of C. chrysanthus. The results of these detailed studies including morphology,
anatomy, cytology, palynology and seed micromorphology, provide evidence that phenotypic
variation does correlate with anther and flower colors, chromosome numbers, pollen and seed
characteristics. An identification key for Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert s.l. is
suggested (article is in press). In this study, seeds as regards 7 new taxa of C. chrysanthus are
investigated in terms of micromorphological peculiarities.
2.Material and Methot
Author made extensive field studies between 2001-2010 in south and west Anatolia about C.
chrysanthus. She observed many different populations of C. chrysanthus while collecting. The
specimens themselves have been deposited in the Herbarium of the Faculty of Pharmacy,
Istanbul University (ISTE). Other samples examined are deposited at the following herbaria
AEF (Ankara University, Pharmacy Faculty Herbarium), ANK (Ankara University, Science
Faculty Herbarium), GAZI (Gazi University, Science Faculty Herbarium), HUB (Hacettepe
University, Science Faculty Herbarium), EGE (Ege University, Science Faculty Herbarium).
For scanning electron microscopy, dried mature seeds of C. chrysanthus taxa were mounted
on stubs using double-sided adhesive type. Samples were coated with 12,5-15 nm of gold.
Coated seeds were examined and photographed with a JEOL JSM-6060 model scanning
electron microscope (SEM).
Seed surface structue terminology is made according to Barthlott, (1984), Bojˇnanský and
Fargašová (2007), Stearn (1983).
3.Results
Seed shape in relation to new taxa of C. chrysanthus were observed as ellipsoid. Raphe and
caruncle are present. Seed diameters of the species are about 1,4-2,4x2,0-5,1 mm.
Micromorphological peculiarties as regards 7 new taxa of the species are given below in a
detailed way.
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. chrysanthus var. chrysanthus
Seed diameters are about (1,4)1,6-2,0(2,2)x(2,5)2,8-3,8 mm. Seed coat structure is colliculateaculeate.
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. chrysanthus var. bicoloroceus F. Candan &amp; N.
Özhatay var. nov.
Seed diameters are about 1,5-2,3x2,5-3,9 mm. Seed coat structure is colliculate-aculeate.
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. chrysanthus var. atrovioloceus F. Candan &amp; N.
Özhatay var. nov.
Seed diamaters are about 1,4-2,2x3,0-4,4 mm. Seed coat structure is irregülar aculeate.
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. punctatus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay subsp. nov.
Seed diameters are about 1,7-2,4x(2,8)3-4,8(5,1) mm. Seed coat structure is regülar aculeate.
360

�Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. kesercioglui F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay subsp.
nov.
Seed diameters are about 1,5-2,4x3,2-4,5 mm. Seed coat structure is colliculate-aculeate.
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. sipyleus F. Candan &amp;N. Özhatay subsp. nov.
Seed diameters are about (1,5)1,7-2,2x(2,0)3,0-4,9 mm. Seed coat structure is finely
vesiculate
4.Discussion
Murley made a descriptive and complementary useful key for Cruciferae family and the other
families seed description. These knowledge were made a significant contribution to solve
important problems for classification of Cruciferae (Murley, 1951).
Few studies have been made of the adaptive significance of seed and fruit coat
macromorphology, sculpturing and ornamentation in Scrophulariacea and Asteraceae. The
seeds and achenes have no obvious adaptations for animal or bird dispersal, whereas
ornamentation might enhance their chances of being dispersed by animals. It was also
suggested that such features have selective advantages in dry habitats by reducing water loss
(Shetler and Morin, 1986; Aktaş Akcın, 2009).
In the current study, seed micromorphology of 7 new taxa of Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert)
Herbert are determined from Turkey. Based on previous researches and the results presented
here, it can be concluded that the micromorphological features of the seeds will be a kind of
support related to distinguish all taxa of C. chrysanthus between each other. According to all
studies of the species C. chrysanthus s.l. as morphology, palinology, cytology and seed
micromorphology (Candan 2007; Candan and Kesercioğlu 2007), an identification key of the
species was suggested (article is in press). In this study, seed micromorphological features of
7 new taxa of C.chrysanthus are necessary to understand that surface patterns can be
confidently utilized to differentiate individual taxa and groupings, as is seen.
REFERENCES
Aktaş Akcın, T. 2009. Seed coat morphology of some Turkish Campanula (Campanulaceae)
species and its systematic implications, Vol:64, No:6, 1089-1094
Barthlott, W. 1984. Microstructurel Features of Seed Surface. -In Heywood, V. H. and D.M.
Moore (eds.), Current Concepts in Plant Taxonomy, Academic Press, London.
Bojˇnanský V., Fargašová A. 2007. Atlas of Seeds and Fruits of Central and East-European
Flora.
-Abbott:Springer, Netherlands.
Bowles E.A. 1952. A Handbook of Colchicum for Gardeners (rev. ed.), London:The Bodley
Head.
Candan, F. 2007. Morphological, anatomical, cytological and palinological investigations on
C. ancyrencis, C. sieheanus, C. chrysanthus and C. flavus taxa of the genus Crocus L. –PhD
thesis, Science Institute, Celal Bayar University, Manisa, Turkey.
Candan, F. and Kesercioğlu, T. 2007. Cytaxonomic Investigations on the Species Crocus
chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert. -International Conference on Environment:Survival and
361

�Sustainability, Proceedings, Vol. 2, 19-24 February, Near East University, Nicosia-Northern
Cyprus.
Coşkun, F.; Selvi, S.; Satıl, F. 2010. Phylogenetic relationships of some Turkish Crocus
(Iridaceae) taxa based on morphological and anatomical characters. –Turkish Journal of
Botany, Vol. 34(3), 171-178.
Erol, O. et al. 2010. Crocus antalyensis subsp. nov. (Iridaceae) from southwest Anatolia.–
Nordic Journal of Botany,28:186-188.
Erol, O. et al. 2011. Genetic diversity of Crocus antalyensis B. Mathew (Iridaceae) and a new
subspecies from southern Anatolia.– Plant Systematics and Evolution 294:281-287.
Işık, S., Oybak Dönmez, E. 2006. Pollen Morphology of Some Turkish Crocus L. (Iridaceae)
Species. −Acta Biologica Cracoviensia, Series Botanica 48/1:85-91.
Kandemir, N. 2009. Morphology, Anatomy and Ecology of Critically Endangered Endemic
Crocus pestalozzae Boiss. (Iridaceae) in North-West Turkey. –Bangladesh Journal of Botany,
Vol. 38, Issue:2, 127-132.
Kerndorff, H. and Pasche, E. 2004. Crocus biflorus in Anatolia, part two. –Plantsman (new
ser.) 3:201-215.
Kerndorff, H. and Pasche, E. 2006. Crocus biflorus in Anatolia, part tree. –Linzer Biol. Beitr.
38:165-187.
Kerndorff, H. and Pasche, E. 2011. Two new taxa of Crocus (Liliiflorae, Iridaceae) from
Turkey. Stapfia 95:2-5.
Mathew, B. 1982. The Crocus: A revision of the genus Crocus (Iridaceae). -B.T. Batsford
LTD.
Mathew, B., 1984. Crocus: -In Davis, P.H. (ed.), The Flora of Turkey and The East Aegean
Islands, 8:413-438, Edinburgh University.
Mathew, B. 1998. Crocus kerndorffiorum. –Curtis‘ s Bot. Mag. 15:120-124.
Mathew, B. 2000. Crocus. –In Güner, A. et al. (eds), Flora of Turkey and the East Aegean
Islands. Edinburgh Univ. Pres, 11:271-274.
Mathew, B. 2002. Crocus Up-date. –The New Plantsman Vol.1(1):44-56.
Maw, G. 1886. A monograph of the genus Crocus. –Dulau and Co.
Murley R.M., 1951. Seeds of Cruciferae of North-eastern North America, The American
Midland
Naturalist, 46:1-81
Shetler S.G., Morin N.R. 1986. Seed morphology in North American Campanulaceae,
Ann.Missouri Bot. Gard., 73(4): 653-688
Stearn, W.T. 1983. Botanical Latin, History, Grammar, Syntax, Terminology and Vocabulary.
-Redwood Press Ltd., Great Britain.
Şık, L. and Candan, F. 2009. Ecological properties of some Crocus taxa in Turkey. –African
Journal of Biotechnology, Vol. 8(9), 1895-1899.
362

�Yüzbaşıoğlu, S., Varol, Ö., 2004. A new Autumn-flowering Crocus from SW Turkey. –The
Plantsman, New Series, Vol. 3, Part 2:104-106.

Breath Analysis of Hepatic Patients Using Electronic Nose
Özgür Örnek
International Burch University, Department of Information Technology
E-mail: oornek@ibu.edu.ba
Abstract
Hepatic coma, also known as hepatic encephalopathy, is loss of consciousness as a result of
liver failure. Hepatic coma represents the final stage of hepatic encephalopathy - grade IV, a
progressive brain dysfunction due to accumulation of substances toxic to the brain. Hepatic
coma can rapidly progress and may ultimately lead to death. Therefore, early diagonosis of
hepatic coma is consirerably crucial for patients‘ life. If not, patients with hepatic coma can
die in few days. In this study, I have proposed to overview early diagnosis of hepatic
encephalopathy by breath analysis using electronic noses which are regarded as rapid,
inexpensive way of gas detection.
Keywords: Electronic nose, hepatic coma, sensor arrays, neural Networks.
1.INTRODUCTION
Hepatic coma is loss of consciousness as a result of liver failure. The brain is poisoned by
toxic substances due to failure of the liver functionality. The toxic substances are generated
after accumulation of some byproducts of metabolism in the blood.
The severity of encephalopathy is subdivided into four grades. Grade I and II are subtle
symptom of brain. In grade III, significant brain damage occurs. Hepatic coma represents the
final grade - grade IV of the brain dysfunction that toxic substances are collected in the brain.
At this stage, the entire brain is damaged and the patient with hepatic failure becomes
unconscious and is unable to respond to painful stimuli (hepatic coma). Ultimately, it may
cause death. [1]
Studies have revealed that in patients with advanced stages of encephalopathy resulting froim
chronic liver failure, ammonia, regarded as toxic substance, levels in the brain may rise more
than twentyfold [2]. Blood tests show an increase in ammonia levels, which is a marker the
degree of accumulation of toxins in the brain as well.
For the essence of patients health, early diagnosis of hepatic coma is vital. If early
intervention is not committed, hepatic encephalopathy can rapidly progress and become an
acute emergency condition regarded as coma causing death in a few days.
Current methods of diagnosis of the hepatic coma such as computed tomography scans are
time-consuming, expensive, and involve invasive confirmation. The needs of rapid and
363

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                <text>This Investigation is made to determine seed micromorphological properties of four  subspecies and tree varieties of Crocus chrysanthus have been distinguished:Crocus  chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. chrysanthus with 3 varieties (var. chrysanthus, var.  bicoloroceus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay, and var. atrovioloceus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay),  Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. punctatus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay, Crocus  chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. kesercioglui F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay and Crocus  chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. sipyleus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay. Scanning electron  microscope was used to determine micromorphological features as regards mature seeds of all  taxa. Keywords: Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert, seed micromorphology.</text>
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                    <text>Veziroglu, T.N. and Barbir, F. (1998) Hydrogen Energy Technologies, United Nations
industrial development organization, Vienna.

Seed Micromorphological Investigations On 7 New Taxa Of Crocus Chrysanthus
(Herbert) Herbert From Turkey
Feyza Candan
Biology Dept, Botany Section, Faculty of Arts and Science, Celal Bayar University, Manisa,
Turkey
Abstract
This Investigation is made to determine seed micromorphological properties of four
subspecies and tree varieties of Crocus chrysanthus have been distinguished:Crocus
chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. chrysanthus with 3 varieties (var. chrysanthus, var.
bicoloroceus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay, and var. atrovioloceus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay),
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. punctatus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay, Crocus
chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. kesercioglui F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay and Crocus
chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. sipyleus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay. Scanning electron
microscope was used to determine micromorphological features as regards mature seeds of all
taxa.
Keywords: Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert, seed micromorphology.
1.INTRODUCTION
Among the Angiosperm members, Iridaceae family is an invincible family with its attractive
flowers. The taxa that belongs Iridaceae family are herbs with rhizomes, corms and bulbs
(Mathew, 1984).
Iridaceae family is resembled with 6 genus in Turkey. These are Iris L., Hermodactylus
Miller, Gynandriris Parl., Crocus L., Romulea Maratti and Gladiolus L. (Mathew, 1984).
Crocus species are perennial plants, adopted to overcome a dry dormant period in the form of
an underground corm, in many ways resembling Colchicum L. (Mathew, 1982; Bowles 1924,
1952).
The genus Crocus L. (Iridaceae) presently consists of 90 species, mainly in the Mediterranean
Region and the drier floristic areas of the Irano-Turanien Region. The majority of species are
restricted to Turkey and the Balkans. Turkey is an especially rich country in terms of Crocus
species, with 31 species recorded in the Flora of Turkey (Mathew, 1984). The thirty-second
species mentioned in Flora of Turkey is C. boissieri Maw. This plant collected in Turkey by
Tchihotcheff in 1853 and then it has not been refound (Mathew, 2001). Since, the Flora of
Turkey was written, five new taxa were described as C. biflorus Mill. subsp. albocoronatus
260

�Kerndorff, C. biflorus Mill. subsp. fibroannulatus Kerndorff, C. wattiorum (Mathew) Mathew,
C. paschei Kerndorff, C. kerndorffiorum Pasche (Güner et al., 2000). In recent years, most of
Turkey‘s native taxa were identified and classified by significant Crocus experts Brian
Mathew, Eric Pasche and Helmuth Kerndorff. According to Kerndorff and Pasche (2004a)
southwestern Turkey is the current center of diversity of the genus with 40 species and 70
taxa of which 40 are endemics (Maw 1886; Mathew 1982, 1984, 1998, 2000, 2002; Kerndorff
and Pasche 2004a, 2004b, 2006, 2011; Yüzbaşıoğlu and Varol 2004; Erol et al. 2010, 2011).
C. chrysanthus was described by W. Herbert in 1837, collected by Frivaldsky in Rumelia. It is
distributed in the Balkans and E. Romania. C. chrysanthus belongs to Series Biflori of genus
Crocus. Mathew (1982) described C. chrysanthus in his famous work ‗The Crocus‘. This
species is the much-loved yellow spring Crocus which has given rise to a whole colorful
range of excellent garden plants, some of which are selections within the species while others
are hybrids between it and Crocus biflorus. It is exceedingly variable, both in its morphology
and cytology, but presents great problems in that the phenotypic variation does not correlate
with such formation as distribution, habitat or chromosome number.
flower colors. Since the publication Flora of Turkey, (Mathew 1984) a number of ecological,
anatomical, cytological, palynological studies concerning Crocus taxa have been carried out
(Işık and Oybak Dönmez 2006; Candan and Kesercioğlu 2007; Candan et al. 2009a, 2009b;
Kandemir 2009; Şık and Candan 2009; Coşkun et al. 2010). Otherwise, a number of
investigations into Crocus species genetics have been made (Şık et al. 2008; Petersen et al.
2008).
Author (Feyza Candan) of this paper wrote a phD thesis (2007) titled ‗Morphological,
anatomical, cytological and palinological investigations on the Turkish Crocus taxa:C.
ancyrencis, C. sieheanus, C. chrysanthus and C. flavus‘. In her thesis she determined three
cytotypes as 2n=8, 12, 20+2B and described the morphological differentiation of some
populations of C. chrysanthus. After she completed her thesis, she examined more
populations of C. chrysanthus. The results of these detailed studies including morphology,
anatomy, cytology, palynology and seed micromorphology, provide evidence that phenotypic
variation does correlate with anther and flower colors, chromosome numbers, pollen and seed
characteristics. An identification key for Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert s.l. is
suggested (article is in press). In this study, seeds as regards 7 new taxa of C. chrysanthus are
investigated in terms of micromorphological peculiarities.
2.Material and Methot
Author made extensive field studies between 2001-2010 in south and west Anatolia about C.
chrysanthus. She observed many different populations of C. chrysanthus while collecting. The
specimens themselves have been deposited in the Herbarium of the Faculty of Pharmacy,
Istanbul University (ISTE). Other samples examined are deposited at the following herbaria
AEF (Ankara University, Pharmacy Faculty Herbarium), ANK (Ankara University, Science
Faculty Herbarium), GAZI (Gazi University, Science Faculty Herbarium), HUB (Hacettepe
University, Science Faculty Herbarium), EGE (Ege University, Science Faculty Herbarium).

261

�For scanning electron microscopy, dried mature seeds of C. chrysanthus taxa were mounted
on stubs using double-sided adhesive type. Samples were coated with 12,5-15 nm of gold.
Coated seeds were examined and photographed with a JEOL JSM-6060 model scanning
electron microscope (SEM).
Seed surface structue terminology is made according to Barthlott, (1984), Bojˇnanský and
Fargašová (2007), Stearn (1983).
3.Results
Seed shape in relation to new taxa of C. chrysanthus were observed as ellipsoid. Raphe and
caruncle are present. Seed diameters of the species are about 1,4-2,4x2,0-5,1 mm.
Micromorphological peculiarties as regards 7 new taxa of the species are given below in a
detailed way.
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. chrysanthus var. chrysanthus
Seed diameters are about (1,4)1,6-2,0(2,2)x(2,5)2,8-3,8 mm. Seed coat structure is colliculateaculeate.
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. chrysanthus var. bicoloroceus F. Candan &amp; N.
Özhatay var. nov.
Seed diameters are about 1,5-2,3x2,5-3,9 mm. Seed coat structure is colliculate-aculeate.
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. chrysanthus var. atrovioloceus F. Candan &amp; N.
Özhatay var. nov.
Seed diamaters are about 1,4-2,2x3,0-4,4 mm. Seed coat structure is irregülar aculeate.
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. punctatus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay subsp. nov.
Seed diameters are about 1,7-2,4x(2,8)3-4,8(5,1) mm. Seed coat structure is regülar aculeate.
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. kesercioglui F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay subsp.
nov.
Seed diameters are about 1,5-2,4x3,2-4,5 mm. Seed coat structure is colliculate-aculeate.
Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. sipyleus F. Candan &amp;N. Özhatay subsp. nov.
Seed diameters are about (1,5)1,7-2,2x(2,0)3,0-4,9 mm. Seed coat structure is finely
vesiculate
4.Discussion
Murley made a descriptive and complementary useful key for Cruciferae family and the other
families seed description. These knowledge were made a significant contribution to solve
important problems for classification of Cruciferae (Murley, 1951).

262

�Few studies have been made of the adaptive significance of seed and fruit coat
macromorphology, sculpturing and ornamentation in Scrophulariacea and Asteraceae. The
seeds and achenes have no obvious adaptations for animal or bird dispersal, whereas
ornamentation might enhance their chances of being dispersed by animals. It was also
suggested that such features have selective advantages in dry habitats by reducing water loss
(Shetler and Morin, 1986; Aktaş Akcın, 2009).
In the current study, seed micromorphology of 7 new taxa of Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert)
Herbert are determined from Turkey. Based on previous researches and the results presented
here, it can be concluded that the micromorphological features of the seeds will be a kind of
support related to distinguish all taxa of C. chrysanthus between each other. According to all
studies of the species C. chrysanthus s.l. as morphology, palinology, cytology and seed
micromorphology (Candan 2007; Candan and Kesercioğlu 2007), an identification key of the
species was suggested (article is in press). In this study, seed micromorphological features of
7 new taxa of C.chrysanthus are necessary to understand that surface patterns can be
confidently utilized to differentiate individual taxa and groupings, as is seen.
REFERENCES
Aktaş Akcın, T. 2009. Seed coat morphology of some Turkish Campanula (Campanulaceae)
species and its systematic implications, Vol:64, No:6, 1089-1094
Barthlott, W. 1984. Microstructurel Features of Seed Surface. -In Heywood, V. H. and D.M.
Moore (eds.), Current Concepts in Plant Taxonomy, Academic Press, London.
Bojˇnanský V., Fargašová A. 2007. Atlas of Seeds and Fruits of Central and East-European
Flora.
-Abbott:Springer, Netherlands.
Bowles E.A. 1952. A Handbook of Colchicum for Gardeners (rev. ed.), London:The Bodley
Head.
Candan, F. 2007. Morphological, anatomical, cytological and palinological investigations on
C. ancyrencis, C. sieheanus, C. chrysanthus and C. flavus taxa of the genus Crocus L. –PhD
thesis, Science Institute, Celal Bayar University, Manisa, Turkey.
Candan, F. and Kesercioğlu, T. 2007. Cytaxonomic Investigations on the Species Crocus
chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert. -International Conference on Environment:Survival and
Sustainability, Proceedings, Vol. 2, 19-24 February, Near East University, Nicosia-Northern
Cyprus.
Coşkun, F.; Selvi, S.; Satıl, F. 2010. Phylogenetic relationships of some Turkish Crocus
(Iridaceae) taxa based on morphological and anatomical characters. –Turkish Journal of
Botany, Vol. 34(3), 171-178.
Erol, O. et al. 2010. Crocus antalyensis subsp. nov. (Iridaceae) from southwest Anatolia.–
Nordic Journal of Botany,28:186-188.
Erol, O. et al. 2011. Genetic diversity of Crocus antalyensis B. Mathew (Iridaceae) and a new
subspecies from southern Anatolia.– Plant Systematics and Evolution 294:281-287.
Işık, S., Oybak Dönmez, E. 2006. Pollen Morphology of Some Turkish Crocus L. (Iridaceae)
Species. −Acta Biologica Cracoviensia, Series Botanica 48/1:85-91.
263

�Kandemir, N. 2009. Morphology, Anatomy and Ecology of Critically Endangered Endemic
Crocus pestalozzae Boiss. (Iridaceae) in North-West Turkey. –Bangladesh Journal of Botany,
Vol. 38, Issue:2, 127-132.
Kerndorff, H. and Pasche, E. 2004. Crocus biflorus in Anatolia, part two. –Plantsman (new
ser.) 3:201-215.
Kerndorff, H. and Pasche, E. 2006. Crocus biflorus in Anatolia, part tree. –Linzer Biol. Beitr.
38:165-187.
Kerndorff, H. and Pasche, E. 2011. Two new taxa of Crocus (Liliiflorae, Iridaceae) from
Turkey. Stapfia 95:2-5.
Mathew, B. 1982. The Crocus: A revision of the genus Crocus (Iridaceae). -B.T. Batsford
LTD.
Mathew, B., 1984. Crocus: -In Davis, P.H. (ed.), The Flora of Turkey and The East Aegean
Islands, 8:413-438, Edinburgh University.
Mathew, B. 1998. Crocus kerndorffiorum. –Curtis‘ s Bot. Mag. 15:120-124.
Mathew, B. 2000. Crocus. –In Güner, A. et al. (eds), Flora of Turkey and the East Aegean
Islands. Edinburgh Univ. Pres, 11:271-274.
Mathew, B. 2002. Crocus Up-date. –The New Plantsman Vol.1(1):44-56.
Maw, G. 1886. A monograph of the genus Crocus. –Dulau and Co.
Murley R.M., 1951. Seeds of Cruciferae of North-eastern North America, The American
Midland
Naturalist, 46:1-81
Shetler S.G., Morin N.R. 1986. Seed morphology in North American Campanulaceae,
Ann.Missouri Bot. Gard., 73(4): 653-688
Stearn, W.T. 1983. Botanical Latin, History, Grammar, Syntax, Terminology and Vocabulary.
-Redwood Press Ltd., Great Britain.
Şık, L. and Candan, F. 2009. Ecological properties of some Crocus taxa in Turkey. –African
Journal of Biotechnology, Vol. 8(9), 1895-1899.
Yüzbaşıoğlu, S., Varol, Ö., 2004. A new Autumn-flowering Crocus from SW Turkey. –The
Plantsman, New Series, Vol. 3, Part 2:104-106.

264

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                <text>This Investigation is made to determine seed micromorphological properties of four  subspecies and tree varieties of Crocus chrysanthus have been distinguished:Crocus  chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. chrysanthus with 3 varieties (var. chrysanthus, var.  bicoloroceus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay, and var. atrovioloceus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay),  Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. punctatus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay, Crocus  chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. kesercioglui F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay and Crocus  chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert subsp. sipyleus F. Candan &amp; N. Özhatay. Scanning electron  microscope was used to determine micromorphological features as regards mature seeds of all  taxa.  Keywords: Crocus chrysanthus (Herbert) Herbert, seed micromorphology.</text>
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                    <text>3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

Relationship Between Human Capital And Economic Growth: Panel Causality Analysis
For Selected Oecd Countries
Ferdi Kesikoğlu, Zafer Öztürk
Bülent Ecevit University, Zonguldak, Turkey
E-mails: fkesikoglu@yahoo.com, zaferoz@hotmail.com
Abstract
In this study, the relation between education and health expenditures that are accepted as an
indicator of human capital and economic growth is tested empirically. According to the
findings of the study, based on 1999 – 2008 period for 20 OECD countries that are selected
by the panel casuality test, a bidirectional casuality relation is observed between the education
and health expenditures and economic growth in the period and country group under
discussion. The obtained findings both support the intrinsic growth theories and tally with the
empirical studies on the subject.
Keywords: Education expenditures, health care expenditure, human capital, economic growth,
panel causality.
1. INTRODUCTION
Studies on growth in the economics literature are usually divided into two groups. The first
one is the Neo-classical growth theory that was dominant until 1980s and it identifies the
source of economic growth with technology and increase in population which is considered as
external in the model. The Neo-classical growth theories, which take shape depending upon
savings, capital-labour and income variables, propound that there will be no long-term
discrepancy between countries in terms of level of development. The theories that emerged as
alternatives to the Neo-classical theory are called as endogeneous growth theories. Emerging
endogeneous growth theories bring forward the idea that endogenous conditions like human
capital, foreign trade policies, financial development and public expenditures of a country can
affect economic growth.
Considering the subject within the frame of endogenous growth theories, it is ascertained that
the human capital resources of a country have a great impact on growth. In recent years, the
empirical studies on economic growth also increasingly emphasize the role of human capital
in economic growth process. As often expressed in the empirical studies, the most important
indicators of the human capital are health care and education. For education and health, the
number of people graduated from collages and life expectancy at birth or total public
expenditure intended on education and health care are used as variables in empirical models.
Education and health care expenditures increase the quality of labour force and positively
contribute to the production capacity and thus to the economic growth. It is also emphasized
by the endogenous growth theories that in the development process, health care and education
expenditures play an important role in the formation of human capital and have a significant
contribution to the sustainable economic growth in long-term.

1

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

In this study, within the frame of theoretical and empirical arguments presented above in
summary, the relationship between education, health care expenditures and economic growth
is tested by the panel causality test for 20 OECD member countries that are selected
considering data sufficiency for 1999 – 2008 period. In the first part of the study that
composed of three parts, the theoretical frame is presented. After the second part that
summarizes the findings of relevant empirical studies, the empirical model and the findings of
the model are evaluated. The study reveals the importance of human capital for economic
development.
2. EMPIRICAL LITERATURE
Empirical literature about the relationship between human capital and economic growth is
summarized in Table 1.

Table 1: The Empirical Literature
Author

Method

Period

Country

Result

Romer (1989)

Endegenous
Growth Model

1960-1985

Transnational

Positive effect of education on growth

Mulligan
and
Sala-i
Martin
(1992)

Endegenous
Growth Model

Barro and Lee
(1993)

Panel Method

Kelly (1997)

Ordinary
Squares

Least

Rivera
and
Currais (1998)

Ordinary
Squares

Least

Freire-Serén
(2001)

Two-Step OLS

Kar and
(2003)

Ağır

Granger Causality,
VECM

Economic growth increases the rate of
return on human capital
1960-1985

189 Country

Positive effect of education on growth

1970-1989

73 Country

Do not have any effect on economic
growth of health spending

1960-1990

OECD Countries

Positive effect of health spending on
economic growth

1960-1990

Transnational

There are two-way causal relationship
between human capital and economic
growth
-causality of education spending to
economic growth

1926-1994

Turkey
-causality of economic growth to health
spending
-Human capital has a positive effect on
growth in the long term

Serel
and
Masatçı (2005)

Johansen
cointegration

1950-2000

Taban (2006)

Johansen
cointegration,
Granger Causality

1968-2003

Turkey

Two-way causal relationship between
health indicators and economic growth

Taban and Kar
(2006)

Granger Causality

1969-2001

Turkey

Two-way causal relationship between
educaiton and economic growth

Haldar
and
Mallik (2010)

Johansen
cointegration,
ARDL

1960-2006

India

investment in education and health are
very important and has a significant
positive long run effect on per capita

Turkey
-Causality of economic growth to human
capital

2

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

GNP growth
-Causality of human capital to GDP in
the short and long term

Şimşek
and
Kadılar (2010)

Cointegraiton,
granger causality,
ARDL

1960-2004

Keskin (2011)

Multiple
Linear
Regression

Cross-Sectional
Data

177
Countries

Yaylalı and Lebe
(2011)

Cointegraiton and
VAR

1938-2007

Turkey

Turkey
- Causality of GDP to human capital in
the short term
BM

Has important effects on economic
development, educatiton and health
spending
Two-way causal relationship between
educaiton and economic growth

3. MODEL, DATA AND METHODS
In this study, the estimated models are shown in the following equations.
m

n

l1

k 1

GDPt   0   l GDPt l    k EGTM t k  ut
m

n

l1

k 1

(1)

EGTM t   0   l EGTM t l    k GDPt k  ut
m

n

l1

k 1

(2)

GDPt   0   l GDPt l    k SAGLK t k  ut
m

n

l1

k 1

SAGLK t   0   l SAGLK t l    k GDPt k  u t

(3)

(4)

In the model, GDP symbolizes the rate of growth, EGTM symbolizes the GDP ratio of total
education expenditures, SAGLK symbolizes the GDP ratio of total health expenditures,  and
s symbolize the parameters and m and n symbolize the lag length. According to Schwarz
information criterion 3 is determined as the length of delay. Besides, employment (IST) is
added as a control variable to the model as it can be in relation to growth, education and
health. The data used in the analysis is obtained from World Bank WDI, OECD-STAN data
bases. The data set used icludes 1999 – 2008 period and 20 OECD member countries: Austria,
Czech Republic, France, Hungary, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Japan, Holland, Spain, UK, Denmark,
Germany, Poland, Portugal, Slovakia, Finland, Iceland and USA.
According to Holtz-Eakin, Newey and Rosen (1988), the hypothesis test can be made in
equation 5 in order to examine whether model in equation 1 cause GDP to EGTM and model
in equation 2 EGTM to GDP. This hypothesis test can also be made for equations 3 and 4 that
present the relation between GDP and SAGLK.

1   2   3  0

(5)

The economics literature suggests three approaches to test casuality in panel data set. The first
approach is based on the generalized method of moments (GMM) and the Wald test in
equation 3. The GMM method requires the panel data set to be N&gt;T. The second one is
suggested by Hurlin (2008) and fixed effects are based on panel data approach. The fixed
effect panel data approach can be applied only for static series. The third one is proposed by
Kónya (2006) and it is based on the estimates of seemingly unrelated regression (SUR). The
3

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

last approach requires the panel data set to be T&gt;N. In this study, the GMM - system approach
is preferred since the data set used is N&gt;T and some variables in the model are I(1).
Holtz-Eakin, Newey and Rosen (1988), Arellano and Bond (1991), Arellano and Bover
(1995) and Blundell and Bond (1998) developed the GMM – system approach which can
solve the endogeneity and it can be and applied to T&lt;N feature samples. This method is
basically an instrumental variable method. It is based on producing instrumental variables
which have the similar characteristics of moment instead of variables that are considered to
have the problem of endogeneity and using instrumental variables in regression model. It is
possible to express GMM β estimator as in equation 6 for a model in the form of
yi  xi  ui (Cameron and Triverdi, 2009, p. 175):

̂ GMM   X ZWZ X 1 X ZWZ y

(6)

In equation 6, X represents the matrix of independent variable, Z represents the matrix
instrumental variable, Y represents the matrix of dependent variable and W represents the
matrix of symmetric weight. The GMM β estimator minimizes the objective function. The
objective function is indicated in equation 7.
1

  1
Q(  )    y  X  Z W  Z  y  X 
N
 N


(7)

When the matrix of weight is taken in the quadratic form, it is equal to Z  y  X  . However,
when the matrix of weight is selected as in two-staged EKK the optimal GMM estimator is
reached. The optimal GMM is indicated in equation 8.



̂ OGMM  X ZSˆ 1 Z X



1

X ZSˆ 1 Z y





(8)

1 / 2
In the equation 8 Ŝ is the estimation of Var N Z u . The efficiency of the GMM estimator
depends on selecting the right matrix of instrumental variable. There are three tests used for
this purpose. The first one is the AR(1) and AR(2) tests developed by Arellano and Bond
(1991). The AR(1) test examines the null hypothesis in the form of “no first-order
autocorrelation.” Because of the method of obtaining instrumental variable, first-order
autocorrelation should be observed automatically in the error term of the model and the null
hypothesis should be rejected at a %5 statistical significance level. Otherwise, it is understood
that the instrumental variables cannot be determined correctly. On the other hand, AR(2) test
examines the null hypothesis in the form of “no second-order autocorrelation.” The no
second-order autocorrelation should not be rejected at a %5 statistical significance level in the
model. Otherwise, it is again understood that the instrumental variables cannot be determined
correctly. The second test is known as the Sargan test. It examines the null hypothesis in the
form of “instrumental variable is valid.” Therefore, the null hypothesis should not be rejected
at a %5 statistical significance level. The last test is known as Hansen’s J test. The J test also
examines the null hypothesis in the form of “instrumental variable is valid” and the null
hypothesis should not be rejected at a %5 statistical significance level. Furthermore, if the
tests are ranked according to the degree of reliability, AR(1) and AR(2) tests are in the first
place, the Sargan test is in the second and the J test take the last place. Particularly, as the
number of instrumental variables increase the success of the J test decreases (Roodman, 2006,
p. 14).

Finally, Windmeijer (2005) proved that the GMM estimate is exposed to small sample
deviation in a finite number of observations and proposed a method to correct this small
4

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

sample deviation that emerge in standart errors. Moreover, the author proves that when this
deviation arising from the small sample is corrected, the deviations observed in standard
errors and coefficients decrease as well. In order to correct the results of the GMM method
used in this study, the correction proposed by Windmeijer (2005) is followed. The only code
that can implement this correction is written by Roodman (2006). For this reason, the code
written by Roodman (2006) is used for GMM estimation.
4. FINDINGS
In table 2, the results of the model estimation that examines whether there is a casual
relationship from education to growth is shown.
Table 2: Estimation Results of Model 1
Independent
Variables

Coefficient

Corrected
Standard Error

T Statistics

Probability

GDPt-1

0.67*

0.111

6.05

0.000

EGTM

-6.19*

0.980

-6.32

0.000

EGTMt-1

7.72*

1.502

5.14

0.000

EGTMt-2

-0.75

1.471

-0.52

0.607

EGTMt-3

-0.84

0.964

-0.88

0.382

Arellano-Bond AR(1) Statistics

-4.21 (0.000)

F Statistics

18.56 (0.000)*

Arellano-Bond AR(2) Statistics

-0.79 (0.429)

No.
Of
Observations

120

Cross-Section

20

Time Dimension

10 years

Method

Two Staged Panel
GMM-system

Wald Statistics (EGTMt-1 = EGTMt-2 = EGTMt-3 = 0)
10.94 (0.0071)

Note: * symbol shows the %1 statistically significant coefficients. In the statistics related to
the model, the values before the parentheses show the related statistic values and the values in
parentheses indicate the possibilities.
According to the findings, the F statistics show that the model, as a whole, is statistically
significant at a %5 significance level. The AR(1) statistics show first-order autocorrelation is
observed in the error terms of the model and AR(2) statistics show no second-order
autocorrelation. The Wald statistics that examine EGTMt-1 = EGTMt-2 = EGTMt-3 = 0
hyphothesis is rejected at a significance level of %1. This finding means that the education
expenditures are the reasons of growth.
In table 3, the results of the model estimation that examines whether there is a casual
relationship from growth to education expenditures is shown.
Table 3: Estimation Results of Model 2
Independent
Variables

Coefficient

Corrected
Standard Error

T Statistics

Probability

EGTMt-1

0.954*

0.038

25.03

0.000

GDP

-0.041*

0.009

-4.28

0.000

5

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

GDPt-1

0.015

0.65

0.515

0.015

2.20

0.030

0.012

0.56

0.577

Arellano-Bond AR(1) Statistics

-4.48 (0.000)

F Statistics

165.54 (0.000)*

Arellano-Bond AR(2) Statistics

0.56 (0.577)

GDPt-2
GDPt-3

0.010
0.034**
0.006

Wald Statistics (GDPt-1 = GDPt-2 = GDPt-3 = 0)
10.49 (0.0071)

No.
Observations

Of

120

Cross-Section

20

Time Dimension

10 years

Method

Two-Staged
GMM-system

Panel

Note: * symbol shows %1 ** shows %5 statistically significant coefficients. In the statistics
related to the model, the values before the parentheses show the related statistic values and
the values in parentheses indicate the possibilities.
According to the no. 2 model estimation results, the model is significant at a %1 significance
level and the instrumental variables are valid. Besides, the Wald statistics cannot reject the H0
hypothesis at %1, %5 and %10 significance levels in the form of growth is not the reason of
education expenditures.
In table 4, there are the results of a casual relationship research from health expenditures to
growth that is stated above in no. 3 model.
Table 4: Estimation Results of Model 3
Independent
Variables

Coefficient

Corrected
Standard Error

T Statistics

Probability

GDPt-1

0.462*

0.131

3.52

0.001

SAGLK

-5.529*

0.732

-7.55

0.000

SAGLKt-1

6.072*

1.260

4.82

0.000

SAGLKt-2

-0.674

1.292

-0.52

0.603

SAGLKt-3

-0.467

0.824

-0.57

0.572

Arellano-Bond AR(1) Statistics

-4.20 (0.000)

F Statistics

24.09 (0.000)*

Arellano-Bond AR(2) Statistics

-0.65 (0.513)

No.
Observations

Wald Statistics (SAGLKt-1 = SAGLKt-2 = SAGLKt-3 = 0)
17.05 (0.0000)

Of

120

Cross-Section

20

Time Dimension

10 years

Method

Two-Staged
GMM-system

Panel

Note: * symbol shows %1 ** shows %5 statistically significant coefficients. In the statistics
related to the model, the values before the parentheses show the related statistic values and
the values in parentheses indicate the possibilities.
According to the no. 3 model estimation results, the model is significant at a %1 significance
level and the instrumental variables are valid. Besides, the Wald statistics cannot reject the H0
hypothesis at %1, %5 and %10 significance levels in the form of growth is not the reason of
health expenditures.
6

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

In table 5, there are the results of a casual relationship research from growth to health
expenditures that is stated above in equation 4.
Table 5: Estimation Results of Model 4
Independent
Variables

Coefficient

Corrected
Standard Error

T Statistics

Probability

SAGLKt-1

0.928

0.257

36.06

0.000

GDP

-0.769

0.013

-5.84

0.000

GDPt-1

-0.005

0.020

-0.25

0.805

GDPt-2

0.009

0.021

0.46

0.645

GDPt-3

0.040

0.015

2.56

0.012

Arellano-Bond AR(1) Statistics

-3.57 (0.000)

F Statistics

527.27(0.000)*

Arellano-Bond AR(2) Statistics

-0.18 (0.860)

No.
Observations

Wald Statistics (GDPt-1 = GDPt-2 = GDPt-3 = 0)
18.06 (0.0000)

Of

120

Cross-Section

20

Time Dimension

10 years

Method

Two-Staged
GMM-system

Panel

Note: * symbol shows %1 ** shows %5 statistically significant coefficients. In the statistics
related to the model, the values before the parentheses show the related statistic values and
the values in parentheses indicate the possibilities.
According to results of no.4 model estimation results that is summarized in table 5, the model
is significant at a %1 significance level and the instrumental variables are valid. Besides, the
Wald statistics accept the that there is a casual relationship from growth to health
expenditures at %1significance level .
5. CONCLUSION
In this study the nexus between human capital and economic growth was tested empirically
using panel causality test for 20 OECD countries. Achieved evidence indicates that there are
bi-directional causal relationship between education expenses and economic growth.
Furthermore two-sided causal relationship between health expenses and economic growth was
found. These findings support the suggestion of endogenous growth theory which is a
competitor of Neo classical growth theory.
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8

�</text>
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                <text>Relationship Between Human Capital And Economic Growth: Panel Causality Analysis  For Selected Oecd Countries</text>
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              <elementText elementTextId="17905">
                <text>In this study, the relation between education and health expenditures that are accepted as an  indicator of human capital and economic growth is tested empirically. According to the  findings of the study, based on 1999 – 2008 period for 20 OECD countries that are selected  by the panel casuality test, a bidirectional casuality relation is observed between the education  and health expenditures and economic growth in the period and country group under  discussion. The obtained findings both support the intrinsic growth theories and tally with the  empirical studies on the subject.  Keywords: Education expenditures, health care expenditure, human capital, economic growth,  panel causality.</text>
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ACM Press, p. 19.

Sustainability and Using Information Technologies in Disaster Managament
FatmaNevalGenç, Murat Yılmaz
Adnan Menderes University, Faculty of Economic and Administritive Sciences,
09900, Nazilli, Aydın, Turkey.
E-mails: fatmanevalgenc@gmail.com,muratyilmaz@adu.edu.tr
Abstract
Sustainable development is a concept that meets the needs of present without
compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. In recent years world
population suffered by numerous natural and manmade disasters so that they strived to
474

�protect their own existence prior to the future. However, most of the disasters were caused by
un-sustainable attitudes of politicians, decision makers and communities.
In this paper, the concept of disaster management and using information technologies
in disasters will be discussed in the sustainability context. The study focuses on the use of
information technologies in disaster situation. Information technologies are used in before
and after of disaster.
In this paper role and place of communication and communication technologies in
crisis and disaster situations is considered. This issue, crisis, disaster communication,
coordination of disaster situation examined using national and international literature and
experience of disaster occurred. In the study developments on the use of communication
technologies in disaster management, success of disaster information systems in disasters,
advantages and disadvantages of using communication technologies are examined.
Keywords: Sustainability, Crisis Management, Disaster Management, Communication
Technology, Public Administration.

1. COMMUNICATION

TECHNOLOGIES

FOR

DISASTER

MANAGEMENT

Developments occurring in the field of communication technologies have elleminated
the constraints of time and distance. These technologies can help to disaster managers to
solve complex problems usin socio-technical system approach. (Çelik and Çorbacıoğlu, 2010:
140).
The main communication technologies used in disaster management computer
technologies that can be used in different types of disasters and different processes of disaster
management These technologies are used for flow of information, emergency contact,
mitigation, intervention and allows the realization of information of fast and high quality
way.
Since the 1990s, these technologies have become an important part of disaster and
emergency operations (Fink, 1986; Heath, 1998: 275). The main activities of these
technologies and their use in disaster management are listed below (Marincioni, 2007: 460;
475

�the Ministry of Public Works and Housing, 2004: 77-79; Stephenson and Anderson, 1997:
320; Mathew, 2005: 55);
a) Early warning systems and simulation models: provides information about the possible
effects of the disaster, disaster risk, and the number of potential people affected by disaster
and these systems aimed at risk reduction, bringing people to move as quickly as possible.
Simulation models are used as instruments for disaster preparedness: public health measures,
planning, decision making etc. To create early warning system, seismometers, sub-sea
tsunami detectors are used for this purpose. Thanks to early warning systems tsunami,
hurricane, flood, landslide hazards can be identified and it is possible to allow time to take
action (Samarajiva, 2005: 735).
b) Web-based disaster databases: computer software and hardware system that transfers data
which properties of the disaster affected area and vulnerable community. Thus, it is possible
o identify risk areas, and strategies for fighting the risks of the community-owned.
c) Satellite communications: Particularly search and rescue operations, these systems refers to
the utilization of global positioning systems, images and aerial photographs to determine map
coordinates of points that identified urgent target to be achieved, Disaster areas and support
the need for warning signals to quickly handle the situation in order to obtain the use of
satellite telecommunications systems will replace the mobile space-based communications
infrastructure systems, telephone systems, allowing the introduction of commissioning.
d) Remote sensing systems: Using optical and radar satellite systems these techniques are
used to prepare land use plans and disaster prone areas, to determine risk areas and
infrastructure.
e) Geographic information systems and spatial planning (ground positioning systems): Using
radar and GPS space technology, especially on potential areas, it is provide benefit to be
prepared for earthquakes, observation and monitoringof risky areas; the simulation used in
the fields in disasters, making the situation analysis, risk assessment, spatial modeling,
disaster
mapping.
f) Decision support systems: makes it possible to develop decision support systems and
expert systems for using internet, information infrastructure in disaster-related areas. Internet,
expert systems and decision support systems provide for rapid decision-making, options
assessment, and disaster management and analyze.
476

�g) Mail, web sites, internet: these technologies are used to meet needs in disaster areas,
education and information about disasters andrelated activities.In the process of disaster
internet, TV and video-conferencing systems provides the possibility to experts discuss
disaster in e-mail, chat rooms and other media (Marincioni, 2007: 472).These technologies,
videos, graphics, links to connect users to do the voting, statements of opinion, do the experts
predict, allowing discussion of the possibilities to use the channels, which allows local
reporters to login to introduce disaster areas and be contacted in this process, to involve
stakeholders in co-operation done. Frequent updating web pages on disaster/crisis to provide
information about the possible effects, scope of disaster (Coombs, 2007; Seeger, Sellnow and
Ulmer, 1998: 248). Especially sudden events such as natural disasters, fast and frequently
updated information is quite important. 1996 Kobe Earthquake, Oklahoma City bombing
Internet was the most important communication tool. Using internet electronic networks,
maps, photos, digital damage, have been able to reach disaster victimsand their relatives.
Forest fires in California, Google maps used by those who wish to obtain information about
shelters.In Hurricane Katrina Craiglistler was used as an area offering a variety of forms of
assistance.After the September 11 attacks, company web pages, personal blogs used to
provide assistance and information (Semaan et al., 2010: 1-10).The spread of the internet,
from an emergency disaster warning, breaking news, fast-changing data, real-time video
feeds, given the opportunity to reach the literature on natural disasters and emergency
situations.
In recent years using of social media in the process of disaster has increased. Social
media and blogs have become an important source of information and they have power to
influence experts and opinion leaders (Edwards et al, 2010: 1-4; Krakovsky, 2010: 1-6;
Starbird et al, 2010: 1-5; Latonero et al, 2010: 1-10).After the Banda Aceh Tsunami Twitter
used by people to help disaster victims, and drew attention to the speed transformation of
news according to the traditional news channels.The interactive nature of Twitte, obtain
information to public administrators about disasters, collect, and analyze statistical
information about the community affected by disaster, after disaster to keep, serves as a tool
to determine the survival rates (Zhu et al., 2011: 431).
Additionally, computerized imaging, intelligent vehicles, disaster archives, digital
libraries on disasters, meteorological satellite systems, radios, cell phones, fax, tv, emergency
telephone lines, sms, rss, telecommunications, communication networks are used extensively
in the disaster.
In next years, these technologies are used in the field of disaster management is likely
to add new ones, and the diversification of existing ones. Coming years it is expected that the
477

�diversification of specialized micro-processors and sensors, multimedia, remote monitoring
and data collection instruments. In this context, it is probably in the future, the use of disaster
and emergency management such as extensive networks with broad bands of the Internet,
network commerce, smart grid search software, high-capacity data storage systems, smart
cards, mobile, wireless personal digital assistants, high-performance computers, highresolution satellite imagingTechnologies will spread (Sephenson and Anderson, 1997: 320).
2. EXAMPLES OF USING COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGIES FOR DISASTER
MANAGEMENT
Communication technologies in disaster following the earthquake used in Mexico
City in 1985 for the first time, called an ATS-3 (The Advanced Technology-3) system, in
order to ensure communication, international aid. Used in the process of rebuilding of
Armenia Earthquake of 1988, the U.S. space the bridge is accepted the largest comprehensive
telemedicine disaster assistance project. Similar tele-medicine projects between the U.S. and
Russia used in medical consulting and medical education in the process of disaster response,
and then these Technologies began to be used extensively in communication technologies,
especially medical procedures (Reddy et al., 2009: 263; Mathew, 2005: 2005, Meissner et al.,
2002). Advanced communication technologies in the U.S. in the Gulf War (1991) mobile
health units, the U.S. assistance to Somalia (1993) also used a remote clinical communication
system (Garshnek and Burkle, 1999: 215).
Increasing the number of systems to ensure coordination used in the communication
technologies in disaster management, including international organizations, especially to
coordinate disaster response operations. The main purpose of these systems which called
Emergency Management Information System (EMIS) in disaster management make life
easier for employees, the organization of existing information and resources to more
effectively not only geographically but functionally different channels and means of
cooperation offer. Some of these are given below (Onorati et al., 2010; Dorasam and Raman,
2011: 3; Currion, 2007: 62):
a)The UN is one of the most important organizations in the international disaster response
operations. Using disaster information systems the UN coordinate different types of disaster
and humanitarian relief operations
aa) UN-OCHA: serve on the internet, intended to provide synchronization, mapping, flexible
design. Some projects coordinated by OCHA such as IRIN (Humanitarian News and
Analysis), CAP (The Consolidated Appeals Process), CERF (Central Emergency Response
478

�Fund, The), FTS, RedHum (América Latina y el Caribe Red de Información Humanitarian
money), OCHA3W (Who does What Where / Contact Management Directory), IASC (The
Inter-Agency Standing Committee). Using these these projects web pages, it is possible to
organize, download documents or information about disasters (Bui et al, 2000: 436).
ab), UN Relief Web: provide mapping, online library, professional resources, web-based
service, designed for different types of disaster application forms, assessments, maps, press
releases, field research, the reports.
ac) LARED-UNDP-GMP: provide disaster information cards, database support, GIS,
provides google maps.
ad) FEMIS (Federal Emergency Management Information System): provide google mapping,
reader blogs, disaster modeling, provides.
b) Within the European Commission;
ba) ECHO (European Community Humanitarian Office): serves within the framework of the
Emergency Public Information Centers and Communication and Information System (the
Common Emergency Communication and Information System-CECIS).
bb) European Commission prepared a report that better protection of European citizens in
order to improve disaster, the aim of this project establish an early warning system within the
framework of the Indian Ocean in 2007. The Commission's objective to create real-time
monitoring, providing real-time data and multi-faceted approach to disaster-warning
mechanisms and to increased analytical capacities of participating countries.
bc) Meteoalarm: founded by the European meteorological service, as a collection of Internetbased multi-lingual European alert platform for weather warnings.
bd) The Global Disaster Alerts and Coordination System (GDACS): a fully automated
manner with the participation of the EU and the UN, works with the data obtained from
natural disasters 24/7 according to the warning system.
be) the Commission are also prepared early warning systems for specific groups of disaster.
The European Commission, the European Flood Alert System (EFAs) has funded the
479

�establishment. EFAs, 3-10 days prior to the damaging floods alert monitoring and
information center. AK forest fires, forest fire information system was set up, with this
system, and 6 days prior to the daily weather forecasts are made of fire hazard maps, maps of
fire locations on a daily basis, 7 days in advance by means of satellite images also provided
estimates of damage and risk areas on a daily basis, are published in the hot spots. The
European Mediterranean Seismological Center in the Mediterranean region with a partnership
with the determination of earthquake risks and Tunisia cooperated on adding three new
sensor. Earthquakes in North Africa with the presence and location of the sensors to
determine more clearly the nature of the increased chance. AK, as well as with intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission K. Tsunami early warning system has been
cooperating in the Atlantic and the Mediterranean. European Commission, the effects of
disasters and mitigation works on the development of technologies associated with the
subject. Commission management research, information society, with a joint research center
is engaged in disaster prediction and disaster management. Institute for environment and
sustainability, especially within the joint research center, the commission is working tightly
with
the
civil
protection
service.
c) SAHANA: Established after the Indian Ocean tsunami (2004), the system provides open
source software, training, aid distribution, status, mapping and response management. The
Free and Open Source Software (FOSS) is a system open to sharing information, transparent
and acting suitable for the general principles of humanitarian organizations.
d) FEMA: FEMA is a organization that serves information about places for temporary
shelters, medical special needs, materials, distribution points for aid materials, GIS, mapping
etc.
e) DERMİS-Dynamic Disaster Response Management Information System
f) SARVOYADA: operated during the tsunami.
g) IMASH-Information Management System: Designed for hurricanes.
h) Digital Typhoon: Provides information about typhoons.
i) PeopleFinder and ShelterFinder: Google search engine service which is heavily used in
disasters. This system heavily utilized positioning and applications, helping those who
struggle quake in Japan and Haiti,
i) NIMS: National Incident Management Systems has been operating in the United States.
j) DesInventar System: The system supported by UNDP and used in Africa and Latin
America; works as a database to serve information about post-disaster damage, historical
disaster data collection tool
k) SIGAME: The sysytem was established after the mass fires in Galicia (2007).
480

�h) HAVARIA: The system works as a Disaster Information Services Alert Map, Global
Display of Terrorism and suspicious events
i) CRED-The Centre for Research of the Epidemiology of Disasters: The system was founded
in Belgium (1973) as a international organization. System used by many international
organizations, such as UN's EM-DAT (Emergency Disaster-Emergency Disaster Database
Data Base), EM-BİB (Documentation Centre, bibliographic databases) (Hamzaçebi, et al.,
2007: 179).
i) Emergency Disaster Database (EM-DAT): The Research Centre of the Epidemiology of
Disasters (OFDA / CRED) is an organization which covering the largest database about
natural disasters. CRED prepares an annual statistical data tables and analysis. It can be
searched by date, user country, disaster type, and system serves statistical database about list
of general disaster. There are also some maps based on the EM-DAT database. These maps
show the geographic summary about effects of disasters and catastrophes between 1974 and
2003.
j) The Asian Disaster Reduction Center-ADRC: In order to reduce the effects of disasters and
to share information about disaster in the Asian region it was establish in 1998, Japan.
22 states are member of ADCR today. System provide disaster related information about
country / region, date, disaster type, loss of life and property, disaster related links (reports,
articles), geographical data information, emergency response information (Hamzaçebi, et al.,
2007: 179).
k) Emergency Management Australia (EMA): Emergency Management Australia (EMA):
disaster databases in EMA’s website serves information about historic disasters in Australia.
All hazards are identified by type, date, district, region, the total number of dead, injured,
number of affected population and the number of homeless (Hamzaçebi, et al., 2007: 179).
l) Canadian Disaster Database (CDD): It was established in 1990, it provides information
about wars and conflicts in ten years period except for natural and technological disasters
(Hamzaçebi, et al., and 2007: 179).
Besides these sites, there are web sites that provide information in different areas of
disaster management, disasters, response operations, video, teleconferencing, early warning
systems, disaster awareness on radio, television, cable television, amateur radio, wireless
communication systems, and some organizations such as EU, WHO, FAO, IFRC, the Natural
481

�Hazards Center and the Pan-American Health Organization, DEC (Mathew, 2005: 56). Some
institutions, such as The U.S. National Hurricane Center, the Caribbean Hurricane Page, the
National Meteorological Center, serves as a mechanism on the web, to warn people, inform
the path of disaster, provide information on damage . Epix, Colorado Natural Disaster Center,
DHA, and many other website, electronic magazines and related material, such as the Journal
of Humanitarian Assistance have become possible information sources. After the G7 summit
in 1996, under the name of Global Emergency Management Information Network Project
(GEMINI) was created by a global network (Stephenson and Anderson, 1997: 325).
3. USE
OF
COMMUNICATION
MANAGEMENT SYSTEM IN TURKEY

TECHNOLOGIES

FOR

DISASTER

Public organizations that responsible for disaster management in Turkey are
organized in national and local governments. Disaster and Emergency Management
Authority (AFAD), founded in 2009, is the basis of the system. Departments of Disaster and
Emergency Authority are Disaster and Emergency High Council, Disaster and Emergency
Coordination Committee, Earthquake Advisory Board.
AFAD web page provide information about disaster, concepts associated with
disaster, types of disasters, disasters occurring throughout the world, Turkey's National
Disaster archive, disaster maps of cities in Turkey and their risk status according to different
disasters, measures to be taken in the face of disasters, risk management, civil defense and
first aid. Using maps, tables and sateliteimages, Office of Earthquke which department of
AFAD, provides information about earthquake that occur since 1900, in last 24 hours and last
30 days.
The aim of National Disaster Archive System of Turkey is , using information
technologies, to share information with other related public organizations, about disaster
experiences of our country, disaster management system, disaster respond and recovery
activities (Hamzaçebi et al., 2007:181).
Regional and local seismic networks are established and operated by the universities
in Turkey. In addition, the TUBITAK Marmara Research Center Earth and Marine Sciences
Research Institute works to build and operate regional and temporary seismic networks.
Bogazici University Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute is a main
organization that monitoring earthquakes on a national scale and producing information for
emergency response agencies at the national and international scale. Bogazici University
482

�Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute works as a 'National Seismic
Network', it gives information about earthquakes to inform responsible public authorities.
Institute has got 102 seismic stations across the country. It collects, evaluates data and then
transfers information to related institutions. (Ministry of Public Works and Housing, 2004:
71-72).
As a part of The General Directorate of Disaster Affairs, TURKNET (Turkey
National Telemetric Seismic Network), was founded in 1989. The purpose of TURNET is to
try to determine causes of earthquakes and TURKNET studies on hazard mitigation of
earthquakes. TURNET has got a network which spread across the country. The network has
got 31 stations. 12 of them are located on the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ).
TURKNET information center provides newsletters and catalogs, seismicity maps, long-term
data, a fast and automatic earthquake alert, information via the Internet, a reliable estimation
of the earthquake (Alkan, and Kaplan, 2005: 164-165).
"Active Fault Map of Turkey" is published in 1992 by the General Directorate of
Mineral Research and Exploration (MTA). It is a reference source and shows the map of
active faults of the whole country. From the date of its publication, this map is a main data
resource for ongoing efforts about earthquake in our country. The Ministry of Public Works
and Settlement prepared and released "Earthquake Zoning Map" in 1996.
Especially after the 1999-Marmara Earthquake, initiatives for the establishment and
operation of disaster information systems, national scale disaster information technologies
have been increased in Turkey. In this context joint studies with international organizations as
the World Bank, EU, JICA, have been increased. Universities, municipalities prepared
projects, implementation plans and reports for addressing issue on a regional, national scale.
However, the majority of them have been an attempt or preparation. Process has been
continuing. Some of these studies are follows: (Ministry of Public Works and Settlement,
2004: 71):
i) "Turkey Geographic Information Bank” the preparatory work was completed in 1995 by
the SPO, the system aims to provide production and use survey data.
ii) "Management Information System" Project; has prepared by the Prime Ministery, the
system aims a healthy flow of data between public bodies, to ensure using computer network
that sought to establish a Standard.
iii) "National Geographic Information Systems Strategies in Turkey Project" has prepared by
Ministry of National Defence.
iv) "Geographical data production and usage survey" has prepared in 2004 by the General
Diroctorate of Land Registry and Cadastre.
483

�v) "Turkey Disaster Preparedness Response and Coordination System Concept 'Report" has
prepared by Turkish General Staff.
vi) Documents which showing the required needs of disaster prepared by AFAD
Turkish Disaster Information System (TDIS) has prepared by the Ministry of Interior
and Istanbul Technical University in 2001. Four projects have been implemented in In this
context: i) National Emergency Management, Training and Exercise Program, ii)
Dvelopment Projects of National Emergency Management Model, iii) Restructuring of the
National Fire Brigades, iv) National Remote Sensing System (UAS) and Geographic
Information System (GIS)-Based Data Base and Disaster Management Creating StandardsOriented Decision Support System (Turkey Disaster Information System - TABİS) . The
purpose of TABİS is, using modern satellite technology and information systems, in order to
establish the standard model, especially in emergency planning, implementation, and in case
of any disaster, disaster management and damage that can be used to estimate, central and
function as a decision support system in Turkey. The purpose of TABİS has been creating
inventory on disasters, gather information about disasters and transfer them in a information
system (Nurlu, 2009).
In addition, Turkish Red Crescent has got a system that estimate damage of disaster.
In this way, the Red Crescent, can quickly know the size and needs of disaster. And it can
respond to disaster most appropriate intervention. Provincial Disaster and Emergency
Management at provincial level, especially in provinces that located in high risk areas, appear
to be more active in AFAD Office.
Bogazici University Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, in the
context of Istanbul Disaster Preparedness Education Project (İAHEP) has been developed the
Geographic Information Sharing System (GISSI). Based on information sharing, using
digital maps, GISSI has been provided current data accessibility. In this way, the system aims
to help neighborhood organization to the development of earthquake preparedness and postearthquake emergency response plans. Since 2000, Istanbul Governorship Disater
Management Center has been set up to provide coordination and cooperation between the
relevant institutions and organizations. Disaster Management Center has been legally
responsible for carrying out the preparations for disaster management in İstanbul. Center has
been collect, update, analyze and synthesize all kinds of information about disasters.
Another project in İstanbul is the Istanbul Disaster Information System. The aims of
the system to do disaster planning, implementation, managament, estimate damages, by using
satellite technology and information systems; to provide information for the other provincies,
484

�to act as a pilot decision support system project. Additionally, Disaster Coordination Center
in Istanbul Metropoliten Municipality has been providing real-time monitoring about disaster
and archive disaster records.Other example of national disaster databases in Turkey is the
Middle East Technical University Department of Environmental EngineeringTechnological
Accidents Information System.
At local level, especially in the high risky provincies, disaster information
technology-based works are a lot. For example, the RADIUS Project coordinate by İzmir
Metropoliten Municipality aim to evaluate sismic situation and to determine the possible
damages that may occur during an earthquake İzmir. Crisis Management Center of the
Governorship of Izmir has been initiated to Emergency Management and Geographic
Information System. The Disaster Management Information System (İZAYBİS) established
and İzmir Development Agency (İZKA) provided financial support to the "Enhancing the
Effectiveness of Disaster Management Framework of the Provincial Emergency Response
Plan".Creating a disaster management information system within the scope of this project,
studies are performing in Izmir. Crisis Management Center of the Governorship of Izmir
sharing information with various institutions and organizations. The center serves
information to the other organizations using geographic information systems and digital maps
in different formats (Mersin and Şahin, 2009: 45).In Afyonkarahisar Emergency Management
and Data Processing Center (ADUYBİM) are available. The center, operates within the scope
of GIS. In Kastamonu (Hamzaçebi et al, 2004: 1) and Rize (Balci, 2007) there have been
attempts to establish meteorological early warning systems in the disaster information
system.
4.CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Because of the disasters, importance of the use of communication tools increased.
However, for various reasons, particularly economic constraints, the adaptation of
communication technologies in disaster management is not easy. Taking into account these
constraints, some suggestions can be developed for adaptation of successful communication
technologies in disaster management process.
Using communication technologies, aid agencies who’s responsible for disaster
should tie together within the framework of global, national and local scales. While
communication technologies are aligned with the local disaster plans at a later stage, this
information should be collected on a national scale, and ultimately global disaster
information should be shared between relevant countries and organizations. For example,
particularly local hospitals should equipped terminals; they should used capable of wireless
lines and should be connected to the disaster area. For example, in a disaster situation that
485

�may affect multiple countries such as tsunami, unlike establish early warning systems in each
country; establish a common system is more cheap and useful. Indeed, such a model after the
2004 tsunami took place in India and Taiwan (Samarajiva, 2005: 735).
Disaster management should adapt technical infrastructure, people and agencies that
involved in the process. In this context, to be prepared for disasters, especially the opensource, easily accessible software and training tools are needed in each stage of intervention
(Currion, 2007: 62). Designing the disaster technology infrastructure the possible technical
difficulties, social dimensions should be consider. So, framework of disaster management
process should be designed as a socio-technical systems approach (Reddy et al, 2009: 267).
An ideal disaster management system should be involved public agencies, citizens,
voluntary organizations, private sector. At this point especially in disaster databases and other
technologies in disaster design, establish, implementation, financing partnerships with the
private sector is very important.
Disaster communication systems should planned alternativly (Lien et al., 2009: 1-10).
In an effective disaster management, roles and visions of a local disaster teams must comply
with professional standards, appropriate technologies should be used, teams must be open to
interaction and knowledge transfer.
After the Marmara Earthquake some important legal and institutional regulations has
been done disaster management system in Turkey. But it is hard to say desired level. Some
of the strategic objectives of National Earthquake Disaster and Emergency Management
Strategy and Action Plan (UDSEP) (2012-2023) which prepared by the AFAD, are to
develop disaster information infrastructure and to design new research and develop methods;
to establish earthquake data bank; to develop seismic observation networks; to develop
forecasting and early warning system etc. (AFAD, 2010: 8-18).
To improve disaster communication technologies in Turkey, some recommendations
are as follows:
-National disaster management authority should determine tasks and responsibilities clearly,
and should share rolles and responsibilites with government organizanizations, universities,
private sectors etc.
486

�-Whichorganization produces and which information must be determined; to standardize the
data produced by different organizations, the data flow, rules of data flow should be
determined between institutions; the data collected and should be coordinated in one hand.
-Disaster management policies should be prioritized in national policies,
-E-government infrastructure should be completed and disaster management systems should
be integrated in.
-A national network system which country-wide disaster monitoring, recording, evaluation,
archiving shold set up,
-Institutions responsible for disaster management should be recruited expert-qualified
personnel
-Information access, exchange infrastructure should set up in national level.
-National disaster coordination and data center on a space based established.
-Training in disaster management, disaster technologies should be supported
-International cooperation in the use of satellite communications and other systems in disaster
management should be increased
-National disaster information system standards, terminology and definitions should be
identified.
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(2010).UlusalDepremStratejisiveEylemPlanı (2012-2023)

YönetimiBaşkanlığı)

http://www.deprem.gov.tr/sarbis/DDK/UDSEP/UDSEP2012-2023-rrr.pdf

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�Alkan,
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Kaplan
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“TÜRKNET-

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Bui, Tung, Sungwon Cho, Siva Sankaran, Michael Sovereign (2000). “A Framework for
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Coombs, W. Timothy (2007). Ongoing Crises Communication, Planning, Managing and
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Comfort, Lousie(2007).”Crisis Management in Hindsight.Cognition, Communication,
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Dısaster Management”, Communıcatıons Of The Acm, 50 (3), s.61-65.
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Dynamic Disaster Environments”, Disasters, 34 (1), s.137−154.
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Communication and Information System for Catastrophic Natural Disasters”, 2009 29th
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Lotonero, Mark, Irina Shklovski (2010). “Respectfully Yours in Safety and Service”:
Emergency Management &amp; Social Media Evangelism”, Proceedings of the 7th International
ISCRAM Conference – Seattle, USA, s.1-10.
Marincioni, Fausto (2007). “Information Technologies and the Sharing of Disaster
Knowledge: the Critical role of professional Culture”, Disasters, 31(4), s.459−476.
Mathew, Dolly (2005). “Information Technology and Public Health Management of
Disasters—A Model for South Asian Countries”, Prehospital and Disaster Medicine, 20(1),
s.54–60.
Meissner, Andreas, Thomas Luckenbach, Thomas Risse, Thomas Kirste, Holger Kirchner
(2002). “Design Challenges for an Integrated Disaster Management Communication and
Information System”, IEEE Workshop on Disaster Recovery Networks (DIREN 2002), New
York City.
Nurlu,
Murat
(2009).“TürkiyeAfetBilgiVeİletişimSistemi
(TABİS)BakanlıklararasıHaritaİşleriniKoordinasyonVePlanlamaKurulu
I.
Sempozyumuhttp://www.hgk.msb.gov.tr/bhikpk/sempozyum9.htm
Okay, Ayla (2002). “Halklaİlişkilerve İnternet”, İstanbul ÜniversitesiİletişimFakültesi
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�Dergisi, 1 (12), s. 535-547.
Onorati, Teresa, Alessio, Malizia, Paloma Diaz, Ignacio Adeo (2010). ”Interaction Design for
Web Emergency Management Information Systems”, Proceedings of the 7th International
ISCRAM Conference – Seattle, USA.
Reddy, Madhu C., Sharoda A. Paul, Joanna Abrahama, Michael McNeesea, Christopher
DeFlitchb, John Yena (2009). “Challenges To Effective Crisis Management: Using
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And Emergency Department Teams”, International Journal of Medical Informatics, 78,
s.259–269
Samarajiva, Rohan (2005). “Policy Commentary: Mobilizing Information and
Communications Technologies for Effective Disaster Warning: Lessons from the 2004
Tsunami”, New Media Society, 7, s. 731-747.
Seemaan, Bryan, Gloria Mark, Ban Al-Ani (2010). “ Developing Information Technologies
for Citizens Experiencing Disruption: The Role of Trust and Context”, Proceedings of the 7th
International ISCRAM Conference – Seattle, USA, May 2010, s.1-10.
Seeger, Matthew W., Timothy L. Sellnow, and Robert R. Ulmer (1998). “Communication,
Organization, and Crisis.”Communication Yearbook, 21, s. 231-275.
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Stephenson, Robin, Peter S. Anderson (1997). “Disasters and the InformationTechnology
Revolution”, Disasters, 21(4), s. 305-334.
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�Zhu, Jiang, FeiXiong, DongzhenPiao, Yun Liu, Ying Zhang (2011). “Statistically Modeling
the Effectiveness of Disaster Information in Social Media”, 2011 IEEE Global Humanitarian
Technology Conference, s. 431-436.

Does predefined erp implementation methodology work for public companies in
transitioning country?
Classification of EEG signals for epileptic seizure prediction using ANN
JasminKevric, AbdulhamitSubasi
International Burch University, Faculty of Engineering and Information Technologies,
FrancuskeRevolucije bb, Ilidža, Sarajevo, 71210, Bosnia and Herzegovina.
E-mails:jkevric@ibu.edu.ba, asubasi@ibu.edu.ba
Abstract
In this paper, we developed a model for classification of EEG signals. The aim of the study is
to determine whether this model can be used for epileptic seizure prediction if “pre-ictal”
stages were successfully detected. We analyzed long-term Freiburg EEG data. Each of 21
patients contains datasets called “ictal” (seizure) and “inter-ictal” (seizure-free). We extracted
4096-samples (or 16 seconds) long segments from both datasets of each patient. These
segments were decomposed into time-frequency representations using Discrete Wavelet
Transform (DWT). The statistical features from the DWT sub-bands of EEG segments were
calculated and fed as inputs to Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Radial Basis Function
(RBF) network classifiers using 10-fold cross validation. We also applied multiscale PCA
(MSPCA) de-noising method to determine if it can further enhance the classifiers’
performance. MLP-based approach outperformed RBF classifier with or without MSPCA,
which significantly improved the classification accuracy of both classifiers. The proposed
MLP-approach with MSPCAachieved a classification accuracy of 95.09%. We showed that a
high classification accuracy of EEG signals can be accomplished in cases when additional
“pre-ictal” class is introduced. Therefore, the proposed approach may become an efficient
tool to predict epileptic seizures from EEG recordings.
Keywords: Electroencephalogram (EEG); Epileptic seizure; Discrete Wavelet Transform
(DWT); Multilayer Perceptron (MLP); Radial Basis Function (RBF) network; Multiscale
PCA (MSPCA); Machine learning.
491

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                <text>Sustainable development is a concept that meets the needs of present without  compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. In recent years world  population suffered by numerous natural and manmade disasters so that they strived to protect their own existence prior to the future. However, most of the disasters were caused by  un-sustainable attitudes of politicians, decision makers and communities.  In this paper, the concept of disaster management and using information technologies  in disasters will be discussed in the sustainability context. The study focuses on the use of  information technologies in disaster situation. Information technologies are used in before  and after of disaster.  In this paper role and place of communication and communication technologies in  crisis and disaster situations is considered. This issue, crisis, disaster communication,  coordination of disaster situation examined using national and international literature and  experience of disaster occurred. In the study developments on the use of communication  technologies in disaster management, success of disaster information systems in disasters,  advantages and disadvantages of using communication technologies are examined.  Keywords: Sustainability, Crisis Management, Disaster Management, Communication  Technology, Public Administration.</text>
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                    <text>3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

The Analysis of Sustainability Development of Eastern and South Eastern Europe in the
Post Socialist Period
Fatih Çelebioğlu
Dumlupınar University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences,
Department of Economics, Kütahya, TURKEY,
fcelebi@dumlupinar.edu.tr
Phone: +90 274 265 20 31 (ext.2114-2200)

Fax: +90 274 265 21 97

Abstract
Since the collapse of socialism, Eastern Europe and South Eastern (Balkans) Europe countries
have been expeditiously changing as social, economic and politic structure. Some former socialist
countries (as Bulgaria, Slovenia, Slovakia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Romania) and Greece
became full member of European Union. Some Balkan countries (Serbia, Montenegro, Croatia,
Bosnia-Herzegovina, and Macedonia) lived difficult war years. After the wars, they have started
to struggle for economic, social and political reconstruction process. Some CIS (Commonwealth
of Independent States) countries (as Moldova, Ukraine and Belarus) tried to adapt market
economics. Each country in this region wants bigger real per capita income, better welfare level,
and generally become a developed country. But these countries have some political, economic
and social problems in development and sustainability process. The aim of this paper is to
analysis the countries in terms of development indicators such as per capita GDP growth rates,
Human Development Index values and Sustainable Human Development Index values in the
period of 2000-2010. It will be used the tools of spatial statistics (ESDA -Exploratory Spatial
Data Analysis).
Keywords: Sustainable Development, per capita GDP growth, Human Development Index,
Sustainable Human Development Index, ESDA (Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis)
1. INTRODUCTION
Eastern and South Eastern Europe are an important area because of witness historic and politic
experiences and incidents for ages. But it has been also living historical alteration in recent
decades. Although some Balkan countries were relatively stable in 1990s, there was war in
Balkan Peninsula. Some former socialist countries (as Bulgaria, Slovenia, Slovakia, Latvia,
Lithuania, Poland and Romania) and Greece became full member of European Union. The others
have been struggling for this aim. In spite of Kosovo declared of independence in 2008, many
countries haven’t been accepting this situation. Besides, CIS (Commonwealth of Independent
States) countries (as Moldova, Ukraine and Belarus) tried to adapt market economics.
Nevertheless these regions of Europe are living relatively stable condition nowadays, compare
477

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

with last ten years. Whole countries in these regions, especially gain independence in recent
decades, wants to become rapidly developed country.
After a long war and unstable political period, the countries have taken an opportunity about their
development process nowadays. These regions have been gaining stable structure overtime and
this stable period has been supporting development indicators. In this paper, Balkan countries are
being analyzed in terms of development indicators such as average rates of per capita GDP
growth in the period of 2000-2010, Human Development Index in 2010, and Sustainable Human
Development Index in 2010.
2. HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
DEVELOPMENT INDEX (SHDI)

INDEX

(HDI)

AND

SUSTAINABLE

HUMAN

UNDP calculates The Human Development Index (HDI). HDI includes some special data such as
life expectancy at birth, adult literacy rates, gross primary-secondary and tertiary enrolment, GDP
(gross domestic product) per capita (PPP - purchasing power parity- US$). HDI separates three
subgroup as developed (high development), developing (middle development), and
underdeveloped (low development) countries.
Africa, Middle East, South Asia and some South American countries have big problems in terms
of level of human development. Especially in Africa, the level of human development is lower
than other regions of the world.
Besides, The Sustainable Human Development Index (SHDI) was calculated by the Ministry of
Environment and Natural Resources of Sri Lanka in 2008. The new version of the index has been
revised in 2010. This index calculated with the contributions of United Nations University in
Tokyo, Japan. The index calculated by incorporating environmental aspects and quality of the life
such as carbon emission, bio capacity, ecological footprint and poverty to Human Development
Index (HDI) developed by UNDP to consider the sustainable human development aspects which
ignore in HDI. (environmentmin.gov.lk, April 12, 2012).
Acoording to Togtokh and Gaffney (April 15, 2012); by including carbon emissions in
recalculation of the HDI, it has gotten an indication of the cost of one country’s quality of life to
another’s. If a country has a very high HDI but also high carbon emissions, it can be said that the
high quality of life enjoyed by this nation comes at a price to the quality of life in other countries,
particularly developing nations, and to future generations. The index shows that, while the US is
vilified for its poor record on tackling emissions, Canada is a long way from being a role model.
Yet, with the traditional HDI, the UN is using such countries with very high human development
as examples to the rest of the world. Other nations attempting to emulate the success of these
particular countries in terms of human development look at the economic model and policies
adopted to bring about that success.
Sustainable Human Development Index (SHDI) has been calculating by using HDI and different
indexes as the following:
SHDI = ¼(HDI +Ecological Index-Climate Change Index +Poverty Index)

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3. DATA, METHODOLOGY AND FINDINGS
3.1. Data
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) per capita growth (annual %) data set comes from World
Development Online Database (WDI online) for 21 countries in the period of 2000-2010. Human
Development Index data (2010) has been prepared by UNDP (United Nations Development
Programme). Sustainable Human Development Index was calculated by Ministry of Environment
and Natural Resources of Sri Lanka in 2008. The last version of the index was published in
2010.
To analyze spatial relations between Eastern and South Eastern Europe countries, we use GeoDa
(Geographic Data Analysis) software package which conducts Spatial Data Analysis, geovisualization, spatial autocorrelation and spatial modeling78.
3.2. Methodology
3.2.1. Quartile Maps
Our analysis start with the quartile maps of the distribution of our variables for each country.
Darker colors explain higher values and lighter colors show lower values in quartile map in for
all variables.

Figure 1: Per capita GDP annual growth
rates in the period of 2000-2010

Figure 2: Human Development Index
Values (2010)

Figure 3: Sustainable Human
Development Index (SHDI) values in
2010
78 Here are some of the studies in this regard: Rey and Montouri (1999), Ying (2000), Manfred et al.
(2001), Le Gallo and Ertur (2003), Van Oort and Artezema (2004), Dall’erba (2005), Voss et al. (2006),
Ezcurra et al. (2007), Ezcurra et al. (2008), Battisti and Di Vaio (2008), Celebioglu and Dall’erba (2010).
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Figure 1 shows that per capita GDP growth rate is
especially high values in Albania, Bulgaria, Belarus,
Lithuania, Moldova, and Ukraine. On the contrary,
Macedonia, Greece, Turkey, Hungary, and Slovenia
have the lowest values in this analysis. Figure 2
displays distribution of each country. According to
figure 2, especially Greece, Czech Republic, Hungary,
Slovenia, Slovakia, and Estonia have the highest
Human
Development
Index
values.
Bosnia
Herzegovina, Macedonia, Turkey, Moldova, and
Ukraine have the lowest HDI figures. Figure 3 presents
Sustainable Human Development Index (SHDI)
values. In this figure, we can see only one difference
compare with Figure 2 in terms of highest values. While Estonia is one of the highest value
countries in HDI, there is Lithuania in SHDI in place of Estonia. We understand from quartile
maps that disparity is clear in this region. For this reason we start ESDA analysis with spatial
weight matrix.
3.2.2. Spatial Weight Matrix
A spatial weight matrix is the necessary tool to impose a neighborhood structure on a spatial
dataset. As usual in the spatial statistics literature, neighbors are defined by a binary relationship
(0 for non-neighbors, 1 for neighbors). Weight matrix calculation is performed under GeoDa. It
can be used two basic approaches for defining neighborhood: contiguity (shared borders) and
distance. Contiguity-based weights matrices include rook and queen. Areas are neighbors under
the rook criterion if they share a common border, not vertices. Distance-based weights matrices
include distance bands and k nearest neighbors. Based on these two concepts, we decided to
create weight matrices to investigate the distribution of our variables of interest: k_3 nearest
neighbor matrix. Due to space constraints, we present the k_3 nearest neighbor matrix only
below:
 w (k )  0 if i  j
 ij
*

 wij (k )  1 if dij  Di (k ) and wij (k )  wij (k ) /  wij (k ) for k  3
j

 w (k )  0 if d  D (k )
ij
i
 ij

(1)

where di,j is great circle distance between centroids of country i and j and Di(k) is the 3th order
smallest distance between regions i and j such that each region i has exactly 3 neighbors. Now
that the weight matrix has been defined, we estimate a couple of spatial statistics that will shed
some light on the spatial distribution of our variables. The most common of them is Moran’s I
which is a measure of global spatial autocorrelation (Anselin, 1988).
3.2.3. Calculation of Moran’s I for Global Spatial Autocorrelation
Spatial autocorrelation refers to the correlation of a variable with itself in space. It can be positive
(when high values correlate with high neighboring values or when low values correlate with low
neighboring values) or negative (spatial outliers for high-low or low-high values). Note that
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positive spatial autocorrelation can be associated with a small negative value (e.g., -0.01) since
the mean in finite samples is not centered on 1. Spatial autocorrelation analysis includes tests and
visualization of both global (test for clustering) and local (test for clusters) Moran’s I statistic
(Anselin et al. 2006).
Global spatial autocorrelation is a measure of overall clustering and it is measured here by
Moran's I. It captures the extent of overall clustering that exists in a dataset. It is assessed by
means of a test of a null hypothesis of random location. Rejection of this null hypothesis suggests
a spatial pattern or spatial structure, which provides more insights about a data distribution that
what a quartile map. For each variable, it measures the degree of linear association between its
value at one location and the spatially weighted average of neighboring values (Anselin et al.
2007; Anselin 1995) and is formulized as follows:
n

It 

n

*

 wij (k ) xit x jt
i 1 j 1
n n

(2)

xit x jt

i 1 j 1

&amp;
w
ij
Where
is the (row-standardized) degree of connection between the spatial units i and j and
Xi,j is the variable of interest in country i at year t (measured as a deviation from the mean value
for that year). Values of I larger (smaller) than the expected value E(I) = -1/(n-1) indicate positive
(negative) spatial autocorrelation. In our study, this value is (-0.050). There are different ways to
draw inference here. The approach we use is a permutation approach with 999 permutations. It
means that 999 re-sampled datasets were automatically created for which the I statistics are
computed. The value obtained for the actual dataset has then been compared to the empirical
distribution obtained from these re-sampled datasets.

The results of Moran’s I are presented in table 1 below. All the results indicate a positive spatial
autocorrelation, i.e. the value of a variable in one location depends positively on the value of the
same variable in neighboring locations. For instance, when the per capita income in one country
increases by 1%, the one of its neighbors increases by slightly more than 33%. All of our three
variables of interest are significant (at 1%) with the k_3 nearest neighbor matrix. For this reason,
this is the weight matrix we will use in the rest of our study.
Table: The results of Moran’s I for the nearest four neighbors
Variables
K_3
Per capita GDP (average values of 2000-2010) 0.3310
(0.010)
Human Development Index Values (2010)
0.2421
(0.029)
Sustainable Human Development Index Values 0.2672
(2010)
(0.027)
Note: p-values are into brackets
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3.2.4. Moran’s Scatterplots of Variables
The Moran scatter plot complements Moran’s I because it provides to categorize the nature of
spatial autocorrelation into four types: low-low (LL), low-high (LH), high-low (HL) and highhigh (HH). The x-axis captures the value of a variable compared to the average value of the
sample. For example, all the points on the right hand side of the figure mean (the vertical axis in
the middle) that in the corresponding provinces, the value of the variable under study was above
the sample’s average. On the other hand, the y-axis captures the average value of the same
variable in the neighboring locations (with the neighbors being defined by the weight matrix). For
instance, all the points below the mean (the horizontal axis in the middle of the figure) represent
provinces of which neighbors display, on average, a lower value than the sample’s mean.
The result of this approach is a figure with four windows which reflect the correlation between
the relative (to the mean) value of a variable in one location and the relative value of the same
variable in neighboring locations. For instance, the quadrant HH means a high value in the
studied area and a high value in the neighboring areas. Countries located in quadrants I and III
refer to positive spatial autocorrelation, i.e. the spatial clustering of similar values, whereas
quadrants II and IV represent negative spatial autocorrelation, i.e. the spatial clustering of
dissimilar values. Note also that the link between a scatter plot and Moran’s I is reflected by a
line of which slope is the value of Moran’s I statistic.
Figure 4: Moran’s Scatterplot for
average of per capita GDP growth in
the period of 2000-2010

Figure 5: Moran’s
Scatterplot for Human
Development Index in 2010

Figure. 6: Moran’s
Scatterplot for Sustainable
Human Development
Index in 2010

Figures 4 to 6 above show the Moran scatter plots of our variables of interest. All of the per
capita GDP, Human Development Index and Sustainable Human Development Index have
positive spatial autocorrelation that is reflected by the value of Moran’s I and the fact that most of
the countries are located in quadrants HH and LL.
When we look at the HH quadrant in scotterplot of per capita GDP growth, we see mostly
Eastern Europe such as Belarus, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Romania, and Ukraine. In
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�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

the contrary, the HH quadrant in scotterplot of HDI has been composed by Croatia, Czech Rep.,
Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania.
Besides, Czech Rep., Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania take part in HH
quadrant of SHDI.
3.2.5. LISA Statistics for Local Spatial Autocorrelation
LISA statistics (Local Indicators of Spatial Association) measure, by definition, the presence of
spatial autocorrelation for each of the location of our sample. It captures the presence or absence
of significant spatial clusters or outliers for each location. Combined with the classification into
four types defined in the Moran scatter plot above, LISA statistics indicates significant local
clusters (high–high or low–low) or local spatial outliers (high–low or low–high). The average of
the Local Moran statistics is proportional to the Global Moran's I value (Anselin 1995; Anselin et
al. 2007).
Anselin (1995) formulated the local Moran’s statistics for each country (I) and year (t) as follows:

 x 
I i   i   wij x j
 m0  j

with m0   xi2 / n

(3)

i

where wij is the elements of the row-standardized weights matrix W and xi(xj) is the observation
in country i(j). Their significance level is based on a randomization approach with 999
permutations of the neighboring provinces for each observation.
Figure 7: LISA Cluster Map of per
capita GDP growth (average of
2000-2010)

Figure 8: LISA Cluster Map of HDI
(2010)

The randomization approach is used in the context of a numeric permutation approach to describe
the computation of pseudo significance levels for global and local spatial autocorrelation
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�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

statistics. In order to determine how likely it would be to observe the actual spatial distribution at
hand, the actual values are randomly reshuffled over space 999 times.

Figure 9: LISA Cluster Map of
SHDI (2010)

Countries that are in HH area (red color) in Figure
7 are Belarus, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, and
Ukraine. HH type autocorrelation is very strong in
Eastern Europe. In Figure 8 is LISA cluster map of
HDI. This figure point out that Czech Republic,
Poland and Slovakia are in HH quadrant (red
color), Romania is in HL area (pink color) and
Ukraine is in LL area (blue). It is interesting that
although Ukraine is in HH quadrant of per capita
GDP growth, there is a different situation in the
figure. Though Figure 9 is similar to Figure 8,
Albania is in LL area of SHDI. But in LISA map
of SHDI, Ukraine was in HH type autocorrelation.

4. CONCLUSIONS
The aim of this paper is to analysis spatial distribution of development indicators such as per
capita GDP growth rates, Human Development Index values and Sustainable Human
Development Index values in the period of 2000-2010. For this purpose we use quartile maps,
Moran’s Scotterplots and LISA (Local Indicators of Spatial Association) statistics.
We investigate spatial distribution of per capita GDP growth in the period of 2000-2010, Human
Development Index (2010) and Sustainable Human Development Index (2010). First of all, our
quartile maps show that there is an important development level gap between countries of
Europe. Secondly, when we estimate spatial autocorrelation by means of Moran’s I, our results
indicate positive (and significant) global autocorrelation for all of our variables and thus
indicating the geographical location of a country influences its level of per capita GDP growth
rate, Human Development Index and Sustainable Human Development Index.
Secondly, these results are corroborated by the corresponding Moran’s Scatterplots that display
the HH quadrant in scotterplot of per capita GDP growth includes mostly Eastern Europe such as
Belarus, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Romania, and Ukraine. In the contrary, the HH
quadrant in scotterplot of HDI has been composed by Croatia, Czech Rep., Poland, Slovakia,
Slovenia, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Besides, Czech Rep., Poland, Slovakia, Slovenia,
Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania take part in HH quadrant of SHDI.
Thirdly, LISA statistics confirm the significant presence of local spatial autocorrelation and
highlight spatial heterogeneity in the form of two distinct spatial clusters of high and low values
484

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

of per capita GDP growth rate, Human Development Index and Sustainable Human Development
Index.
And finally, we can say that there is an important spatial heterogeneity and spatial disparity in
terms of our all variables. But the countries in the east part of Europe are divided two groups in
the region. Firstly, swiftly growing countries in terms of per capita GDP growth rate and
secondly, countries that has high level of SHDI –HDI. For this reason, we can say that swiftly
growing countries in terms of per capita GDP growth rate should be developed also in terms of
human development.
REFERENCES
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Dordrecht.
ANSELIN, L. (1995) Local Indicator of Spatial Association – LISA. Geographical Analysis 27,
pp.93–115
ANSELIN, L., Sridharan S and Gholston S (2007) “Using Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis to
Leverage Social Indicator Databases: The Discovery of Interesting Patterns”, Social Indicators
Research, 82, pp.287–309.
ANSELIN, L., Syabri I. and Kho Y. (2006) GeoDa: An Introduction to Spatial Data Analysis.
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Battisti M. and Di Vaio G. (2008) A Spatially Filtered Mixture of β-Convergence Regressions for
EU Regions, 1980–2002, Empirical Economics. 34, 105–121.
Celebioglu F. and Dall’erba S. (2010) Spatial Disparities across the Regions of Turkey: An
Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis, The Annals of Regional Science, 45, 2, 379-400.
Dall’erba S. (2005) Distribution of Regional Income and Regional Funds in Europe 1989–1999:
An Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis, The Annals of Regional Science, 39, 121-148
Ezcuerra R., Iraizoz B., Pascual P. and Rapún M (2008) Spatial Disparities in the European
Agriculture: A Regional Analysis, Applied Economics, Volume 40, Number 13, July 2008 , pp.
1669-1684(16)
Ezcuerra R., Pascual P. and Rapún M. (2007) Spatial Disparities in the European Union: An
Analysis of Regional Polarization, The Annals of Regional Science, 41, 401–429.
http://www.environmentmin.gov.lk/web/index.php?option=com_content&amp;view=article&amp;id=104
&amp;Itemid=275&amp;lang=en, April 12, 2012.
Le Gallo J. and Ertur C. (2003) Exploratory spatial data analysis of the distribution of regional
per capita GDP in Europe, 1980–1995, Papers in Regional Science, 82, 2, 175-201.
Manfred F.M., Fröhlich J., Gassler H. and Varga A. (2001) The Role Of Space in The Creation of
New Technological Knowledge in Austria: An Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis, In: Manfred
F.M. and Fröhlich J. (Eds.), Knowledge, Complexity and Innovation Systems, Springer, Berlin,
124-145.
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Rey S.J., Montouri B.D. (1999) US Regional Income Convergence: A Spatial Econometric
Perspective, Regional Studies, 33, 143–156.
Togtokh C. and Gaffney O.,
development-index/, April 15, 2012.

http://ourworld.unu.edu/en/the-2010-human-sustainable-

Van Oort F.G. and Atzema O.A.L.C. (2004) On The Conceptualization of Agglomeration
Economies: The Case of New Firm Formation in the Dutch ICT Sector, The Annals of Regional
Science, 38, 263–290.
Voss P.R., Long D.D., Hammer R.B. and Friedman S. (2006) County Child Poverty Rates in the
US: A Spatial Regression Approach, Population Research and Policy Review, 25, 369–391.
WDI Online Database, http://databank.worldbank.org/ddp/home.do?Step=12&amp;id=4&amp;CNO=2
www.undp.org
Ying L.G. (2000) Measuring the Spillover Effects: Some Chinese Evidence, Papers in Regional
Science, 79, 75–89.

The Factors Determined To The Improvement In The Least Developed And Developing
Countries: Testing A Model
Gözde Ergin, Adil Oğuzhan
Trakya University, Department of Econometrics.

Abstract
Finding the different ways of the improvement as a multidimensional process causes
different improvement ways in all countries in the world. The economic improvement that cause
a structural changing is very important in all economies all over the world and it is necessary for
the least developed countries at the same time. These countries have solved the phenomena of
poverty, unemployment, low life standards and unimproved. The differentiation in the sociocultural structures of the least developed and developing countries effect the improvement in a
positive way.
In the study, the socio-economic factors of improvement and a classification according to
the gross national product levels per person in the least developed and developing countries have
been done by taking the definition accepted by World Bank into consideration. There are fifteen
countries in the classification of the least developed and developing countries. The data of thirtythree factors in the comparison of these countries have been obtained from the data source of
World Bank, OECD, EUROSTAT and UN (2000 – 2009).
486

�</text>
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                <text>The Analysis of Sustainability Development of Eastern and South Eastern Europe in the  Post Socialist Period</text>
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                <text>Since the collapse of socialism, Eastern Europe and South Eastern (Balkans) Europe countries  have been expeditiously changing as social, economic and politic structure. Some former socialist  countries (as Bulgaria, Slovenia, Slovakia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Romania) and Greece  became full member of European Union. Some Balkan countries (Serbia, Montenegro, Croatia,  Bosnia-Herzegovina, and Macedonia) lived difficult war years. After the wars, they have started  to struggle for economic, social and political reconstruction process. Some CIS (Commonwealth  of Independent States) countries (as Moldova, Ukraine and Belarus) tried to adapt market  economics. Each country in this region wants bigger real per capita income, better welfare level,  and generally become a developed country. But these countries have some political, economic  and social problems in development and sustainability process. The aim of this paper is to  analysis the countries in terms of development indicators such as per capita GDP growth rates,  Human Development Index values and Sustainable Human Development Index values in the  period of 2000-2010. It will be used the tools of spatial statistics (ESDA -Exploratory Spatial  Data Analysis).  Keywords: Sustainable Development, per capita GDP growth, Human Development Index,  Sustainable Human Development Index, ESDA (Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis)</text>
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                    <text>3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

Importance of carrying capacity for sustainable trout culture: the case of “bagci balik”
Fatih Güleç1, Yusuf Güner1, Tolga Şahin2
1Ege Üniversitesi, Su Ürünleri Fakültesi, 35080 İzmir
2Çanakkale Onsekiz Mart Üniversitesi, Su Ürünleri Fakültesi, 17100 Çanakkale
Abstract
Trout is a fish species that is produced widely all over the world and it has an important place
in the aquaculture industry. For the sustainable development of the trout culture, it is need to
determine how much fish can be stocked per unit volume (carrying capacity). Over-stocking
could threaten fish welfare and sustainable use of environmental resources. Estimating of
carrying capacity is necessary both to minimize these adverse impacts on fish and
environment, and in terms of sustainable use of water resources. In this study, carrying
capacity of a commercial land based trout farm in Koycegiz (Mugla/TURKEY) was
investigated. Two methods were used to calculate carrying capacity and compared with each
other: “Oxygen requirement based carrying capacity” and “Metabolic waste based carrying
capacity”. The mean values of studied water quality parameters that used in calculations were
measured as; 14.12 ± 0.72 °C for temperature, 7.78 ±0.20 for pH, 10.1 ± 0.93 mg/l for
oxygen, 3,05 ± 0,84 m3 s-1 for flow rate. The annual production capacity was calculated
with these measured parameters. By the observed data, the carrying capacities of the farm
were found respectively with based on oxygen requirement as 538.42 ± 196.22 tonnes; and
based on metabolic waste as 1113.4 ± 463.7 tonnes per years. According to the results that
obtained from the study, there was significant difference between two carrying capacity
estimation methods. However when the oxygen levels of the water were examined, in some
months the negative values, that could adversely affect the life and growth of the trouts, were
observed. Fort this reason, to reduce the limiting effect of the oxygen and reach maximum
carrying capacity; it is needed to be integrated oxygenation or aeration systems into the
production ponds. On the other hand, for the sustainable use of the environmental sources in
the facilities engaged in production according to the metabolic waste based carrying capacity,
it is important to use advanced water filtration systems.
Keywords: Carrying capacity, land-based trout culture, water quality.
1.INTRODUCTION
Aquaculture is a farming method of aquatic animals and plants for nutrition, stocks
enrichment, making ornaments, hobby activities, and for scientific studies in a controlled or
semi-controlled manner, by human (Çelikkale, et al., 1999). Today, it is a rapidly growing
industry especially in terms of animal food. The combined result of development in
aquaculture worldwide and the expansion in global population is that the average annual per
capita supply of food fish from aquaculture for human consumption has increased by ten
times, from 0.7 kg in 1970 to 7.8 kg in 2008, at an average rate of 6.6 percent per year(FAO,
2010). According to data obtained from the FAO, in 2010, total global aquaculture
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�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

production (quantity) is 73 million tonnes. The value of the world aquaculture harvest,
excluding aquatic plants, is estimated at US$110.1 billion in 2009 (FAO, 2010). Turkey’s
total fisheries production is 653 thousand tons and 167 thousand tons of total production
comes from aquaculture. More than half of the amount of aquaculture (51%) is due to the
trout culture, and the value of production is around US$ 207 million (TUIK, 2010).
Sustainability has great importance for the aquculture industry as in all sectors. At this point,
the condition of the water is one of the vital criteria for aquaculture enterprises that are at the
top level of the production cycle. Aquaculture can be made depending on the the physical,
chemical and biological properties of water. These criteria should be in optimum standards
fort he sustainable aquaculture. Rate of flow and quality of incoming water are the first
parameters to be dealt with in establishing suitable living conditions for fish. (Penneli and
Mclean, 1996). Because, the water that is used for aquaculture, both brings oxygen to the
aquaculture environment and also provides removal of the accumulated wastes (Balık, et al.,
2002). On the other hand, estimating the carrying capacity of the farm, is an important criteria
to be considered. Carrying capacity is usually expressed in terms of quantity of fish per unit of
water flow (loading rate) or per cubic meter of rearing space (density) (Hinshaw, 2000).
Carrying capacity has an important influence on the success of aquaculture operations. The
appropriate stocking level is ascertained in carrying capacity studies (Frechette, 2005). Many
studies have demonstrated an effect of stocking density on various aspects of the welfare of
farmed fish (Wedemeyer, 1997). In intensive aquaculture fishes are usually reared at high
densities, which has led to concerns about welfare of the fish, so there is a need for the
development of reliable stocking density guidelines (Adams, et al., 2007; Ashley, 2007; Ellis,
et al., 2002; Huntingford, et al., 2006). Several causative mechanisms have been proposed to
explain why high densities negatively affect growth and feed utilization. The biochemical,
behavioural, and physiological changes induced by high stress levels are presumed to be
energetically costly, affecting the amount of energy available for growth (Barton and Iwama,
1991; Pickering, 1992; Vijayan and Leatherland, 1998; Wendelaar, 1997). High rearing
density in itself may further reduce access to feed, thereby reducing feed intake and directly
affecting growth (Alanara and Brannas, 1996; Boujard et al., 2002; Marchand and Boisclair,
1998). Incorrect Carrying capacity aplications both affect negatively to fish welfare and cause
environmental issues. This is the biggest obstacle in front of the goal of sustainable
aquaculture. Therefore, it is necessary to estimate the carrying capacity so good to reflect the
facts.
In this study, carrying capacity of a commercial land based trout farm in Koycegiz
(Mugla/TURKEY) was investigated. For the sustainable use of Yuvarlak Çay, the optimum
capacity and the maximum capacity had been calculated with both formulas.
2.Materials and methods
2.1.Experimental area
The study was conducted in a commercial trout farm that was located on Yuvarlakçay Stream
in Fethiye/Koycegiz. The commercial farm aimed to produce 900 tons trout per year in its
project. For the sustainable trout farming on this stream continuously, optimum and maximum
amount of fish, that could be stocked in the farm, was estimated.

65

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

2.2.Fish material
The farmed fish species in the trout enterprise, was rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss)
(Walbaum, 1792), and the production period that was used in the farm, from egg to market
size.
Method
A number of different formulas have been devised to calculate carrying capacities, taking into
account oxygen consumption, growth rate of fish, feeding rates, water volume and
temperature, and other factors. Dissolved oxygen and ammonia (un-ionized) concentrations
are the primary limiting factors in the culture systems, with oxygen normally the more critical
(Hinshaw, 2000). Therefore carrying capacity (stock density) of the fish farms, can be
estimated with the amount of oxygen consumed by fish or methabolic wastes of the fish. To
be able to make this calculation, it is important to know amount of the feed given to fish.
Because, the single artificial input is the feed to the fish that grown in the farm and to the
natural environment (Balık, et al., 2002). In the calculations; two criteria are taken into
consideration: The oxygen rate that fish need to metabolize the feed and the amount of
ammonia released by digestion of feed the environment. In this study the approach of
Brannon, (1991), calculating carrying capacity of trout farming with oxygen and metabolic
wastes based methods.
2.3.Oxygen-Based Carrying Capacity Estimation
The optimum carrying capacity according to water flow rate and the dissolved oxygen in the
water was calculated by the following formula:
N = (0,25) / ( 0,00143 x Of)
p=R/N
*N

: L /min required/kg of fish feed

*0,25

: kg O2 to metabolize 1 kg of fish feed

*0,00143

: conversion constant

*Of

: inlet oxygen minus outflow oxygen (Oa - Ob)

*p

: kg of food fed

*R

: total rate of flow in L / min.

Mechabolic waste-Based Carrying capacity Estimation
The maximum amount of fish that could be produced by increasing the amount of oxygen in
the water, was calculated with this method.

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�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

Table 1. NH3 percentage of Total Ammonia Relationship to pH and Temperature
Temp
(°C)

pH
6.0

6.5

7.0

7.5

8.0

8.5

4

0.01

0.03

0.12

0.37

1.10

3.39

8

0.02

0.05

0.16

0.50

1.58

4.82

12

0.02

0.07

0.21

0.68

2.12

6.40

16

0.03

0.09

0.29

0.92

2.86

8.52

20

0.04

0.13

0.40

1.24

3.83

11.18

N = (0,032 x r) / (0,00143 x 0,02)
p =R/N
*N

: L / min. required/kg of food fed

*0,032

: kg NH3 + NH4+ produced/kg of food fed

*r
: % NH3 of total ammonia present (Table 1. NH3 percentage of Total
Ammonia Relationship to pH and Temperature(Brannon, 1991).
*0,00143

: conversion constant

*0,02

: ppm max. NH3

*p

: kg of food fed

*R

: total rate of flow in L/min

To use in the calculations, temperature(°C), flow rate (L/s), oxygen (mg/L) and the other
chemical water parameters were measured regularly every month.
Table 2. Monthly measured water parameters used in the calculations
Parameters

Ma
y

Jun
e

July Aug
.

Sep
.

Oct. Nov
.

Dec
.

Jan.

Feb
.

Mar
.

Apr
.

Flow Rate 2,88 2,38 2,3
(m3/s)
4

1,94

1,9
8

2,7
4

2,91

3,09

4,1
3

4,0
9

4,05

4,04

Temperatur
e (°C)

14,3

14,
5

14

13,7

13,5

12,
5

13,
7

14,2

14,2

67

14,7 15,3 14,
8

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

pH

8,1

NH3 (%)

7,9

8,1

7,6

7,4

7,6

7,8

7,8

7,7

7,8

7,8

7,8

3,20 2,09 3,2
3

0,98

0,6
5

0,9
8

1,49

1,55

1,1
5

1,5
5

1,94

1,94

Oxygen
(mg/l)

9,3

9,3

8,9

9,9

10,
0

11,
7

10,3

10,4

11,
0

9,5

9,3

11,6

Oxygen
(mg/l)

4,0

4,2

5,7

5,12

3,8
5

4,9
7

4,97

6,35

8,0
1

6,3

6,51

7,77

(discharged
from ponds)

3.Results and Discussion
3.1.Carrying Capacity
According to “Oxygen-Based Carrying Capacity Estimation” method, it was calculated
between May to April with the varying flow rate in the ongrowing ponds, respectively; 212.5
, 175.6 , 156.6 , 163.1 , 169.8, 315.0 , 264.7 , 295.3 , 406.0, 315.8 , 298.8 , 457.7 tons trout
could be farmed in the months (Table 3. The total amount of fish produced by month (tons)
The sample enterprise could make two production in a year. When the carrying capacity was
calculated; 198,77± 24,58 tons trout could be farmed in the one production period and in the
second period; 339,72 ± 30,64 tons. It was estimated that totally 538,49±55,22 tons of trout
could be produced per year.
According to the calculation of “Mechabolic waste-Based Carrying Capacity Estimation”
method, that is taken into consideration the percentage of toxic NH3 in the total ammonia;
respectively; 241.3, 305.3, 194.2, 529.5, 816.8, 747.9, 520.5, 534.6, 966.3, 707.6, 559.1,
557.7 tons fish could be farmed (Table 3. The total amount of fish produced by month (tons).
472,50 ± 109,01 tons trout could be farmed in the one production period and 640,97 ± 70,65
tons in the second period. It was estimated that totally 1113,47 ± 179,98 tons of trout could
be produced per year.
Table 3. The total amount of fish produced by month (tons)
May June July
Capacity
(tonnes/ye
ar)

68

Aug
.

Sep.

Oct.

Nov
.

Dec. Jan.

Feb.

Mar
.

Apr.

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

Based on 212,
oxygen
5

175,
6

156,
6

163,
1

169,
8

315

264,
7

295,
3

406

315,
8

298,
8

457,
7

Based on 241,
ammonia
3

305,
3

194,
2

529,
5

816,
8

747,
9

520,
5

534,
6

966,
3

707,
6

559,
1

557,
7

Figure 1. Estimated carrying capacities calculated with oxygen based and ammonia based
methods between May to April.
4.CONCLUSION
One of the most important issues is to measure water properties. While doing this the physical
and chemical parameters should be known. Beveridge (2004), previously reported that any
increase in temperature affected the metabolism, oxygen consumption and also increased
activity of fish. Optimal on-growing temperature level was reported between 10-15 °C by
Sedgwick, (1985) , and in addition to this between 12-18 °C by Çelikkale, (1988). In this
study, the water temperature ranged between 12,5-15,3 °C and the average temperature level
in the ponds was 14,12 ± 0,21 °C (Table 2). The temperature level did not adversely affect the
development of the fish.
Çelikkale, 1988 reported that 100 – 150 kg rainbow trout could be farmed with 1 L.s-1 . In
this study the avarage flow rate was measured 3.05 ± 0.24 m3.s-1. Additionally, water flow
rate was reduced during the experimental period due to very low rainfall in that season.
The dissolved oxygen (DO) level in the water is another important criteria in the estimating of
carrying capacity of the trout farm. Çelikkale, (1988); Edwards, (1987); and Stevenson,
(1984); reported that the DO level had to be more than 6 mg.L-1 for the rainbow trout
farming. The levels of DO varied between 8,9 and 11.7 mg.L-1 at farm inlet during the study
and the lowest DO at the pond outlet was observed in September (3.85 mg.L-1) (Table 2).
69

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

This value was found to be below the limit of DO concentration for rainbow trout farming (5
mg.L-1) as recommended by Belaud, (1995). Additional oxygenation systems were used to
solve lower DO problem, in the farm.
The present study showed that carrying capacity (stock density) of a trout farm was related
with water parameters. Although, the presence of suitable water temperature for trout farming,
the water parameters limited production. In the first method, oxygen was the significant
limited parameters for carrying capacity. Especially between May and September, the oxygen
levels decreased due to reduced water flow and as a result of this, amounts of the production
in those months were minimum. Although this farm was allowed to produce 900 tons of trout,
maximum 538,49±55,22 tons of rainbow trout could be farmed due to the low oxygene levels.
The problem of low oxygen levels for carrying capacity can be solved with by adding
alternative oxygenation systems. Aerators were used in this farm but it was observed that the
aerators were not sufficient and suitable capacity. Toxicity of total ammonia in water, was the
most important parameter that limiting carrying capacity. By using additional oxygenation
systems, the carrying capacities were increased between May and September. But maximum
carrying capacity was determinated by using the second method. By using the second
calculation method, the maximum production and carrying capacity was observed 1113,47 ±
179,98 tons per year.
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70

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Buhan, E., Koçer, M., Polat, F., Dogan, H., Dirim, S., and Neary, E. T. (2010) Evaluation of
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Wendelaar, B. S. (1997) The stress response in fish. Physiological Reviews, pp. 591-625.
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Photon Systems Instruments (2011) FluorCam Instruction Manual, http://www.psi.cz

The Effect Of Water Temperature On Spawning Out Of Season In Rainbow Trout,
Oncorhynchus Mykiss
Yusuf Güner1, Halit Bayrak2, Fatih Güleç1
1Ege Üniversitesi, Su Ürünleri Fakültesi, 35080 İzmir
2SuleymanDemirel University, Mehmet Süreyya Demiraslan M.Y.O, 32510 Isparta
Abstract
Salmonid culture is a production sector with widespread throughout the world. Different
stocks of rainbow trout spawn in certain months of the year in hatcheries. This seasonality of
spawning imposes considerable constraints on trout farming because the consequent
restrictions on the supply of eggs and fry make it difficult for on-growing farm to maintain a
continuity of production of table-size fish throughout the year. Hatcheries should artificially
control the spawning time of their broodfish so that batches of eggs and fry might be
produced all year round. The modification of spawning time are possible using manipulation
of photoperiod. This series of studies were carried out in order to identify the effects of
varying water temperature on the ovulation of rainbow trout be exposed to photoperiodic
manipulation. This study was carried out in two different facilities. In the first facility, the
photoperiod regime was only consisted of constant short days (LD 6:18). The water
temperature had been changed between 7.5 and 15 °C during the the experiment in this
facility. In the second facility, it had been changed between 11 – 25.5 °C. The broodstock was
seperated into two different group. These photoperioded regims consist of constant short
days(LD 6:18) and altered photoperiod (LD 18:6 from February until May, then LD 12:12
from May until June, then LD 6:18 from June until November) which are acted to advanced
spawning. In both experiments, photoperiod regimes changed the maturation time regardless
of water temperature. However, when the water temperature is high, modulating effects of the
temperature on the maturation and ovulation time were observed. When the spawning time
modified to June – August, ovary growth and egg survival rate had been reduced by the
temperature effect ( &gt;14 °C). It was found that the egg quality decreased when the water
temperature was 17 °C although the eggs could been removed from the fish. Based on the
72

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                <text>Trout is a fish species that is produced widely all over the world and it has an important place  in the aquaculture industry. For the sustainable development of the trout culture, it is need to  determine how much fish can be stocked per unit volume (carrying capacity). Over-stocking  could threaten fish welfare and sustainable use of environmental resources. Estimating of  carrying capacity is necessary both to minimize these adverse impacts on fish and  environment, and in terms of sustainable use of water resources. In this study, carrying  capacity of a commercial land based trout farm in Koycegiz (Mugla/TURKEY) was  investigated. Two methods were used to calculate carrying capacity and compared with each  other: “Oxygen requirement based carrying capacity” and “Metabolic waste based carrying  capacity”. The mean values of studied water quality parameters that used in calculations were  measured as; 14.12 ± 0.72 °C for temperature, 7.78 ±0.20 for pH, 10.1 ± 0.93 mg/l for  oxygen, 3,05 ± 0,84 m3 s-1 for flow rate. The annual production capacity was calculated  with these measured parameters. By the observed data, the carrying capacities of the farm  were found respectively with based on oxygen requirement as 538.42 ± 196.22 tonnes; and  based on metabolic waste as 1113.4 ± 463.7 tonnes per years. According to the results that  obtained from the study, there was significant difference between two carrying capacity  estimation methods. However when the oxygen levels of the water were examined, in some  months the negative values, that could adversely affect the life and growth of the trouts, were  observed. Fort this reason, to reduce the limiting effect of the oxygen and reach maximum  carrying capacity; it is needed to be integrated oxygenation or aeration systems into the  production ponds. On the other hand, for the sustainable use of the environmental sources in  the facilities engaged in production according to the metabolic waste based carrying capacity,  it is important to use advanced water filtration systems.  Keywords: Carrying capacity, land-based trout culture, water quality.</text>
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                    <text>3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

Physiological characterization of dunaliella sp. (chlorophyta, volvocales) from çamalti
saltworks (izmir-turkey)
Fatih Aksoy 1 Edis Koru2
1Katip Çelebi University Fisheries Faculty Dept. of Aquaculture, Çiğli,35620, İzmir,Turkey
2Ege University Fisheries Faculty Dept. of Aquaculture Bornova,35100, İzmir,Turkey
E-mail: fatih.aksoy@ikc.edu.tr
Abstract
Dunaliella (Cyanophyceae) microalgea is a species used for feeding live baits that are used in
larval fish production. Dunaliella species are intensively cultivated in algal biotechnology.
Because of the nutritional value and chemicals this microalgea contains, it is commonly used
in industries such as pharmacy, cosmetics and bait industry. From this point of view, it can be
said that this algea species has high economic value. It can be found in areas between ‰ 10
and ‰ 200 salinity content rate. In Turkey this species can be found in salinas near coasts and
salty-soft drink lakes. In this research, Dunaliella sp. species which is in Turkey’s
biggestmarine based saltworks “İzmir Çamaltı Saltworks” ecosystem isolated and cultivation
in controlled circumstances determined. As a part of this research, physicochemical
parameters such as optimum light, saltiness, density, biomass and pigment determined.
Keywords : Dunaliella sp., saltworks, microalgea, Çamaltı, Izmir, Turkey.
1.INTRODUCTION
Microalgae produce biomass and specific biomass in gredients from solar irradiation at high
degrees so that it is possible to produce economically feasible materials by microalgae.
The genus Dunaliella are wall-less eukoryatic algae and found in saline environments. They
are flagellate and consist of 23 species. They exhibit ideal growth at various salt
concentrations. In those conditions, their colours become orange-red (Massyuk, 1973).
Dunaliella belongs to the phylum Chlorophyta and family Polyblepharidaceae. It is
halotolerant and green (Avron and Ben-Amotz 1992; Garcia et al., 2007). It can live in
aquatic condition between 0,5-5 M NaCI salinities (Shariati &amp; Hadi, 2000, Phadwal &amp; Singh,
2003; Jahnke &amp; White, 2003). Dunaliella species produce some chemicals such as caretonids
(Hosseini Tafreshi &amp; Shariati, 2006; Hadi et al., 2008), glycerol (Hadi et al., 2008), vitamins
and proteins (Ghoshal et al., 2002) tough conditions (Hosseini Tafreshi &amp; Shariati, 2006;
Hadi et al., 2008). The reason how it can adapt in various salt concentrations is that it can
change the intracellular concentration of glycerol (Raja et al., 2007). People use glycerol in
automotive, leather, pharmaceutical, paint, cosmetic, food, pulp and paper, textile industries
and in the manufacture of microbial fermentation or it can be synthesized from petrochemical
raw materials. It can also be produced from soap manufacture of fats the amount of glycerol
produced in the world is 600,000 t/year (Wang et al., 2001; Taherzadeh et al., 2002).
Dunaliella species are consireded to be the most known microalgae in the autotrophic
production of glycerol (Borowitzka and Borowitzka, 1992). Dunaliella sp. are known as the
most halotolerant eukoryatic livings and they can adapt even to low salt saturated conditions
113

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

such as 0.2%.On the other hand , it is the only eukoryatic photosynthetic organism found in
extremely concentrated saline lakes (Ben-Amotz and Avron, 1990).
Dunaliella salina, D. viridisare mostly found microalgae species in salty conditions (Davis,
1990). D. salina accumulates high amounts of β-caroten when there is a lack of nitrogen
sources or in high salinities and in high levels of irridance. β-caroten is a pigment and it is
added to health food products and is used as a food coloring agent (anti-cancer and
antioxidant agent) (Ben-Amotz and Avron, 1990).
2.MATERIALS AND METHODS
Dunaliella spp. were isolated from the Çamaltı solar saltworks and cultivated (Izmir, Turkey).
The Çamaltı Saltwork is the largest one in Turkey. It is in Izmir City which experiences
marine conditions. Its coordinates are 38°28’N and 26°50’E near the Izmir Bay. The reservoir
initial in the saltworks is found approximately in 2-3 inches depth of water. The density of
water is about 3 oBe – 5 oBe in November-May. Then, The water is pumped from the sea and
the salinity increases by 6-8 oBe. After that the density goes on increasing up to 22–24 oBe.
During this process micro algae appear and exhibit different colors. At higher concentrations
micro algae collapse. The temperature varied between 6-7°C (December), 4-5°C (February),
20-22 °C (April) to 28-30 °C (June), 38-40 °C (August) throughout the year.
We used single-cell isolation by micropipette.Dunaliella sp. were incubated and stored
without any process during two month. Then 1L flaks were incubated and reproduced. And
then different salinities determined growth parameters. Dunaliella sp. strain was cultivated at
four NaCI concentration (‰40,‰100) in 1L flaks. Laboratory’s temperature was 24±1 °C,
and lights were 1200 lux. Experiments were observed for 20 days. We used f/2 medium for
experiments.
Tablo 1. f/2 Medium (Guillard and Ryther 1962)
Component

Stock Solution

Quantity

Molar Concentration
in Final Medium

NaNO3

75 g/L dH2O

1 mL

8.82 x 10-4 M

NaH2PO4 H2O

5 g/L dH2O

1 mL

3.62 x 10-5 M

Na2SiO3 9H2O

30 g/L dH2O

1 mL

1.06 x 10-4 M

trace metal solution

1 mL

…..

vitamin solution

0,5 mL

…..

f/2 Trace Metal Solution
Component

114

Primary
Solution

Stock Quantity

Molar Concentration
in Final Medium

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

FeCl3 6H2O

....

3.15 g

1.17 x 10-5 M

Na2EDTA 2H2O

….

4.36 g

1.17 x 10-5 M

CuSO4 5H2O

9.8 g/L dH2O

1 mL

3.93 x 10-8 M

Na2MoO4 2H2O

6.3 g/L dH2O

1 mL

2.60 x 10-8 M

ZnSO4 7H2O

22.0 g/L dH2O

1 mL

7.65 x 10-8 M

CoCl2 6H2O

10.0 g/L dH2O

1 mL

4.20 x 10-8 M

MnCl2 4H2O

180.0 g/L dH2O

1 mL

9.10 x 10-7 M

f/2 Vitamin Solution
Component
thiamine
(vit.B1)

Primary
Solution
HCl ….

Stock Quantity

Molar Concentration
in Final Medium

200 mg

2.96 x 10-7 M

biotin (vit. H)

0.1 g/L dH2O

10 mL

2.05 x 10-9 M

cyanocobalamin
(vit.B12)

1.0 g/L dH2O

1 mL

3.69 x 10-10 M

For the extraction of chlorophlly-a, 5 ml of cultures incubated was taken daily from each
flask. Absorbance measurements were made by using a spectrophotometer. Algal growth was
monitored by counting number of cells in a counting chamber (Thoma Counting chamber).
3.RESULTS
Growth of Dunaliella sp. Çamaltı strain at different salinities is shown in Fig. 1. Maximum
cell density for Dunaliella sp. was obtained in 100 ‰ salinity and the lowest concentration
was found in 40 ‰ salinity.
Salinity clearly affected the cell density in Dunaliella sp. The optimum salinity for growth of
Dunaliella sp. strain was around 100 ‰ salinity.
A high salinity (100‰) was establisment chlorophlly-a (621,3 pg cell/1), a low salinity (40‰)
(347,1pg cell/1). (Fig.2)

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Cell density(x106 mL/1)

1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0

40 ‰
100 ‰

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Cultivation time (day)

Fig. 1: Increase in cell density under the conditions of different salinities and 25 °C
temperatures
700
Chl a (pg cell/1

600
500
400
300

40 ‰

200

100 ‰

100
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Cultivation time(day)

Fig. 2: Maximum chlorophyll-a concentration per cell in Dunaliella sp. grown at different
salinities

Optic density (680nm)

Optical density was directly proportional the density of the cell. It is shown that a high optical
density observed at high salinity. Increasing salinity caused optic density to increase (Fig. 3)
0.5
0.45
0.4
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0

40 ‰
100 ‰

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Time (day)

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Fig. 3: The optical density of different salinities
At 40 ppt, culture had reached the logarithmic and stationary growth phase on day 3rd and
6th, respectively. On day 20, culture collapsed at 40 ppt. At 100 ppt, culture had reached the
logarithmic and stationary growth phase on day 5th and 9th. The highest physiological
development in Duneliella sp. was obtained at 100 ppt.
4.DISCUSSION
The Dunaliella species isolated from the solar saltworks on the Çamaltı Izmir differed
in their capacity for growth and physiological acclimation to varying culture conditions. In
the present study, the effect of salinity intensity, cell intensity, optic density, chlorophlly-a, on
growth of Dunaliella sp. Çamaltı strain was determined. It has been observed to grow
optimum at salinity around 100 ‰.
Gibor (1956), Jimenez and Niell (1990) reported that the optimum temperature for the growth
of Dunaliella viridis was around 30°C. Ak (2008) reported that the highest growth of D.
viridis of Çamaltı saltworks was found 25°C. Our study shown that the temperature was 25°C
the high salinity the best growing.
InthestudyheldbyDurmazet al in theyear of 2006, theyisolatedDunaliellasalinathecellsfrom
Konya
Salt
Lake
bythemethod
of
dilution.
Theymonitoredtheirgrowth
in
differentsalinities(0.62M, 0.85, 1.25 ve 1.71M). Inthisstudy, themostconvenient salt
concentrationwasobservedto be 1.71M NaCI. In1.71M NaCI, morecellnumberandhigher Bcarotenevalueswerefoundout.
Inthestudyheldby Dudu et al in 2001 on differentNaCI(10%, 15 %and20%)concentrations,
theyannouncedthattheyattainedthemostgrowthin NaCI10 % concentration.
REFERENCES
Ben-Amotz, A. and M. Avron, 1983. Accumulation of metabolites by halotolerant algae and
its industrial potential. Ann. Rev. Microbial., pp:95-119
Ben-Amotz, A., Avron, M., 1990. The biotechnology of cultivating the halotolerant alga
Dunaliella. Trends Biotechnol. 8, 121–126.
Ben-Amotz, A., Shaish, A., Avron, M., 1991. The biotechnology of
cultivating Dunaliella for production of b-carotene rich algae. Bioresour.
Technol. 38 (2–3), 233–235.
Borowitzka, M.A., Borowitzka, L.J., 1992. Micro-algal Biotechnology. Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge.
Davis, J.S., 1990. Biological Management fort he Productşon Salt from Seawater. In:
Introduction Applied Phycology, Akatsuka, I. (Ed.). SPB Academic Publishing, The Hague,
The Netherlands, pp:479-488.

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Dudu Evren, Ü., Ç. Kanlıtepe, C. Çıracı, G. Dönmez, 2001. Tuz Göl,’nden (Konya-Türkiye)
izole edilen Dunaliella türlerinin gliserol üretim kapasitesinin belirlenmesi. Ege Üniversitesi
Su Ürünleri Dergisi, 1. Alg Teknoloji Sempozyumu p, 225-232 (In Turkish).
Durmaz, Y., Gökpınar Ş., 2006. Dunaliella salina (Chlorophyceae) Büyümesi Üzerine
Tuzluluğun Etkileri. E.Ü. Su Ürünleri Dergisi, pp:121-124.
Garcia, F., Freile-Pelegrin, Y., Robledo, D., 2007. Physilogical characterization of Dunaliella
sp. (Chlorophyta, Volvocales) from Yucatan, Mexico. Bioresource Technology,pp:1359-1365
Javor, B., 1989. Hypersaline Enviroments: Microbiology and Biogeochemistry. 1st Edn.,
Springer-Verlag, New York, pp:328.
Lamers, P.P., Janssen, M., De Vos, C.H.R., Bino, J.R. and Wijffels, R.H. 2008. Exploring and
exploiting carotenoid accumulation in Dunaliella salina for cell-factory applications. Cell
Press, pp:631.
Kaçka, A., Dönmez, G., 2008. Isolation of Dunaliella spp. from a hypersaline lake and their
ability to accumulate glyserol. Bioresource Technology, pp.8348.
Massyuk, 1973. Morphology, taxonomy, ecology and geographic distribution
of the genus DunaliellaTeod. and prospects for its potential
utilisation. Kiev: Naukova Dumka. Massyuk. pp. 312.
Taherzadeh, M.J., Adler, L., Liden, G., 2002. Strategies for enhancing fermentative
production of glycerol-a review. Enzyme Microbiol. Technol. 31, 53–66.
Wang, Z.X., Zhuge, J., Fang, H., Prior, B.A., 2001. Glycerol production by microbial
fermentation: a review. Biotechnol. Adv. 19, 201–223.

Interactions between chemicals used in aquaculture and environment in terms of
sustainable development
Muhammet Altunok , Fatih Gülec , Zerife Peker , Klaus Kümmerer
Abstract
Aquaculture that is the farming of aquatic organisms such as fish, crustaceans, molluscs and
aquatic plants, is the fastest growing animal production sector in the world. Global production
from aquaculture for human consumption amounted to 73 million tonnes and the value of
US$ 110 billion in 2009 and comprised almost fifty percent of the world’s fish supply.
Aquaculture, thus, plays an important role in global efforts towards eliminating malnutrition
and brings significant health benefits by nutritional well-being. It significantly dominates
most devoloping countries in terms of contribution to development by increasing gross
domestic product, providing employment opportunities and improving incomes.
The potentially adverse impacts of aquaculture that is also threat the sustainability when the
sector grows unregulated or under poor management, is of considerable current environmental
118

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                <text>Dunaliella (Cyanophyceae) microalgea is a species used for feeding live baits that are used in  larval fish production. Dunaliella species are intensively cultivated in algal biotechnology.  Because of the nutritional value and chemicals this microalgea contains, it is commonly used  in industries such as pharmacy, cosmetics and bait industry. From this point of view, it can be  said that this algea species has high economic value. It can be found in areas between ‰ 10  and ‰ 200 salinity content rate. In Turkey this species can be found in salinas near coasts and  salty-soft drink lakes. In this research, Dunaliella sp. species which is in Turkey’s  biggestmarine based saltworks “İzmir Çamaltı Saltworks” ecosystem isolated and cultivation  in controlled circumstances determined. As a part of this research, physicochemical  parameters such as optimum light, saltiness, density, biomass and pigment determined.  Keywords : Dunaliella sp., saltworks, microalgea, Çamaltı, Izmir, Turkey.  1.</text>
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                    <text>3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

Stock exchange influence in promotion of capital market in Bosnia and Herzegovina:
SASE case
Fahrudin Malanovic
International University of Sarajevo, Faculty of Management and Business Administration
71000, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina
E-mails: malanovic_88@hotmail.com
Abstract
Economic efficiency and well being of one country is somehow connected with the efficiency
and effectiveness of stock exchange, so the main purpose of this study is to show and explain
workings of capital market in Bosnia and Herzegovina through activities of Sarajevo Stock
Exchange. The reason for this analysis is fact that the stock exchange performs important, if
not key, role in one nation’s economy since it provides investment opportunities by offering
buyers and seller’s places for trading securities, such as stocks and bonds. Such investment
opportunities are ways for corporations, governments, and business to obtain funds necessary
for expanding business or financing publicly good project.
Another reason for this analysis is the lack of awareness about importance of stock exchange
even if performance of stock exchanges affects everybody starting from individuals to large
corporations to governments.
Taking into consideration the fact that the stock exchange is an organized place for trading
goods, securities, financial derivatives…etc, whose daily volume is measured in billions of
dollars, it can be easily concluded that importance of it is huge.
This work is mentioning direct and indirect effects of stock exchange activity on an economy,
proving great impact on daily activity, not only of business, but of people as well.
This study also indicates that highly developed nations are closely related to the high level of
activity of stock exchanges and see stock exchange, as a component of capital market, a key
factor to success. Simply, stock exchange is as important as other public goods.
Less developed nations are not necessarily related to the poor performance of stock
exchanges; however, it could also be a main reason for those nations to be considered as a less
developed.
All in all, nothing can change the fact that stock exchange creates our destiny regarding our
future job orientation, since companies and corporations find stock exchange one of the
easiest ways to obtain money to finance their activities. Also, nothing can change the fact that
the whole global economy, including economy of Bosnia and Herzegovina is dependent on
those biggest stock exchanges around the world where the most important one is the New
York Stock Exchange.
This work is divided into three chapters. Section 1 deal with stock exchange and stock market
in general. When it comes to Section 2, it deals with stock exchanges in Bosnia and
Herzegovina, while Section 3 is actually conclusion part of this work.

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Keywords: stock exchange, capital market, security, stock, bond
1.INTRODUCTION
1.1 Historical review – stock market term
Stock exchanges have been existing for hundreds of years. Some of them are dating back to
year of 1100 such as stock exchange in Paris, stock exchange in Amsterdam...etc. So, as we
can see, the origin of stock exchanges is actually Western Europe. In the years of 1600 and
1700 other stock exchanges were opened including one in Belgium, Spain, Sweden and
Portugal. During that time, they did not have great impact on the people’s lives and economy
as a whole, mainly because there was only couple of them. So, the main purpose of stock
exchanges was trading of goods and currencies, but not in so high denominations. However,
in the year of 1785, the stock exchange in Amsterdam started doing trading with securities
and such way of trading was seen as a great innovation and opportunity to increase profit.
Founding this way of increasing profit was a reason for other European stock exchanges to
follow Amsterdam stock exchange regarding trading securities. It did not take much time for
stock markets worldwide (at that time, Canada and Australia stock markets) to start seeing
stock exchange as a one of the main ways to increase profit. Great importance of stock
exchanges led countries worldwide to open it up, so by 20th century stock markets in Asia,
Africa, and South America were opened.
When it comes to US stock exchange history, it can be traced back to over 200 years ago.
There were many reasons to start trading securities starting from personal needs, wants, as
well as willingness for profit increases to some more complex reasons such as financing war
by selling bonds.
The greatest and most important stock markets in the whole entire world, New York Stock
Exchange (NYSE) was found in 1817 playing key role in creating business and dictating
movement of whole business from year to year.
1.2 Definition, significance, and role of stock exchange:
By simple definition, stock exchange is an organized place for trading goods, bonds, shares,
financial derivatives…etc. Stock exchange also refers to the well-organized and wellregulated component of financial market where trading different types of securities such as
stocks and bonds, take place at price that is determined by the demand and supply forces. A
stock exchange or bourse can also be seen as a corporation providing opportunity and place to
its owners or financial market participants for increasing profit by trading company’s shares,
bonds, and other securities.
Besides this, stock exchanges also provide facilities for issue and redemption of securities and
other financial instruments, and capital events including the payment of income
and dividends. (Wikipedia, 2012)
Stock exchange certainly has many roles, but providing assistance when trading securities is
certainly among most important and most significant role of stock exchange. Not only
providing assistance is significant role of stock exchange, but also regulation, transparency
and control of buying and selling securities is role of stock exchange.
Many economists are opinion that the stock exchange perform important, if not key, role in
one nation’s economy since it provides investment opportunities by offering buyers and
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sellers places for trading securities, such as stock and bonds. Such investment opportunities
are ways for corporations, governments, and businesses to obtain funds necessary for
expanding business or financing publicly good project.
Stock exchanges also have one simple but significant role: providing direct job for people.
Providing direct job is expressed through different institutions including different brokerage
firms, investment banks…etc. It is well known that financial news organizations employ
hundreds of thousands of people across globe.
1.3 The role of the stock exchange in economy
Taking into consideration the fact that the stock exchange is an organized place for trading
goods, securities, financial derivatives…etc, whose daily volume is measured in billions of
dollars, it can be easily concluded that importance of it is huge.
In high developed countries, stock market is as important as other public goods.
Metaphorically speaking, it is like highways since both are used as an intermediate between
people’s needs, wants and wishes. Highways are associated with transferring goods,
people…etc, while stock markets are used for transferring securities such as stocks, bonds,
futures, options…etc. (Dedovic, 1998, p.1)
Based on this, we can say that trading or investing in securities seems to be one of the most
interesting modes of investment. Economic efficiency and well being of one country is
somehow connected with the efficiency and effectiveness of stock exchange. Such close
relationship is the reason why governments, corporations, central banks, and even individuals
in the countries around the world closely watch every activity on stock exchange. “Black
Monday” proved that the bulk of economical growth that took place in 20th was mainly
dependent on the stock exchanges mainly because if stock exchange activity was high, then
there was money and room for improvement. On the other side, if prices of stock went down
and activity was low, then recession was unavoidable. Corporations, governments, and small
industries simply realized that by stock market investment there is possibility for easy gains of
capital necessary for financing activities and easy way for increasing their wealth. Not only
corporations and governments see opportunity for increasing profit, but also individuals see
stock market as a way for increases in personal wealth. Nothing can change the fact that many
of the wealthy people have gained or increased their wealth thanks to investment in stocks and
bonds.
Also, nothing can change the fact that the whole global economy is dependent on those
biggest stock markets around the world where the most important one is the New York Stock
Exchange.
As it is well known, the NYSE is a huge market determining the parameters of the global
economy. In principle, when the New York Stock Exchange goes down, the whole global
economy will suffer and it will have a domino effect which can affect every stock market in
the whole world. In fact, this is what happened in the global crisis in 2008; as when the
mortgage crisis jumped into the stock market, this precipitated into a full scale stock market
crisis which caused a major crisis all around the world. In no time, there was a huge economic
in the global economy, as all stock markets around the world were effected immensely.
(Bestgrowthstock-blog, 2009)
In most simply way to explain why the stock exchange is important to economy is that when
stock prices go down, companies, ranging from the strongest one to the smallest one, feel the
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pain and vice versa. Economy is such science in which changes in one branch mostly leads to
changes in other branch. So, changes in stock prices will not affect only companies, but also
almost every individuals when most of them are not even aware of it. Mentioning this can
sound very pessimistic and negative regarding stock exchange in general. However, it also
shows the importance of stock exchange to economy since the stock exchange as a component
of stock market as the main dynamo of the economical forces, is a way for the real economy
to get strengthened.
Figure 1 - Importance and stock market development from 1950 – 2007

(Miskhin, Stanley, 2006, p.6)
As we can see from this figure, stock prices and stock market activities have been constantly
increasing from year to year. In last fifty year, there has been boosting of economy which is
mostly because increasing in stock market activities as well as prices.
However, people do not know much about that. In some sense it creates our destiny regarding
our future job orientation, since companies and corporations find stock exchange one of the
easiest ways to obtain money to finance their activities.
To make this more clear and convincible, let us assume a day when Wall Street marketers
announce that price of certain company’s share/stocks extremely went down by, say, 35%.
How would it affect companies and people? When it comes to people, fear of increases of
economic unemployment is the way to affect them. In many cases, loosing job means
increases in personal debt which further leads to insolvency or inability to repay all liabilities.
Further consequences are shown in loose of houses, discouragement, financial
dependence…etc.
On the other side, decrease in company share’s prices leads to financial dependence meaning
that companies facing that situation rely on money from bank. However, in order to obtain
funds from bank companies usually have to agree on repaying principal back with high
interest. Repaying principal back together with interest usually results in company’s less
profit which further leads to less innovation, less competition, economy of scale
decreases…etc. Besides that, borrowing funds from bank is heavily regulated.
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As Frederic S. Miskhin and Stanley G. Eakins mentioned in their book Financial Markets and
Institutions (2006, p. 49), stock exchange is an important factor in business investment
decision because of shares affecting the amount of funds that can be raised by selling newly
issued stock to finance investment spending.
In simply words, this means that a higher price for firm's share leads to a larger amount of
collected funds, which can further be used to finance different business activities starting from
inventory changes to rebuilding new company's facilities.
Well functioning economies are closely related to the well functioning of stock exchange also
for other reasons:
Channeling funds from savers to borrowers - channeling those funds results in promoting
economic efficiency as well as effectiveness in a way that competition increases, more funds
are provided, unemployment decreases, more projects being implemented…etc.
Figure 2 – participants being served by the stock exchange
Governments

Small business

Investors
STOCK EXCHANGE

Banks

Issuers

Intermediates
Corporations
-

-

More innovation – highly developed countries are associated with innovation because
people in those countries always want something new and sometimes have relatively
unrealistic wishes and demands.
Wealth of people is going up since they have job. This further leads to increases in
their spending and result in profit increases of firms.
Governments also benefit from this since people spend more, firms earn more, and
more taxes are collected.
Professor Mihailo Dedovic said in his book, “Stock Exchange” (page 2) that stock
exchanges is not only important because huge amount of capital being involved.

Far from being the case, it is mostly important because it is actually place where prices of
goods, services, capitals as well as money are determined.
What does this mean for us? In order to better understand consequences of stock exchange
activities regarding price determination, let us take a look on the picture below:

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Figure 3 – consequences of stock prices going down
NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE
Prices of corn are going up

NATIONAL ECONOMIES
Cash outflow is increased due to price increases

PEOPLE
People pay more money on corn products. It further leads to more money being saved since people can’t
afford to buy luxury goods. Final consequence is national economic activities are decreased.

Taking close look at this picture, we can notice that a New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)
activity determines not only activities of national economies, but also activities of people
being part of those economies. It is unwritten rule that when people have to pay necessities a
bit expensive than they used to, in order to keep their cash at balance, they will turn to
spending less money. This will further lead to less money on market and economic activities
will decrease.
Stock exchange helps company to raise fund which are necessary to expand its business. How
is that work? Let us take simple example.
Imagine yourself as an owner of small manufacturing company for producing furniture. You
have some amount of money which you use to buy a machine for production, found couple
customers, and you just started doing the business. So far, the business is doing well, profit is
increasing, you are winning new customers and soon you face situation in which you simply
can’t satisfy all customers’ needs and wants. Now you are facing the dilemma of whether to
increase the business and profit, but require you to spend certain amount of money or you can
just let your competitors take potential customers away from you, but you are letting
competition to increase and putting yourself in risky situation regarding your future business
and profit as well. In order to increase the business you have to buy new machines which
costs, say, $100,000. Now, you can wait for some period to earn more money to buy that
particular machine, but you are certainly going to lose many customers simply because they
can’t wait for you to make product. So, they will switch the company. You can also borrow
money from bank, but it is heavily regulated and soon you get money you will have to start
returning more money back than you borrowed because interest is included. Finally, you can
issue share which is third and most reasonable option to do. So, if I you do that, meaning if
you sell part of your company to third person, you will not be a 100% owner, but you will
have money necessary for financing your activity. In fact, third person is actually investor
having claims on company’s future earnings. At first sight it seems that you earn less amount
of money. Far from being the case, your business is increased and you earn more money.
So, all in all, whenever a company decides to expand business or strengthen its capital, it has
two main ways to obtain funds: either taking a loan from bank or issuing shares through the
stock market. However, the stock market is the primary source for company to raise funds
whenever it needs it.
-

There is saying that stock exchanges have predicted 3 out of last 10 recessions.
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One simple thing that can warn us that particular event can take place is lack of responsibility
regarding trading securities. This simply means that if, say, New York Stock Exchanges
(NYSE) does not run the business in a way it is supposed to or fully carry out its duty
regarding overseeing the stock trading process the investors will simply lose faith in the
transparency, fairness and safety of the New York Stock Exchange. If this happens then all of
the economic activity that the stock exchanges create will decrease and this will lead to an
overall drop in economic activity. The stock exchanges must be sure that investors are not
taken advantage of and that investors continue to have confidence in the system the stock
exchanges created.
-

It is mentioned previously that the stock exchange is closely related to the economy of
country in a way when stock prices go down; all participants in the economy, starting
from individuals to large corporations are affected. This is mainly because the
economy is such science in which changes in one branch affect and leads to changes in
other branch of the economy.

Figure 4 – domino effect

(Dreamstock, 2011)
The above picture explains effects of stock prices going down. As it is said, not only large
corporations and small business are affected, but also almost every individual even if many of
them are not aware of it. This is simply because of stock exchange, being one of the main
factors in the economy as well as acting as dynamo forcing changes in economy together with
well-full functioning stock market will help increase the strength of the reel economy.
All in all, the stock exchange is one of the most important sources for companies,
governments, small investors...etc, to gain money to expand business or finance their
activities. The stock exchange activity is actually our destiny creator in the sense that small
changes can cause positive or negative domino effect of worldwide business affecting directly
us as individuals. Watching news about changes in share prices during whole day, seven days
a week, it is just worth considering that stock exchange being part of our life.
People’s awareness, especially of those holding shares, about stock exchange activities should
be increased because the first impact they will see is fall or increase in their wealth. This can
also cause domino effect since fall in wealth leads to people being more hesitate to spend
money. Further effect is fall in consumer spending and list goes on.
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Taking into consideration everything mentioned, it is worth to say that nothing can change the
fact that well functioning stock exchange is a way to create new jobs and way to create
funding for companies from the biggest to those with small capacity. It is also fact that
without a proper functioning of stock exchange, it is not possible to have a healthy economy.
Simply saying, stock exchange is one of the key factors in producing high economic growth.
2. STOCK EXCHANGE IN BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
When it comes to stock exchange of Bosnia and Herzegovina, where the most important one
is Sarajevo Stock Exchange (SASE), daily volume is measured in millions of dollars.
Likewise abroad, the company’s easiest way to obtain funds for financing its activities is
through issuing stock on the stock exchange. However, not all companies can participate on
the BH stock exchanges. In order to trade securities either on SASE or BLSE, the particular
company must be listed there. Sarajevo Stock Exchange (SASE) and Banja Luka Stock
Exchange (BLSE) set up certain requirements that company must fulfill in order to participate
on the stock exchange including: minimum amount of capital, minimum amount of size of
shares, minimum number of class holders, which is 150…etc.
As it is said previously, the way of trading of securities is being done on two stock exchanges
located in Sarajevo (SASE) and Banja Luka (BLSE). Both, SASE and BLSE aim to provide
quality and transparency as well as fair trading environment for their market participants
which include both domestic and foreign participants.
Over here in Bosnia and Herzegovina, business is done electronically meaning that brokers
are sitting at their offices and do the business through technology. So, we can’t see people
over here running around screaming and yelling like we see on American movies which
actually show real picture of American stock market’s working environment.
Stock exchanges in Bosnia and Herzegovina, with annual turnover measured in hundred
million of dollars, has been recording improvement in the way of working as well as profit
increasing from year to year. The performances of SASE and BLSE exploded especially in
last couple years. Such improvement and profit increases lead to capital market strengthening
which has also been recording improvement and people awareness from year to year.
Since 2002, market capitalization has risen by around twenty times and at the end of 2005 it
was EUR 3.3bn (Wiener Börse: EUR 107.1bn). The average daily trading volumes have also
soared in the past few years and hit EUR 1.5mn by 2005 (Wiener Börse: EUR 342mn). The
leading index of the Sarajevo Stock Exchange, the BIFX, rose from 1,264.20 at the end of
2002 to 4,045.57 points at the end of 2005. (SASE, 2011)
2.1 Criteria for Admission to the Admission to the Sock Exchange Listing
Stock exchange is not like ordinary market where everybody can enter in, do the business, and
walk away. Far from being the case, there are certain regulations and rules that particular
company must implement before participating in stock market. A particular company must
first be adjusted and registered by SEC (Security Exchange Commission) and even when it is
adjusted process is not done yet because the particular company must do two other
regulations: informing stock exchange about all circumstances affecting its business and
providing stock exchange with annual and semi-annual financial statement.
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Table 1 indicates that securities which complete the below listed criteria can be admitted to
the listing.
Table 1 – Criteria for admission of securities
The issuer is a joint stock company registered at the Commission
Years of business
Reality and objectivity of accounting reports

Capital
(the overall capital by the last balance sheet: capital stock,
paid surplus, reserve, assigned revenues or loss from previous
years, revaluation capital, undivided revenues or the business
year loss)
Minimum share size class
(considered to be the book4keeping value of share, i.e. market
capitalization, if a share already was a part of any segment of
the organized market
Share class percentage at the public offer
Share class owners

3
Revised
accounting
reports for the last three
business years
KM 4,000,000

KM 2,000,000

At least 25%
At least 150

Table 2 - Criteria for admission of bonds:

Years of business
Reality and objectivity of accounting reports

3
Revised
accounting
business report for the
last three years
KM 3,000,000

Overall nominal value of the sold bond series

Table 3 - Obligations after adjustment
Obligation after approval by security exchange commission:
- to inform stock market about all circumstances affecting its business
- to provide stock exchange with annual and semi-annual financial statement
2.2 Institutional framework of Sarajevo Stock Exchange
Well-functioning institutional framework in Bosnia and Herzegovina is necessary for
transparency. On the other side, transparency and fairness are closely related to attracting of
new investors while investors are considered to be most important players in a game called
capital market. Institutional framework can be divided into several segments:

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2.2.1 Security exchange commission
Security exchange commission is body established for the implementation of different tasks
which is mandatory for fair and transparent trading on Sarajevo Stock Exchange. Without this
body, it would not be possible to regulate and promote secure capital market in Bosnia and
Herzegovina. Another reason for the existing of security exchange commission is protection
of investors. Once we have body that works on behalf of investors in a way that protects their
rights, it is easy to attract new investors because they feel secure. Security Exchange
Commission aims to promote capital market of Bosnia and Herzegovina to foreign investors
and they found that building trust in the efficiency, effectiveness and fairness of the capital
market is key to succeed in it.
General overview of responsibilities of Security Commission of Federation of Bosnia and
Herzegovina (KOMVP,2011)
The Securities Commission of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina has a broad
regulatory authority. Its responsibilities, among other, include the following:
 Regulation of conditions and methods of securities issuances and trading;
 Approval of issuances of shares and other securities by companies and banks;
 Approval of securities issuances bz fund management companies, investment funds,
mutual funds, and other legal persons that issue securities;
 Regulation of conditions and methods of bond issuance bz cantons and
municipalities;
 Prescribing the rules and control of securities trading based on securities exchange
and system of listing, using electronic means;
 Protection of investors' rights;
 Prescribing and enforcement of standards of disclosure to investors and the general
public on business operations of securities trading participants;
 Prescribing of conditions, issuing approvals of operations, and control of professional
intermediaries (e.g. brokers and dealers), and other securities trading participants.
2.2.2 Registry of Securities – in most simple way to explain Registry of Security is place
where data on securities are being held. Article 2 of the law defines that the Registry of
Securities performs operation of registration, safekeeping and maintenance of data on
securities, operation of transfers in accordance with the law regulating the issuance and
trading of securities. However, it is not only duty and operation preformed by the Registry of
Security. Far from being the case, it may also perform other operations including clearing and
settlement as well as all other operations that are related to clearing and settlement, but which
are firstly approved by Security Commission.
The Registry performs the following operations for securities issuers:





- registration, safekeeping, keeping and maintaining data on securities;
- making the list of shareholders and list of securities holders with the balance as of
the day requested by the issuer;
- making other reports as requested by the issuer;
- services in case of changes in property status and in case of changes in securities due
to conversion, securities denomination, merger and division of issuer's shares;
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







- Services in exercising the rights derived from securities (submitting data to issuers
on securities holders, data on shareholders, who have the right to: vote in the shareholder
meeting, payment of dividend, as well as other rights) and other, in accordance with the
special contract.
The Registry performs the following operations for the securities holders:
- keeping the balance of securities on securities holders' accounts;
- transfer of securities based on applications for transfer of securities, submitted
directly to the Registry by the security holder;
- issuing certificates – statements and confirmations on balance of the securities
account;
- Services in connection with keeping, on separate accounts, the rights of third parties
on securities, of the lien, right of limitation of disposition, usufruct right and other rights;
Service in connection with joint stock company takeover and conducting tender offer
based on a special contract between securities holder and the Registry.

Figure 5 - Registration of data on securities
Registration of data on securities
Company’s management

Registry

Investor’s account

Account of issuer

Certificate showing the balance of the security account at the end of the month in which
a change on the balance of the account took place.

Confidence
Only investors and authorized person in the registry have access to the account.
As we can see on the picture above, registration of data of securities is a process consisted of
couple steps. First step is approving of security by security exchange commission. After it is
approved, it goes to the registry as a central place where securities are being held. In the
registry, two accounts are must be opened; account of issuer and account of investor. Such
accounts serve the purpose of providing certificate that shows the balance of the security
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account at the end of the month. However, not all accounts are included, but only accounts in
which a change on the balance of the account took place.
2.2.3 Professional intermediates – brokerage firms
A brokerage firm or brokerage house refers to company which is allowed or licensed to buy
and sell securities. A brokerage firms are basically connection between buyers and sellers.
A brokerage firm is a financial institution that facilitates the buying and selling of financial
derivatives between a buyer and a seller.
Brokerage firms serve a clientele of investors who trade public stocks and other securities.
(Wikipedia, 2011)
Figure 6 – brokerage intermediation
Seller
Brokerage houses

Buyer

Being a connection or an intermediary between buyers and sellers, brokers as employers of
brokerage houses make, simply saying, clients’ wishes come true. In other words, it is brokers
who carry out client’s needs and wants when they decide to do trading on the stock
exchanges. So, brokers do trade but usually not on their own account and they are usually
paid on a commission basis.

-

Operations performed by brokerage houses on SASE
Buying and selling securities, not on their own account, but on the accounts of clients,
Buying and selling securities on their own account,(dealers)
They help in promotion of capital market,
Portfolio operating,
Investment consulting

2.2.4 Investment funds
Investment fund is actually firm that invests money which is collected from different
investors. Having money of many, small investors, investment fund invest it into in securities,
bonds…etc. By this, an investment company gives an opportunity to small investors to invest
their money in different securities. This becomes more important if we take into consideration
the fact that those investors would probably never have such an opportunity. Another benefit
of investing in investment funds is that small investors do not worry about trading costs which
can sometimes be high. It is investment fund, not small investors that can gain economies of
scale in while doing trading. There are two worldwide known investment companies:
open-end which includes mutual fund,
closed-end that includes investment trust

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2.2.5 Depositary banks
Over here in Bosnia and Herzegovina, depositary banks are actually commercial banks that
are allowed to do everything related to depositary job. Every brokerage house has its own
depositary bank which is used to make payments. In order to be allowed to perform
depositary job, a particular bank must be approved by Security Exchange Commission.
Depositary bank offers the following services:
-

-

Takes care of the fund property by keeping special accounts for property of each fund
and separating property of each fund from property of other funds
In case of mutual fund, repurchases and pays for shares, and makes payments to the
owners of share of mutual fund from fund profit
Takes care of the fact that calculation of net value of some stock or share in the fund
was made in accordance with the Law, other regulations, prospect and Statute of the
Fund
Reports the Company on corporative affairs referring to the fund property, which it is
taking care of, and executes the orders resulting from these affairs
Pays all incomes and other rights due for the fund benefit, which are resulting from its
property
Keeps business operations records performed as the bank depositor for each fund and
harmonizes it with Company’s records regularly
Provides auditors and other persons authorized for auditing, including the
Commission, with access to data and accounts related to the fund and its property
(BIB, 2011)

2.3 Comparison of SASE, in terms of annual turnover, with regional stock exchanges in
last two years.
Before comparing turnover of SASE with regional stock exchanges, we should first see
turnover of SASE from 2004 to 2010.
As the table below (Table 4) indicates, starting from 2004, activity on SASE, in terms of
money earned, had been constantly increasing till 2007 when the annual turnover was
1.274.340.116 KM. In 2008, in a year when recession started, activity on SASE dramatically
decreased by more than five hundred million of KM. Fall in activity was continued in the
following years and in 2010, annual turnover was the worst in SASE history with the amount
of 108.55.379 KM.
Based on this information we can divide turnover of SASE into two parts: prerecession
turnover and post recession turnover. It is noticeable that before recession there were constant
increases in turnover. However, when recession started, there have been constant decreases in
turnover.

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Table 4 - Turnover from 2004 to 2010
Year

Turnover

2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004

108.554.379 KM
219.085.458,65 KM
477.079.376 KM
1.274.340.116 KM
654.717.252 KM
555.353.951 KM
231.137.332,00 KM

% percentage of total
turnover on B&amp;H stock
exchanges
38,38 %
62,32 %
63,43 %
94,48%
59,45%
66,51%
67%

The table below (Table 5) shows the comparison of Sarajevo Stock Exchange turnover for the
years of 2011 and 2010 with regional stock exchanges such as; Zagreb Stock Exchange,
Belgrade Stock Exchange and Ljubljana Stock Exchange. As it is noticeable, the Zagreb
Stock Exchange had the highest turnover followed by Belgrade Stock Exchange whose
turnover in last two years was over 400 million of euro. Capital market of Bosnia and
Herzegovina is less developed than those of Serbia and Croatia, which means that annual
turnover of SASE, is lesser with turnover around 100 million of euro in last two years. The
last one Ljubljana Stock Exchange with turnover less than 100 million of euro in last two
years. However, it does not mean that capital market in Slovenia is undeveloped. Far from
being the case, it is among most developed in Balkan region, but it is obvious that recession
took place in this country.
Table 5 – Comparison of SASE turnover with regional stock exchanges in last two years

Name of Stock exchange
Sarajevo Stock Exchange
Zagreb Stock Exchange
Belgrade Stock Exchange
Ljubljana Stock Exchange

Year
2011
2010
2011
2010
2011
2010
2011
2010

Turnover
/
55.668.921 EUR
749.911.956,6 EUR
934.882.913,7 EUR
208.180.538 EUR
222.475.934 EUR
19.352.083 EUR
20.485.947 EUR

Figure 7 – The graphical comparison of Sarajevo Stock Exchange with regional Stock
Exchanges.

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As it is mentioned previously, the Zagreb Stock Exchange had the highest turnover in last two
years. Based on this information, it is noticeable that Croatia has highly developed capital
market, especially in last two years. According to this fact capital market in Bosnia and
Herzegovina is far from level at which capital market of Croatia is in terms of development.
Since, capital market over here is less developed; SASE should follow some strategies used
by Zagreb Stock Exchange.
3. CONCLUSION
Even if the facts, graphs, and tables shown in this work are promising, the general picture of
capital market in Bosnia and Herzegovina is still relatively unfavorable. The development of
BH capital market is related to the development of primary and secondary market. It means,
when primary and secondary markets are involved in high activity, the capital market is
strengthening. If we make comparison of capital market of Bosnia and Herzegovina with
those of developed countries, it is still underdeveloped and most of all, it is still seen as
relatively unimportant to the development of domestic country’s economy. One of the main
reasons for being less developed is corruption. This further means that there is legal
uncertainty which prevents investors to invest.
It is also important to realize that economic development of Bosnia and Herzegovina must
rely more on financial institutions as well as capital market. This means that the close
relationship between economic development and financial institutions must be established. So
far, stock exchange together with the banking industry is seen as a key factor in producing
high level of activity on capital market and economic growth as well. However, it is still far
from desired level of liquid financial market which is another problem of capital market of
Bosnia and Herzegovina being undeveloped.
Professor Mehmed Ganic is mentioning, in his work about current problems of capital market
(page 14) five reasons related to a possible recovery in the capital markets of B&amp;H which
must be taken into account.
First, the process of ownership concentration is largely complete, so the new owners
have lost an interest and incentive to appear in the capital market. It underestimates the shares
and leads to the discharge of the market. Consequently, this makes it unlikely to stimulate
interest both domestic and foreign investors;

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Second, the benefits of financial markets resulting from the significant effects of
established organizational networks, as well as development and trading securities guided,
above all, the unit fixed costs. If the market is less liquid, then the trading costs are high. This
ultimately reduces the benefits of capital markets, discourage investors, in other words, a lack
of demand. In addition, B&amp;H has not yet fully adopted the culture of financing by issuing of
new shares which means that companies regularly resort to capital markets for the raising of
fresh capital.
Third, that the performance of capital markets is still under the influence of bad
political and economic environment of instability and poor social status of most citizens.
Fourth, there is a weak mobility of the issuers and limited of trading in securities of
the local companies, which resulted in the competitiveness of capital markets because of such
restrictions at a very low level.
Fifth, the capital market of B&amp;H is limited due to the slow and incomplete process of
privatization, following its further growth.
Another reason for capital market of Bosnia and Hezegovina being unfavorable and
underdeveloped is because of lack of foreign investors. Foreign direct investment plays an
important role in development of capital market in Bosnia and Herzegovina, so capital market
should be attractive in order to make foreigners invest their capital in Bosnia and
Herzegovina. However, capital market of Bosnia and Herzegovina is undeveloped, and it
means that investors do not want to take risk and invest. They usually turn to developed
financial markets which is key to encouraging them to take a risk and invest.
Capital marek of highly developed countries is characterised by various short-term financial
instruments. However, it is not case in Bosnia and Herzegovina.The overall financial market
should encourage all, starting from companies to financial institutions to governments to start
issuing short-term financial instruments.
By this time, banking industry and stock exchange are key for producing high level of activity
on capital marekt in Bosnia and Herzegovina. It is them which contribute to developing of
economy of B&amp;H.
All in all, capital market and stock exchanges as a segment of capital market play key role in
our daily lives and we should start seeing this of great importance. Being key of producing
high economic growh, government should attract investors by providing securtiy and
transparency while companies should be offering more diversified financial instruments in
order to attract customers.
Once again, nothing can change the fact that stock exchange plays key role in our daily lives
and it is stock exchanges that in some sense create our destiny.
REFERENCES
1. Internet: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stock_exchange, 05/01/2012
2. Dedovic, Dr.Mihailo, Berza – projekat od nacionalnog interesa, Pec, 1998
3. Internet: http://www.bestgrowthstock.com/blog/2009/04/02/the-importance-of-the-stockmarket-for-the-economy/ 28/12/2011
4. Internet: http://www.dreamstock.com, 03/10/2012
5. Mishkin, Frederic S. and Eakins, Stanley G. Financial Markets and Institutions, Fifth
edition, 2006
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6. Internet: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarajevo Stock Exchange, 02/03/2012
7. Internet: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zagreb Stock Exchange, 02/03/2012
8. Internet: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belgrade Stock Exchange, 02/03/2012
9. Internet: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ljubljana Stock Exchange, 02/03/2012

Analyze and evaluate the system of internal control in the process of implementing the
audit of financial statements for business entities
Pece Nikoloski, Goce Menkinoski,
Facullty of economics in Prilep, Macedonia
E-mails: nikoloski.pece@yahoo.com,gocemenkinoski@yahoo.com
Abstract
Accounting is the process of recording, classifying, summarizing and reporting results from
financial transactions in the form of financial statements. Other than accounting, auditing the
financial statements determines whether those statements are prepared in accordance with
generally accepted accounting standards. You could say that this kind of audit users of
financial statements provides objective and independent opinion on the truthfulness and
honesty of the data presented in financial statements of business entities that are clients. The
application of the system of internal control in the implementation of the audit process is very
important activity in the process of making business decisions to allocate economic resources
and successful management. Information obtained from the analysis answer the question as
business entity in the previous period and how to function in the next period to be maintained
better result. The main goal of any business entity is achieving greater profits. The profit
maximization is striving to achieve the possible cost less and also the achievement of greater
revenues. Profit shown in the financial statements may differ from reality depending on the
way you handled the financial statements or in other words the way reports display where
they can be concealed large gains and losses. From there the auditors are those who weigh the
reality of participants' data in financial reports. How the financial result is a real set, so will be
better
and
better
decisions
are
made
based
on
such
information.
The advantages of better financial reporting are significant, hence the actions needed to
achieve those benefits are complex and comprehensive. As such we list the following
activities: improving the framework of financial reporting; strengthening of key factors
within the financial reporting; supporting the audit profession; supporting education, training
and public awareness. The main and primary objective of financial reporting is to provide
access balanced between financial reporting and audit requirements, which means meeting the
needs of different users of financial information but also will be complex to burden the
functioning
of
the
corporate
sector.
In practice, here are three main reasons to perform the process of analyzing financial
statements and financial indicators achieved:
1. The need for continuous monitoring of their own situation analyzes achieved financial
indicators, financial instruments are planned and implemented financial control;
225

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                <text>Economic efficiency and well being of one country is somehow connected with the efficiency  and effectiveness of stock exchange, so the main purpose of this study is to show and explain  workings of capital market in Bosnia and Herzegovina through activities of Sarajevo Stock  Exchange. The reason for this analysis is fact that the stock exchange performs important, if  not key, role in one nation’s economy since it provides investment opportunities by offering  buyers and seller’s places for trading securities, such as stocks and bonds. Such investment  opportunities are ways for corporations, governments, and business to obtain funds necessary  for expanding business or financing publicly good project.  Another reason for this analysis is the lack of awareness about importance of stock exchange  even if performance of stock exchanges affects everybody starting from individuals to large  corporations to governments.  Taking into consideration the fact that the stock exchange is an organized place for trading  goods, securities, financial derivatives…etc, whose daily volume is measured in billions of  dollars, it can be easily concluded that importance of it is huge.  This work is mentioning direct and indirect effects of stock exchange activity on an economy,  proving great impact on daily activity, not only of business, but of people as well.  This study also indicates that highly developed nations are closely related to the high level of  activity of stock exchanges and see stock exchange, as a component of capital market, a key  factor to success. Simply, stock exchange is as important as other public goods.  Less developed nations are not necessarily related to the poor performance of stock  exchanges; however, it could also be a main reason for those nations to be considered as a less  developed.  All in all, nothing can change the fact that stock exchange creates our destiny regarding our  future job orientation, since companies and corporations find stock exchange one of the  easiest ways to obtain money to finance their activities. Also, nothing can change the fact that  the whole global economy, including economy of Bosnia and Herzegovina is dependent on  those biggest stock exchanges around the world where the most important one is the New  York Stock Exchange.  This work is divided into three chapters. Section 1 deal with stock exchange and stock market  in general. When it comes to Section 2, it deals with stock exchanges in Bosnia and  Herzegovina, while Section 3 is actually conclusion part of this work.Keywords: stock exchange, capital market, security, stock, bond</text>
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                    <text>3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

Concepts and Practice. Greenleaf Publishing Limited, Sheffield.
Seçme, N.Y., Bayrakdaroğlu, A. and Kahraman, C. (2009) Fuzzy performance evaluation in
Turkish Banking Sector using Analytic Hierarchy Process and TOPSIS, Expert
Systems with Applications, 36(9), 11699-11709.
Sheu, J.B., Chou, Y.H., Hu, C.C. (2005) An integrated logistics operational model for greensupply chain management, Transportation Research Part E, 41(4), 287-313.
Srivastava, S.K. (2007) Green supply-chain management: A state-of-the-art literature review,
International Journal of Management Reviews, 9 (1), 53-80.
Vachon, S. and Klassen, R.D. (2008) Environmental management and manufacturing
performance: the role of collaboration in the supply chain, International Journal of
Production Economics, 111 (2), 299-315.
Van Hoek, R.I. (2000) From reversed logistics to green supply chains, Logistics Solutions, 2,
28–33.
Zhu, Q. and Sarkis, J. (2004) Relationships between operational practices and performance
among early adopters of green supply chain management practices in Chinese
manufacturing enterprises, Journal of Operations Management, 22, 265–289.

Selection of Sustainable Warehouse Location in Supply Chain Using the Grey
Approach

Fahriye Uysal1,Ömür Tosun2
1Department of International Trade and Logistics, Ayse Sak School of Applied Sciences,
Akdeniz University, Antalya, Turkey
2Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Economic and Administrative Sciences,
Akdeniz University, Antalya, Turkey
E-mails: fahriyeuysal@akdeniz.edu.tr,omurtosun@akdeniz.edu.tr

Abstract
Supply chain sustainability has recently gained an increasing attention in the supply chain
context both from the practitioners’ perspective and as a research area. There have been many
incentives for more sustainable warehousing in supply chains. Sustainable Warehousing
includes activities such as, for example, terminal and warehouse location, proper storing and
383

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

disposing of hazardous materials, donation of excess or obsolete inventory to local
communities, and training to safely operate forklifts. A sustainable warehousing company
would not only have to consider the economic factors, such as rent and operations costs, but
also balance the social and environmental effects that occur within the warehouse compound
as well as its surrounding vicinity. Sustainable warehouse location selection decision has a
crucial role in the supply chain management process. In this study cost, labor, transportation,
environment and geographical location are taken as decision criteria. Grey approach is used
under the sustainability basis for the warehouse location selection problem. This method is
appropriate for solving the group decision-making problem in an uncertain and inconsistent
environment. Warehouse location alternatives for the supply chain of the medical companies
are evaluated in this study.

Keywords: Sustainable supply chain, sustainable warehousing, grey approach

1. INTRODUCTION

The term sustainability, which increasingly refers to an integration of social, environmental,
and economic responsibilities, has begun to appear in the literature of business disciplines
such as management and operations. In addition, companies are beginning to rapidly adopt
the term sustainability (Carter and Rogers, 2008). Sustainability today demands that supply
chains must be explicitly extended to include by-products of the supply chain (Linton et al.,
2007).

The need of seriously exploring the concept of sustainable supply chains within a
collaborative perspective is seen as a goal to improve companies’ revenue growth and
costumer’s recognition (Kleindorfer, et al., 2005). A focus on supply chains is therefore a
step towards the adoption of a growth on sustainability.

The location of a warehouse is generally one of the most important and strategic decision in
the optimization of supply chain (Frazelle, 2002). It is a long-term decision and can be
influenced by different quantitative and qualitative criteria, but not all of the criteria have the
same effect on the decision process. In this study costs, labor, transportation, environment
and geographical location criteria are used. Due to the prejudice of the decision makers,
conventional approaches can be less effective in dealing with a proper assessment.
Therefore, a multi-criteria based decision making procedure is used.

This paper describes the Grey approach and its application for evaluating warehouse
locations in supply chain based on sustainability criteria. This method is appropriate for
384

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

solving the group decision-making problem in an uncertain and inconsistent environment.
The work is structured in the following manner. In Section 2, a literature review of the
sustainable supply chain is given. In Section 3 definition of sustainable warehousing is given.
In Section 4, the grey approach is defined. An evaluation of warehouse location selection, the
proposed methodology and results are fully shown in Section 5. Finally, conclusions and
considerations are reported in Section 6.

2. Sustainable Supply Chain

A focus on supply chains is a step towards the broader adoption and development of
sustainability, since the supply chain considers the product from initial processing of raw
materials to delivery to the customer (Linton et al, 2007). Extending the supply chain to
include issues such as remanufacturing, recycling and refurbishing adds an additional level of
complexity to existing supply chain design in addition to a new set of potential strategic and
operational issues, which in turn can increase costs, at least in the short term (Corbett and
Klassen, 2006). Sustainable supply chains have not yet been clearly defined. A popular
definition states that sustainable supply chains require coordination of the social,
environmental and economic dimensions. Linton et al. (2007) transfer the concept of
sustainability to supply chains and state that: a sustainable supply chain is a supply chain
integrating issues and flows that extend beyond the core of supply chain management such as
product design, manufacturing by-products, product management during use, product life
extension, product end-of-life and recovery processes at end-of-life.

Companies that implement ecological and social factors relating to the supply chain gain
financial benefits through reduced costs and operational efficiencies, also sustainable supply
chain practices can be a source of differentiation and competitive advantage.

3. Sustainable Warehousing

One of the key components within the sustainable supply chain is sustainable warehousing.
Sustainable warehousing includes activities such as terminal and warehouse location, proper
storing and disposing of hazardous materials, donation of excess or obsolete inventory to
local communities, and training to safely operate forklifts (Carter and Jennings, 2000).

385

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

In real life, most warehousing and transportation companies have little regard for the
environmental impacts of their actions and do not understand the social consequences of their
business activities. A sustainable warehousing company would not only have to consider the
economic factors like rent and operations costs, but also balance with the social and
environmental effects that occur within the warehouse compound as well as its surrounding
vicinity (Tan et al, 2010). Among supply chain studies, many papers on warehouse/facility
location problem have been published (Vlachopoulou et al. 2001; Sharma and Berry, 2007;
Sharma and Sharma, 2000). But, in most of them, environmental issues are not studied due to
the policy of these companies.

Different warehouse location selection studies are analyzed to select the suitable criteria, and
also environment criterion is added in view of the sustainability. These criteria are:
Cost: Costs are one of the factors highly affected by the facility location. Cost criterion is
evaluated by taking into account of labor costs, transportation costs, handling costs and land
cost.
Labor: This criterion defines the state of qualified labor at a location and the degree of the
availability of such labor.
Transportation: Ease of transportation, traffic density and distance from the alternative
warehouses to main warehouse are considered by the decision makers.
Environment: Carbon minimization and other environmental policies are considered for the
decision process.
Geographical location: This criterion defines the land availability that changes according to
the structure of the alternative regions.

4. The Grey Approach

In this section, the Grey approach will be described. In this method, there are m possible
warehouse alternatives given as
.
is the set of n
independent criteria.

is the vector of criteria weights. In this study,

criteria weights and ratings of the warehouses are taken as linguistic variables. These values
are given in Table 1 and Table 2. In Table 1, linguistic criteria weights whereas in Table 2
criteria rating values
in Grey numbers are given. A Grey number is shown as
.
The detailed procedure is given below (Li et al., 2007; Baskaran et al., 2012):
Step 1: Criteria weight identification
A group of decision makers (DM) identifies the criteria weights. If there is K number of
decision maker, then the criteria weight is calculated as
386

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

where

is the criteria weight of the Kth DM.

Step 2: Criteria rating value in linguistic variables
Criteria rating values in linguistic variables are calculated using

where

is the criteria rating value of the Kth DM.

Table 1: Scale of attribute weights
Scale
Very low (VL)
Low (VL)
Medium low (ML)
Medium (M)
Medium high (MH)
High (H)
Very high (VH)

W
[0.0, 0.1]
[0.1, 0.3]
[0.3, 0.4]
[0.4, 0.5]
[0.5, 0.6]
[0.6, 0.9]
[0.9, 1.0]

Table 2: Scale of attribute ratings
Scale
Very poor (VP)
Poor (P)
Medium poor (MP)
Fair (F)
Medium good (MG)
Good (G)
Very good (VG)

W
[0, 1]
[1, 3]
[3, 4]
[4, 5]
[5, 6]
[6, 9]
[9, 10]

Step 3: Establish the Grey decision matrix
are linguistic variables based on the grey number. Grey decision matrix is:

Step 4: Normalize the Grey decision matrix

In the normalization process, the ranges of the Grey numbers are limited to [0, 1].
Normalization depends on either minimization (cost) or maximization (benefit) of the criteria.
Maximization criteria
is given as

Minimization criteria

is given as below

Step 5: Establish the weighted normalized Grey decision matrix

The weighted normalized Grey decision matrix is the product of normalized Grey decision
matrix and criteria weights (
.
387

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

Step 6: Set ideal warehouse alternative as referential warehouse alternative

From m possible warehouse alternative set (S = {S1, S2, …,Sm}) the ideal referential
warehouse alternative
by using

Step 7: Calculate the Grey possibilities
Compare warehouse alternatives set S = {S1, S2, …,Sm} with ideal referential warehouse alternative
;

Step 8: Prioritize warehouses

Rank the order of warehouse alternatives based on the comparison given in Eq. (7). If S i
value is smaller, the ranking order of Si is better. Otherwise, the ranking order is worse.

5. Application
In this study, the Grey approach is used for the warehouse location selection problem of a
pharmaceutical company in Turkey. The company has six different warehouse location
alternatives (S); each of them is evaluated by four decision makers (DM) according to the
criteria of cost (C1), labor (C2), transportation (C3), environment (C4) and geographic location
(C5). The calculation procedure is given below:

Step 1
By using Eq. (1), criteria weights are calculated.
Step 2
Criteria ratings values for six warehouse alternatives are calculated by using Eq. (2).
Step 3
Using Eq. (3), establish the grey decision matrix.
Step 4
Establish the grey normalized decision table.
Step 5
Establish the grey weighted normalized decision table.
Step 6
Make the ideal warehouse
388

a referential alternative, using Eq. (6).

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

= {[0.333, 0.950], [0.353, 0.650], [0.482, 0.925], [0.416, 0.725], [0.513, 0.825]}
Step 7
Calculate the grey possibility degrees, using Eq. (7). Grey possibility degree results are given
below:
= 0.862

= 0.729

= 0.686

= 0.963

= 0.716

= 0.735

Step 8
Rank the order of six warehouses, according to the results given in Step 7.
S5 &gt; S4 &gt; S3 &gt; S6 &gt; S1 &gt; S2
From the results, it’s seen that S5 is the most suitable location alternative for the company.

6. CONCLUSION
A warehouse location selection is a multi-criteria decision-making problem including both
quantitative and qualitative criteria. In this paper, a multi-criteria decision making approach
for sustainable warehouse location selection is given. The main criteria for the selection of
sustainable warehouse location were identified. After the main criteria were determined, the
hierarchy of the sustainable warehouse location selection was structured. The proposed
method is applied a pharmaceutical company, and decision makers from the company are
asked to evaluate alternatives and criteria. By using Grey approach, alternative 5 can be
selected by the company.

REFERENCES
Baskaran V., Nachiappan S. and Rahman S. (2012) Indian textile suppliers' sustainability
evaluation using the grey approach, International Journal of Production Economics,
135, 647-658.
Carter, C.R. and Jennings, M.M. (2002) Logistics social responsibility: An integrative
framework, Journal of Business Logistics, 23(1), 145–180.
Carter, C.R. and Rogers, D.S. (2008) A framework of sustainable supply chain management:
moving toward new theory, International Journal of Physical Distribution &amp; Logistics
Management 38(5), 360-387.
Corbett, C.J. and Klassen, R.D. (2006) Extending the horizons: environmental excellence as
key to improving operations, Manufacturing and Service Operations Management, 8
(1), 5–22.
389

�3rd International Symposium on Sustainable Development, May 31 - June 01 2012, Sarajevo

Frazelle E. (2002) Supply Chain Strategy: The Logistics of Supply Chain Management,
McGraw-Hill, New York.
Kleindorfer, P.R., Singhal, K. and Van Wassenhove, L.N. (2005) Sustainable operations
management, Production and Operations Management, 14(4), 482–492.
Li, G., Yamaguchi D. and Nagai M. (2007) A grey-based decision-making approach to the
supplier selection problem, Mathematical and Computer Modeling, 46, 573-571.
Linton, J.D., Klassen, R. and Jayaraman, V. (2007) Sustainable supply chains: an
introduction, Journal of Operations Management, 25 (6), 1075-1082.
Sharma, R.R.K., and Sharma, K. D. (2000) A new dual based procedure for the transportation
problem, European Journal of Operational Research, 122 (3), 611-624.
Sharma, R.R.K., and Berry, V. (2007) Developing new formulations and relaxations of single
stage capacitated warehouse location problem: Empirical investigation for assessing
relative strengths and computational effort, European Journal of Operational Research, 177
(2), 803-812.
Tan, K.S., Ahmed, M.D. and Sundaram, D. (2010) Sustainable enterprise modeling and
simulation in a warehousing context, Business Process Management Journal, 16 (5), 871-886.
Vlachopoulou, M., Silleos, G., and Manthou, V. (2001) Geographic information systems in
warehouse site selection decisions, International Journal of Production Economics, 71 (1),
205-212.

The Role Of Internal Auditing In Sustainable Development And Corporate Social
Reporting

Serpil Senal, Gaye Atilla, Burcu Aslantaş Ateş
Süleyman Demirel University, Isparta, Turkey
E-mails:serduz@mynet.com, burcuatesaslantas@msn.com, gaisan@hotmail.com

Abstract
Sustainability means a lot more than just the economic, environmental, and social challenges
an organization faces in its everyday and future operations: it means the ethics in these
operations, touching on all the lives of those in the organization, its stakeholders, and the
planet. The objectives of all sustainable development programs must be measured, and the
390

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                <text>Supply chain sustainability has recently gained an increasing attention in the supply chain  context both from the practitioners’ perspective and as a research area. There have been many  incentives for more sustainable warehousing in supply chains. Sustainable Warehousing  includes activities such as, for example, terminal and warehouse location, proper storing and disposing of hazardous materials, donation of excess or obsolete inventory to local  communities, and training to safely operate forklifts. A sustainable warehousing company  would not only have to consider the economic factors, such as rent and operations costs, but  also balance the social and environmental effects that occur within the warehouse compound  as well as its surrounding vicinity. Sustainable warehouse location selection decision has a  crucial role in the supply chain management process. In this study cost, labor, transportation,  environment and geographical location are taken as decision criteria. Grey approach is used  under the sustainability basis for the warehouse location selection problem. This method is  appropriate for solving the group decision-making problem in an uncertain and inconsistent  environment. Warehouse location alternatives for the supply chain of the medical companies  are evaluated in this study.  Keywords: Sustainable supply chain, sustainable warehousing, grey approach</text>
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                    <text>Carrillo_Morales G., Davila-Jimenez M.M., Elizalde-Gonzalez M.P., Pelaez-Cid A.A,
Removal of Metal Ions From Aqueous Solution by Adsorption on the Natural Adsorbent
CACMM2, Jaurnal of Chromatography A, 938, 237-242, 2001.
Townshend, A; Encylopedia of Analitical science, Academic Pres, Londan, 1995.
Water Pollution Control Regulation Official Gazette: 31 December 2004, Issue: 25687.
Özdemir C. et al., ―Examination of purification of leather industry wastewaters with the use of
the marl soils of Basyayla(Karaman) region‖, D.E.U Science and Engineering Journal, Issue:
3 5.57-64, October 2004.
Toprak R.Girgin I., ―Removal of chromium from leather industry wastewaters with activated
clinoptilolite‖, Turk J Engin Enviran Sci 24(2000), 343-351 TUBITAK.

Water Resources Conservation for Sustainable Agricultural Development
F. Ozge Uysal, Onder Uysal
Faculty of Agriculture, SuleymanDemirel University, Isparta, Turkey
E-mail: onderuysal@sdu.edu.tr
1.INTRODUCTION
1.1.Water resources consumption
Increase of population and insufficient water resources has led to environmental pollution has
reached substantial levels with use of synthetic and chemical inputs as a result of the increase
in production. Decreasing available water resources brings on a serious water shortage
problem. Allliving things are negative affected by theenvironmentalpollution. The loss of
speciesin nature, instead of use of biological control use chemical control, thehormonesto
increasefood production have a verynegativeforecology. The main reason for environmental
pollution and degradation of the natural balance in ecosystem, consumption increased rapidly
due to increasing population and increased use of fossil proliferation of products.
1.2.Water resources conservation
One
of
themostimportantaim
of
sustainableagricultureandruraldevelopment
is
toprotectandconservethecapacity of thenaturalresourcebasetocontinuetoprovideproduction,
environmentalandculturalservices.

333

�Turkey Land and Water Resources
LAND RESOURCES
Mha ( millionhectares)
Arable
Irrigable
RainfedAgriculture
EconomicallyIrrigable
PresentlyIrrigated

Land :
Land :
:
:
: 4.90

28.05
25.75
17.25
8.50

Land Resources

Turkey‘s
total
landarea is 78 Mha. Almostonethird of this, 28 Mha, can be classified as cultivableland.
Recentstudiesindicatethat
an
area
of
about8.5million
ha
is
economicallyirrigableundertheavailabletechnology. Untilnow, an area of about2.8million ha
has beenequippedwithirrigationinfrastructuresby DSİ.
WaterResources

MeanPrecipitation

643 mm/m2

Turkey‘sSurfaceArea

780,000 km 2

AnnualWaterResourcesPotentialBm ³ (billion m ³ )
A Precipitation Volume

501

B Evaporation

274

C LeakageintoGroundwater

69

D Springs FeedingSurfaceWater

28

E SurfaceWaterfromNeighboringCountries

7

F=A-B-C+D+E
F Total SurfaceRunoff (gross)

193

G ExploitableSurfaceRunoff

98

H GroundwaterSafeYield

14

I=G+H
I Total Potential (net)

112

The total watervolume in theworldamountsto1.4billion km3, 97.5% of which is salinewater in
theoceansandseas, 2.5% of which is freshwater in theriversandlakes. Duetofactthat 90% of
334

�freshwaterexists
in
the
South
Poleand
humanbeingshaveverylimitedreadilyexploitablefreshwaterresources.

North

Pole,

Annualmeanprecipitation in Turkey is 643 mm, whichcorrespondsto 501 Bm3 (billion m3) of
annualwatervolume
in
thecountry.
A
volume
of
274
Bm3waterevaporatesfromwaterbodiesandsoilstoatmosphere. 69 Bm 3 of volume of
waterleaksintogroundwater,
whereas
28
Bm3
is
retrievedbyspringsfromgroundwatercontributingtosurfacewater. Also, thereare 7 billion
m3volume
of
watercomingfromneighboringcountries.
Thus,
total
annualsurfacerunoffamountsto a volume of 193 Bm3 of water.
Turkey is not a richcountry in terms of existingwaterpotential. Turkey is a
waterstresscountryaccordingtoannualvolume
of
wateravailablepercapita.
Theannualexploitableamount of water has recentlybeenapproximately 1,500 m3percapita.
Development of Irrigation, Hydropower, andWaterSupplySectors in Turkey
IN
ULTIMATE
OPERATION GOALS
AS OF 2005
DEVELOPMENT
IRRIGATION

OF

BY 2030

4.9 million ha 8.5 million ha

DEVELOPMENT OF
45.3
HYDROELECTRIC
billionkWh
ENERGY

127.3
billionkWh

DEVELOPMENT OF
WATER SUPPLY FOR 10.5 billion m
38.5 billion m 3
DOMESTIC
AND 3
INDUSTRIAL USE

EACH
SECTOR‘S
DEVELOPMENT
RATES
58%

36%

27%

1.3.Orientationtoecotourism
Peopleturned toecotourismareas because of environmental pollution, increase in population,
global warming. Ecotourism increased because of peoplemove away fromcity life,
increasedconsumption of products ofagriculturalorigin and increase of environmental
pollution.Because of reduction of water resources, production activities also reduced.
Difficulties which are encountered in production activities because of water resources are
deficit in our country. Decreasing available water resources brings a serious water shortage
problem. In order to deal with this problem, the studies for the efficient use of irrigation water
by providing water saving gain importance. Irrigationtechniques have been developed for
efficient use of water resources. Withthe effective useof water resources, boththewater
resourceswill be protected and high yieldwill be obtained per unit area. So, peoplecan cometo
workforecotourismactivities. Thus, environment, social life, cultural environment and public
health develop positive because of ecotourism. Everykind of tourismmade in virginnature is
withinthescope of ecotourism. Theprinciple of ―sustainability of naturalenvironment‖, which
is one of thetwoimportantcriteria of ecotourism in thesenaturetrips, has to be
obeyedclosely.Thesecondimportantcriterion
of
ecotourismis
―thesustainability
of
335

�localculturesandthatthepeopleshouldbenefitfromthistourismactivity‖. When eco-tourists make
tourism activities, they can do agricultural activities. Such water resources, environmental
pollution and global warming factors can provide with conservation ofwater quality. This also
provides that effectivefertilizerin agricultural areas, efficient use ofpesticides and efficient
useof water resources.
2.RESULT
Therichgeographyandnaturalpotential of ourcountry is a bigchanceforthetypes of
naturetourisms.
However,
if
it
is
behavedunconsciously,
theruin
of
environmentalvalueswillrapidly be inevitable.Sustainableagriculturemay be defined as
consisting of environmentally-friendlymethodsof farmingthatallowtheproduction of
cropsorlivestockwithoutdamagetohumanornaturalsystems.Recently,
orientationtoecotourismstudyingshouldincreaseandthus,
agriculturalenviromentalandglobalwarmingproblemsshould
be
solved.Theuse of
agriculturalproducts ratherthan theuse
of
syntheticproductsshouldbe
increase.
Not
onlyenvironmentalandtourismpurposesanndeclining waterresources, increase of population
and
in ordertomeet growing consumer needsshould
be
provided in thedevelopment
of ecotourism.
REFERENCES
http://www.ekoturizmdernegi.org
http://www.dsi.gov.tr

Sustainable Development- Environmental Ethics Relationship Within Eu
Environmental Policies
Özcan Sezer, Şenay Işin
1.INTRODUCTION
Environmental problems and approaches to environment have an important place within EU
policies. There are major impacts of economic development on the inclusion of environmental
issues to the Union‘s area of interest, which aims to integrate European Countries through
economic, political and cultural areas and which foresees the free flow of capital, goods,
services, labor. It is crucial to form environmental values and provide the member countries to
internalize them in order to sustain development without giving harm to environment. In this
context, environmental ethics reveals a conflict from the perspective of sustainable
development. There emerges an area of conflict between attaining economic, social and
cultural development on the one hand and taking into consideration of environmental values
and environmental ethics during this process on the other hand.
The desire to improve the living conditions at the member countries through providing
economic, social and cultural development and to upgrade quality of life to a common level
336

�</text>
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                <text>Water Resources Conservation for Sustainable Agricultural Development</text>
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                <text>F. Ozge Uysal, Ozge Uysal</text>
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                <text>Increase of population and insufficient water resources has led to environmental pollution has  reached substantial levels with use of synthetic and chemical inputs as a result of the increase  in production. Decreasing available water resources brings on a serious water shortage  problem. Allliving things are negative affected by theenvironmentalpollution. The loss of  speciesin nature, instead of use of biological control use chemical control, thehormonesto  increasefood production have a verynegativeforecology. The main reason for environmental  pollution and degradation of the natural balance in ecosystem, consumption increased rapidly  due to increasing population and increased use of fossil proliferation of products.</text>
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